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Lesson 7 – Summary – Liquidity & Solvency and ROIC

Lesson 7 – Summary – Liquidity & Solvency and ROIC. Financial Analysis The concept of Cash Flows vs. Earnings Generating Cash Flows: relationship between Earnings and Working Capital A new profitability measure: ROIC The concept of Invested Capital ROIC analysis.

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Lesson 7 – Summary – Liquidity & Solvency and ROIC

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  1. Lesson 7 – Summary – Liquidity & Solvency and ROIC • Financial Analysis • The concept of Cash Flows vs. Earnings • Generating Cash Flows: relationship between Earnings and Working Capital • A new profitability measure: ROIC • The concept of Invested Capital • ROIC analysis FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM – 2013/2014

  2. The Operating Cash Flows(1/3) • Let us think about the concept of EBITDA. In practice it represents the difference between payable income and expense (remember that depreciation are a cost that is not considered in the EBITDA calculation because it represents no payment). The question is whether we can say that the value of the EBITDA of a given year represents the money (cash) that is released by the company's activity on that year. • The answer is no. Indeed, in that year there is some of the income that will not be received (going to Trade Receivables) and some from the previous year that will now be received. Similarly, there are costs that will only be paid in the following year (in Trade Payables) and some from the previous year that the company will now have to pay. FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  3. The Operating Cash Flows (2/3) • Thus, there isn't a coincidence between the economic flows (operating income and costs: earnings) and the operating cash flows (cash inflows and outflows). • However, it is possible to establish a relationship between those two realities by recalling the concept of Working Capital (WC). Indeed, the WC represents the retention of economic operating earnings that have not been yet turned into cash inflows or outflows (for example, the trade receivables are the amount of revenues that have not been yet received). FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  4. The Operating Cash Flows (3/3) • As we already know, the change in the WC in one period represents the monetary value that is invested (or is available, if the change is negative) in the operating activity. • This link is expressed by the following formula: Operating Free Cash Flow = EBITDA - ∆ WC Note that we use the EBITDA, which does not include Depreciation, precisely because this last is a cost that doesn't generate any payment. FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  5. Operating Free Cash Flow - Example(1/7) FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  6. Operating Free Cash Flow – Example (2/7) Working Capital calculation for N+1 Trade Receivables = 787,500 x 1.2 / 12 x 3 = 236,250 Inventory = 630,000 / 12 x 1 = 52,500 Trade Payables = (632,500* + 12,000**) x 1.2 / 12 x 1 = 64,450 *Purchases = Cost of Goods Sold + Final Inventory – Initial Inventory  Purchases = 630,000 + 52,500 – 50,000 = 632,500 **External Supplies = 12,000 FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  7. Operating Free cash Flow – Example(3/7) VAT • VAT charged to customers (payable) = 787,500 x 0.2 = 157,500 • VAT charged to the firm (deductable) = (632,500 + 12,000) x 0.2 = 128,900 • VAT to pay = 157,500 – 128,900 = 28,600 • VAT Payable = 28,600 x 2 /12 = 4,767 * Amounts taken from Balance Sheet of year N FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  8. Operating Free cash Flow – Example(4/7) We can finally compute the Operating Free Cash Flow: Operating Free Cash Flow = EBITDA - ∆ WC Operating Free Cash Flow = 37,500 – 83,533 = (46,033) FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  9. Operating Free Cash Flow – Example(5/7) Let's see now if we can arrive to the same outcome but with a pure cash flow (inflow - outflow) point of view. For this purpose we will calculate the operating inflows and outflows that occurred in N + 1: OPERATING INFLOWS Revenues Received = Revenues with VAT – Trade Receivables N+1 + Trade Receivables N 945,000 - 236,250 + 150,000 = 858,750 FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  10. Operating Free Cash Flow – Example(6/7) • OPERATING OUTFLOWS Purchases and ES Paid = Purchases with VAT + ES with VAT – Trade Payables N+1 + Trade Payables N • 759,000 + 14,400 – 64,450 + 60,000 = 768,950 Other Costs Paid • 108,000 (paid without any credit) VAT Paid = VAT to pay – Tax Payable N + 1 + Tax Payable N 28,600 – 4,767 + 4,000 = 27,833 Total of Operating Outflows = 768,950 + 108,000 + 27,833 = 904,783 FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  11. Operating Free Cash Flow – Example(7/7) OPERATING FREE CASH FLOW • OPERATING INFLOWS - OPERATING OUTFLOWS • = 858,750 – 904,783 = (46,033) Thus, we have obtained the same outcome as the obtained by doing EBITDA - ∆ WC. FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  12. A NEW CONCEPT OF PROFITABILITY: RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC) (1/3) • The ROIC develops a concept of profitability of the activity of a company that, such as the GROSS ROA, intends to ignore the financing dimension, but which adds two additional elements: • Firstly, taking into account the fiscal dimension; so, instead of using the EBIT uses the NOPLAT (this represents the net profit the firm would have if it ignored the finance costs); • Secondly, instead of using the Asset, uses the concept of operating Invested Capital. FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  13. A NEW CONCEPT OF PROFITABILITY: RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC) (2/3) The concept of Operating Invested Capital • Considers only the operating assets, i.e., excludes all assets that are not operating, i.e., that are not necessary to the business (for example, a warehouse owned by the firm but which is rented, a speculative inventory, financial investments, etc.); • To this operating Asset it is subtracted all the operating resources generated on the business; • Thus, the operating Invested Capital represents the capital that is necessary to invest (in net terms, of the resources) for the company to develop its business. • It is calculated: Operating Invested Capital = Operating Asset – Operating Resources Or, the same: Operating Invested Capital = Operating Non-current Assets + WC FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

  14. A NEW CONCEPT OF PROFITABILITY : RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC) (3/3) Finally, the ROIC iscalculated: The ROIC represents the net profitability of the firm's business, taking into account the investment made for it, but not taking into account how that investment was funded. FF - LE/LFC/LG/LGM - 2013/2014

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