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IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION

IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION. by PAL TAMAS [IS HAS/Corvinus UniversityBudapest]. INTERNAL PERIODIZATION. 1993-1998 illusions: Europe as an inverted utopia, symbolical political projects, demonstrative pioneer actions in sectors and localities

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IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION

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  1. IMPACT OF EU ENLARGEMENT ON THE POST-COMMUNIST TRANSFORMATION by PAL TAMAS [IS HAS/Corvinus UniversityBudapest]

  2. INTERNAL PERIODIZATION • 1993-1998 illusions: Europe as an inverted utopia, symbolical political projects, demonstrative pioneer actions in sectors and localities • 1998-2004 intensive learning, inventarization, implementation : „the best period” • 2004-2008 „easy money”, new normalities, less mental change then expected • 2008-2010 crisis, the new [semi]peripheries

  3. IMPACTS • Regulative effects • Mobilization of internal resources and energies • Competitive effects in policies and reforms • Kaanan effects in image-making for national elites • Foreign policy effects- regulation failure • New geographies [internal, perimetrical]

  4. MODEL QUESTIONS IN THE 90IES

  5. Costs of transition „Soft transion” is a primary goal both for the elites and the masses The losers” problem EU strategies of „social insurance” [broad distribution of the costs] Neo-liberals versus new statism

  6. Impact scenarios [Darvas, 2010]

  7. DILEMMAS a.National state as a policy tool [development and crisis] b. Does the EU defend from the extreme globalization, ot its an agent of it? [laguna effects] c.Diffusion of the European Social Model to the East? d. European citizenships [versus national and subnational ones] e. The LIMES effects [stabilization, destabilization]

  8. Long-term effects • Importance of cultural environments. Pre-1989 of longer historical cycles? • Continuities/discontinuities of the developmental state in the region • Reduction of the „social block” in the GDP –short term, ot long term?

  9. CONCLUSIONS for the 2010ies 1.National models of capitalism 2. After 2008/2010 reconstruction of the national state, as regulator 3.Stabilization of internal semiperipheries in the EU 4.Sharper welfare gap between EU-15 and EU-12 5.Beginning of intensive knowledge worker migration

  10. Support structure for EU EE [ ]

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