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Photo: Nicole Wall, NDMC, Platte River, August 2012

Drought Risk Management: Lessons and Challenges. Michael Hayes, Director and Professor National Drought Mitigation Center School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Photo: Nicole Wall, NDMC, Platte River, August 2012. “Raining at my drought talk in D.C.! LOL! # NDMCwet ”.

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Photo: Nicole Wall, NDMC, Platte River, August 2012

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  1. Drought Risk Management: Lessons and Challenges Michael Hayes, Director and Professor National Drought Mitigation Center School of Natural Resources University of Nebraska-Lincoln Photo: Nicole Wall, NDMC, Platte River, August 2012

  2. “Raining at my drought talk in D.C.! LOL! #NDMCwet”

  3. Context: Why Plan Ahead andPreparefor Natural Disasters? • Economic losses from disasters worldwide since 2000 are in the range of $2.5 trillion (UN, 2013) • Considerably higher than previous estimates • “Economic losses from disasters are out of control” • “Losses from floods, earthquakes and drought will continue to escalate” unless action is taken to reduce disaster risks

  4. Disaster Management

  5. Disaster Management “Floods are 'acts of God’, but flood losses are largely acts of man.”

  6. Photo: Chris Austin, Lake Shasta, CA, 1976

  7. Report: • PDSI • Fraught with political influence • Ineffective • Untimely • Improvements needed

  8. Don Wilhite

  9. Don Wilhite “We MUST adopt a new paradigm for drought management!”

  10. The Cycle of Disaster Management

  11. Lesson • Partnerships and networks are fundamental: necessary because of the complexity of drought and for reaching the stakeholders • National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS) • Regional Climate Centers, Climate Science Centers, USDA Climate Change Hubs • State, local, NGO resources • Universities are critical for building the capacity related to research and outreach • Extension (Climate Extension Specialists)

  12. Coordinated Input into the USDM Process • RDEWS • Upper Colorado (CO, WY, UT) • Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint (ACF) • States • Florida • North Carolina • Arizona • South Dakota • Texas • Alabama • Kentucky • Montana • Hawaii • Oklahoma

  13. USDM (NADM) Annual Forums • Lincoln, NE, November 2000 • Asheville, NC, April 2002 • NADM, Asheville, June 2003 • Cedar City, UT, October 2003 • NADM, Regina, SK, October 2004 • Washington, D.C., October 2005 • NADM, Mexico City, October 2006 • Portland, OR, October 2007 • NADM, Ottawa, October 2008 • Austin, TX, October 2009 • NADM, Asheville, April 2010 • Washington, D.C., April 2011 • NADM, Cancun, Mexico, April 2012 • West Palm Beach, FL, April 2013

  14. Lesson • Monitoring and Early Warning Information:can often be a starting point for the engagement of stakeholders for drought planning and risk management. • It is often what the stakeholders know and can relate to • Allows trust to develop (between different stakeholders, with the data, making decisions, etc…) • Droughts provide “windows of opportunity” for engagement with stakeholders • “Cannot manage what is not monitored”

  15. Lesson • Early Warning and Risk Management Relationship:A feedback loop forms. • As monitoring and early warning systems improve, the need for better drought risk management strategies (planning and mitigation) increases • As planning and mitigation strategies are implemented, the need for improved drought monitoring and early warning increases • Information drives this cycle

  16. The Cycle of Disaster Management

  17. State Drought Planning

  18. Lesson? Challenge? • Planning ahead (and mitigation) reduces vulnerability, impacts, and the need for government intervention; a good investment • Evidence? • Case studies? • Stakeholder interactions, interdisciplinary activities • NIDIS

  19. Michael Hayes National Drought Mitigation Center mhayes2@unl.edu http://drought.unl.edu Photo: Xiaomao Lin, Tribune, KS, March 2013

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