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RIMPAC 2014 Scenario Development Workshop – Out-brief

RIMPAC 2014 Scenario Development Workshop – Out-brief. LCDR Ben Dalton – Exercise Coordinator LT Tolu O’Brien – Scenario WG Lead 12 Apr 13. Agenda. Workshop participants Status of goals/deliverables Major Themes RIMPAC C2 (notional HHQ and real) Proposed geography Regional players

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RIMPAC 2014 Scenario Development Workshop – Out-brief

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  1. RIMPAC 2014 Scenario Development Workshop – Out-brief LCDR Ben Dalton – Exercise Coordinator LT Tolu O’Brien – Scenario WG Lead 12 Apr 13

  2. Agenda • Workshop participants • Status of goals/deliverables • Major Themes • RIMPAC C2 (notional HHQ and real) • Proposed geography • Regional players • Country overviews • Scenario overview • Regional dynamics • Scenario POAM • Issues/concerns

  3. Workshop Participants • Working Groups: • Surface/Sub-Su • Air • Fires • MIW • Amphib / land • NEF/HADR • Geo-pol • SOF/PR • Participants: • C3F • MARFORPAC • CJOC • ESG-3 • NMAWC • CTF 32 • CTF 34 • ETG • MCWL • 1 MEF • NASA • NR USFF NCAGS San Diego

  4. Status of Goals/Deliverables • Develop an over-arching pol-mil scenario, including friendly, neutral and belligerent nations/forces • Define exercise geography (real and notional) • Identify key themes and storylines/threads to support the focus areas and likely participant training objectives • Draft notional HHQ wiring diagram • Establish a Scenario POAM • Proposed road to crisis • Draft HHQ orders/guidance, including UNSCRs and other supporting documentation

  5. Major Themes • Orange military aggression • Internal resistance • MIO/MSO/MIP • IDP/Mass migration • Regional relationships • Transnational terrorism • Restoring Freedom of Navigation (FON) • Stabilization ops / transfer of authority • Humanitarian crisis • ISR

  6. Scenario Strategic to Operational C2 USPACOM UNSC Nat’l leaders of Troop Contributing Nations Force Contributing Nations VIRTUAL UN DPKO NGOs/ Govt RIMPAC Combined Force Com/ UN Force Com CMOC (NECC) CCTF SRSG to the Coaster Islands Vice CCTF Dep CCTF Combined Operations Centre CCTF Staff CECG White Cell (C3F N2 & N5/7, MFP, CTF 34, NMAWC, ETG, ???) CFACC Australia CFMCC Canada CJSOTF U.S. VIRTUAL UN Mission to the Coaster Islands D/CFMCC Chile D/CFACC Canada

  7. Senior Leadership Group CCTF COMTHIRDFLT Deputy CCTF Vice CCTF or D/CFLCC CFACC CFMCC CFLCC CJSOTF or D/CFMCC D/CFACC

  8. Maritime CFMCC / CTF 170 CSG CTF 177 MIW NMAWC CTF 174 TASWC CTF-34 CTF 172 MPRA CTF-32 CTF 173 SEALOGC CTF-33 CTF 176 ESG CTF 171 NEF EODGRU1 CTG 176.1 CATF PHIBRON CTG 176.2 ESG SCC CDS31 CTG 176.9 CLF CTG 170.1 SCC D/CFMCC

  9. CTF 170 - CSG CTF 170 CSG CCSG 1 CTG 170.1 SCC CTU 170.1.4 CTU 170.1.1 CTU 170.1.2 CTU 170.1.3 TU 170.1.4 USCG CRUDES 2 CRUDES 3 CRUDES 4 TU 170.1.3 FFG CRUDES 2 CRUDES 3 CRUDES 4 TU 170.1.2 DDG FFG CRUDES 3 CRUDES 4 TU 170.1.1 CVN CG DDG DDG FFG

  10. CTF 171 - NEF CTF 171 NEF EODGRU-1 CTG 171.1 EODMU-11 CTG 171.3 MSRON CTG 171.5 MCAT CTG 171.6 CBMU CTG 171.4 IET DET CTG 171.2 NCHB

  11. CTF 172 - MPRA CTF 172 MPRA CTF-32 CTG 172.2 CTG 172.1 TG 172.1 MPRA ACFT TG 172.2 MPRA ACFT

  12. CTF 173 - MSC CTF 173 SEALOG COMD CTF-33 CTG 173.2 SALVAGE/TOW CT6 173.1 UNREP TU173.1 T-AKE T-AO MSC 3 MSC 4 MSC 5 TU 173.2 SALVAGE/TOW

  13. CTF 174 - TASWC CTF 174 TASWC CTF-34 CTG 174.6 SURFACE TASW CTF-34 CTG 174.8 MPRA TASW (when assigned) CTG 174.9 SUB TASW (when assigned) CTU 174.6.1 CTU 174.9.1 CTU 174.8.1 CTU 174.8.2 TU 174.6.1 CRUDES 1 CRUDES 2 CRUDES 3 CRUDES 4 TU 174.8.1 TU 174.8.2

  14. CTF 176 - ESG CTF 176 ESG Freeplay only CTG 176.2 CDS-31 CTG 176.3 JMSDF CT6 176.9 CLF CT6 176.1 CATF PHIBRON CTU 176.1.1 CTU 176.1.2 CTU 176.2.1 CTU 176.2.1 JMSDF TU 170.1.2 USS PELELIU USS RUSHMORE Amphib 3 TU 170.1.3 USS ANCHORAGE JMSDF DDH TNI-AL TU 170.1.3 DDG CRUDES 2 CRUDES 3 CRUDES 4 TU 170.1.3 JMSDF DDG FFG CRUDES 3 CRUDES 4

