2014 Legislative Agenda

1. 2014 Legislative Agenda Orange County Board of County Commissioners October 22, 2013

3. 2014 Legislative Agenda Legislative Team Mission: • Identify proposals that impact the county’s provision of services to citizens; • Inform decision makers of positive/negative consequences of proposed legislation; • Advocate fair, reasonable and balanced resolution of current and future challenges.

4. 2014 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: • Legislative Overview • State Budget Assessment • Draft Priorities • Other Agenda Items • Discussion • Action Requested

5. 2014 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: • Legislative Overview State Budget Assessment Suggested Priorities Other Agenda Items Discussion Action Requested

6. 2014 Legislative Agenda Florida Senate President Don Gaetz District 1, Okaloosa County

8. 2013 Legislative Session Florida Senate Senator Andy Gardiner District 13 Senator Alan Hays District 11 Senator Darren Soto District 14 Senator Kelli Stargel District 15 Senator Geraldine F. Thompson District 12

9. 2014 Legislative Agenda Florida House Speaker Will Weatherford District 38, Pasco County

11. 2013 Legislative Session Florida House Rep. Bryan Nelson, D-31 Rep. Randolph Bracy, D-45 Rep. Karen Castor Dentel, D-30 Rep. Bruce Antone, D-46 Rep. Tom Goodson, D-50 Rep. Steve Precourt, D-44 Rep. Victor Manuel Torres, D-48 Rep. Joe Saunders, D-49 Rep. Linda Stewart, D-47

12. 2014 Legislative Agenda Timeline 2013 9/23 – 9/27 Committee Week 10/7 – 10/11 Committee Week 11/4 – 11/8 Committee Week 11/13 – 11/15 FAC Conference 12/9 – 12/13 Committee Week 2014 1/6 – 1/10 Committee Week 1/13 – 1/17 Committee Week 2/3 – 2/7 Committee Week 2/10 – 2/14 Committee Week 2/17 – 2/21 Committee Week 3/4 2014 Session Begins 3/27 FAC Legislative Day 5/2 2014 Session Ends

13. 2014 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: Legislative Overview • State Budget Assessment Draft Priorities Other Agenda Items Discussion Action Requested

14. Florida’s Financial Future Dr. James A. Zingale

15. A History of Recessions Since the Great Depression…

16. *Current Recovery: 4 years, 4 months

17. Economic Recovery Florida growth rates are gradually returning to more typical levels. However, drags are more persistent than past events. It will take a few more years to climb completely out of the recession hole. A national economic recovery is well underway. Most areas of commercial and consumer credit are strengthening, though residential credit remains sluggish and difficult to access.

18. Economic Recovery The subsequent turnaround in Florida housing will be led by: sLow home prices that attract buyers and clear inventory sLong-run, sustainable, demand triggered by continued population growth sUnique state demographics and the aging baby-boom generation (first wave hit retirement in 2011)

19. Population Growth Recovery Population growth is the state’s primary economic growth engine, fueling employment and income. sGrowth is expected to continue, with rates increasing over the next few years sThe future will be different than the past (Long-term growth rate between 1970 and 1995 was over three percent.) s Florida on track to break 20 million in 2016, surpassing New York and becoming third most populous state

20. Florida: Net Migration History

21. Florida’s Job Market

22. Florida U.S. Labor StatisticsRecessionary Periods and Unemployment Rates

23. Florida’s Job Market The job market will take a long time to recover. s515,100 jobs have been lost since the most recent peak Rehiring will not be enough sPrime working-age population (25-54) is expected to increase 2,900 people per month Hole is deeper than it looks sCreation of roughly 900,000 jobs is necessary to equal the same percentage working at peak

24. Upside Risk for Construction Supply has become two-tiered – viable homes and seriously distressed homes. s“Shadow inventory” of homes in foreclosure or carry delinquent/defaulted mortgages may contain a significant number of “ghost” homes, distressed beyond realistic use sTo the extent that the number of viable homes is limited, new construction may come back sooner than expected

25. Florida Homeownership Rate:Back to Normal

26. Consumer Perception Recovers Consumer sentiment improving nationally, however: sAugust 2011: Drop near lowest level of Great Recession, close to lowest level ever posted sDecember 2012: Index dropped again as concerns about the Fiscal Cliff took hold sNow: Recovering, with a May surge at the highest level in nearly six years

27. Consumer Perception RecoversUniversity of Michigan: Consumer Sentiment

28. General Revenue

29. General Revenue: Recurring History

30. County Taxable Values

31. Senate Bill 1500 Appropriations by program area, fund sourceAdjusted for Vetoes and Supplementals FY 2013-2014 (Dollars in Millions)

32. Program Area By Fund Source

33. Putting It Together: Year One (in millions)

34. Summary

35. Financial Summary: Historical Comparison

36. Financial Summary: Historical Comparison

37. Unallocated General Revenue Other Reserves Planned General Reserve, Post Appropriations Appropriations

38. The Bottom Line… s Future fiscal years show projected budget needs within available revenue for critical and other high-priority needs, including $1b set-aside reserve sNo fiscal strategies are required for any year in the outlook period sFor the third time since adoption of Long Range Financial Outlooks, sufficient funds exist

39. Florida’s Financial Future Dr. James A. Zingale

40. 2014 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: Legislative Overview State Budget Assessment • Draft Priorities Other Agenda Items Discussion Action Requested

41. 2014 Legislative Agenda Draft Priorities: • GamingOppose any expansion and/or new authority for casino and internet gambling in the state • Springs/Water Initiatives Support balanced efforts to protect water quality and preserve water quantity

42. 2014 Legislative Agenda • Communication Services TaxMaintain local funding source, along withflexibility in use • Local Business TaxMaintain local funding option, along withflexibility in use • Central Florida Expressway AuthoritySupport regionalism, while protectingcurrent OOCEA system users

43. 2014 Legislative Agenda Support Oppose: • SUPPORT: Economic development initiativesthat provide unique opportunities to build anddiversify the local economy • SUPPORT: Department of Juvenile Justice equity for pre-adjudication and post- adjudication costs

44. 2014 Legislative Agenda Support Oppose: • OPPOSE: Legislation that reduces Tourist Development Tax funding, including DOT-COM • OPPOSE: Any erosion of Home Rule, such as local authority related topermitting and conservation efforts

45. 2013 Legislative Agenda Monitor: • Cost shifts tied to data collection, reporting • Red Light Camera Repeal • Pre-Trial Release • Florida Retirement System • E-911 • Animal Services • Funding Opportunities

46. 2013 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: Legislative Overview State Budget Assessment Draft Priorities • Other Agenda Items Discussion Action Requested

47. 2014 Legislative Agenda Community Partners: When not adverse to Orange County interests, support legislative priorities of community partners such as: • Florida Association of Counties • University of Central Florida, Valencia College • MetroPlan Orlando • LYNX • Metro Orlando EDC • Orange County Health Department

48. 2014 Legislative Agenda Additional Issues:

49. 2014 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: Legislative Overview State Budget Assessment Draft Priorities Other Agenda Items • Discussion Action Requested

50. 2014 Legislative Agenda Presentation Outline: Legislative Overview State Budget Assessment Draft Priorities Other Agenda Items Discussion • Action Requested