  15. CTF 177 - MIW CTF 177 NMAWC CTG 177.2 MCMC HAWAII CTG 1771.1 MCMC SOCAL CTU 177.1.1 AFSB CTU 177.1.1 UMCMC CTU 177.1.1 AMCMC CTU 177.1.1 MHC CTU 177.2.1 UMCMC CTU 177.2.2 MST

  16. Proposed Geography YORK GRIFFON STRAIT YELLOW CHANNEL GRIFFON PROMETHEUS GRIFFON CHANNEL YETTI OPLATS ORION STRAIT ORION SHOAL (Country of Purple territory) FOR EXERCISE PURPOSES ONLY

  17. Regional Players • ORANGE – primary belligerent • Armed Resistance Movement (ARM): terrorist faction operating within ORANGE with activity in GREEN and YELLOW • GREEN – main RIMPAC Nations ally in the region • YELLOW – neutral country with diplomatic and economic ties with both ORANGE and GREEN • PURPLE – explicitly neutral country in region with no alliances or overt ties to neighboring islands than geographic proximity • RIMPAC Nations

  18. Kingdom of Orange (KOO) DAVID POINT NB POHOKULOA ARMY BASE • Primary belligerent • Military dictatorship • Military “strong arm” in region • Desire hegemony • Expansionist regime • Limited oil and natural resources • Imports gas and minerals from YELLOW • Relies heavily on YELLOW for natural resources to maintain its military Purpose: Project forces forward to GREEN by expanding ORANGE occupation on the island. Means: Use of ORANGE military might to force GREEN into submission to give up control of its financial independence. Control GREEN to gain control its major SPODs (Pearl Harbor/Honolulu). Provide clandestine support to ARM to further ORANGE agenda in GREEN. End state: 1. To be the major regional military and financial power. 2. Take over GREEN and influence the financial gateway into the Coaster Islands. HILO NB HILO AFB KONA AFB

  19. Republic of Green (ROG) ARM • Primary ally with RIMPAC Nations • Principal economic driver in region • Has three refineries along its southwestern coast • Superior industrial infrastructure clustered in its developed cities • Trades freely with all the countries that comprise the Coaster Islands except KOO • Disparate distribution of wealth • Limited military and defense capability Purpose: Maintain an independent GREEN free of ORANGE and ARM influence. Means: Capitalize on its alliance with RIMPAC Nations to help dispel ARM from ROG and minimize KOO influence in the region. Expel ARM from its land and return ROG territory to GREEN citizens. End State: ORANGE aggression deterred and GREEN economic stability ensured. LOCATION OF HA/DR EVENT PEARL HARBOR PORT ARM

  20. Country of Yellow (COY) • Geographically composed of two land masses separated by a channel and is located between two dominant nations • YELLOW NORTH – rumored to have ARM hideout facility on its western coast • YELLOW SOUTH – mostly comprised of farmland with limited industrial infrastructure • YELLOW Channel: archipelagic sea lane capable of supporting merchant shipping • 1.5NM at the narrowest point • Tries to maintain neutrality, but is often forced into the competing regional positions • Maintains diplomatic relationship with ORANGE • Main source of oil/gas for ORANGE • Has an economic relationship with GREEN • Imports gas and food • Relies heavily on GREEN’s large ports YELLOW CHANNEL

  21. Country of Purple (COP) • Expressly neutral country in region • No known alliances • Exports crude oil to GREEN • Imports gas, other by products from GREEN • Has a small military footprint • Geographically separated from the rest of the Coaster Islands • Separated from GREEN by GEMINI Strait • SHOAL waters located south of island OPLATS

  22. Armed Resistance Front (ARM) • Transnational terrorist faction • Mainly operate in ORANGE • Have infiltrated areas in GREEN • Are rumored to have extended their reach to YELLOW NORTH • Supports ORANGE from within GREEN’s borders • Have been linked to several nefarious activity in the region • Military-trained • IED capable • Limited mines • Small arms fire, • Basic communications capability

  23. Regional Dynamics GAS, FOOD FOOD FOOD OIL REFINERIES CRUDE OIL OPLATS GAS, NATURAL RESOURCES Refineries FOR EXERCISE PURPOSES ONLY

  24. Issues/Concerns • Geo-pol support • SRSG • CECG size/composition/real estate • OPFOR cell • Safety cell • Role-playing support - $$ • Reaching milestones, moving forward – not looking astern

  25. Scenario POAM • 9-12 Apr SDW • 12 Apr Decision brief – approve way ahead • Until 08 May SDW members continue to provide input • 09 May Detailed themes, storylines, and initial storyboards, RTC briefs and timelines distributed to SDW members for review/comment • 16 May SDW members provide comment/endorsement • 20 May C3F distribute draft Scenario product to IPC participants (not CECG ‘eyes only’ product) • 30 May SDW members review draft product (during IPC) • 11 Jun Final scenario input/SDW review (VTC) • 13 Jun C3F Decision Brief (approve scenario)

  26. Decision • Decision: • - N5/7 and N2 approve scenario concept, as briefed • - N5/7 and N2 approve further (detailed) scenario planning until next decision milestone

  27. Questions

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