Employment Needs & Labor Market Data

1. Employment Needs & Labor Market Data VACTEA 2010

2. CTE Planning Requires Employment Data • Administrators need employment data to complete many VDOE documents. • Labor Market Needs • Employment Data • Employment Needs

3. Labor Market Data For New Courses New Course Forms ask for Data on labor market and/or employment needs.

4. Labor Market Data For Local Plans Schedule 9 asks for labor market analysis Schedule 12 asks for employment counseling Schedule 14 asks for employment needs review

5. Labor Market Data For Plans of Study Plans of Study ask for Sample Occupations.

6. Local Knowledge Is Key • Maintaining good communication with your local business community is the best way to keep up with local labor market needs. • You can also find other ways to keep up with local trends. For example, one school division analyzed local want ads to find out about demand for a new program. Your local Economic Development Department, and Virginia Department of Business Assistance staff working in your area are great resources.

7. Official Statistics Are Also Valuable Occupational Demand Supply System (OSDS) has occupation data you can use.

8. Occupational Supply Demand System Including data related to specific CTE courses

9. Occupational Supply Demand System OSDS contains many data elements

10. Call for help finding and using labor market data • Don’t waste time searching the internet for labor market data. • We can help you find, understand, and use the data relevant to Virginia’s CTE courses.

11. Virginia Workforce Connection • Run by the Virginia Employment Commission • VWC contains employment projections and other data. • New local projections will be released in October.

12. What Data Are Available, (and what do they tell us about Virginia) • Population • Poverty • Educational attainment • Occupations and employment • And many more topics

13. Virginia’s Population Population is concentrated in the north and east.

14. Poverty Poverty is concentrated in the south and west.

15. High School Graduation Like poverty, low rates of education are concentrated in the south and west. Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08

16. Educational Attainment Educational Attainment, Virginians 24-64 Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08 About a third of working-age Virginians have a bachelor’s degree or higher.

17. Gender Differences, Age 18-24 Virginia Educational Attainment, Age 18-24 Younger men are falling behind Source: American Community Survey, 2006-08

18. Gender Differences Are Increasing Source: USDOE, NCES

19. Occupational Employment Data

20. Virginia Occupational Employment Business Food Sales Office Source: Virginia Workforce Connection

21. Virginia’s Largest Occupations The Top 20 in 2008 The Bottom 500 Source: Virginia Workforce Connection

22. The Recession in Virginia Source: Virginia Workforce Connection

23. Virginia Employment Projections 2008-18 Projections, 2008-18 Source: Virginia Workforce Connection

24. Projection Details, Virginia 2008-18 Most New Jobs Most Job Openings Source: Virginia Workforce Connection

25. Occupational Education Levels and Openings Occupations Primarily Hiring Workers at These Education Levels Source: U.S. BLS

26. Learn More, Earn More Source: U.S. BLS

27. Real Wages Are Falling For Most Source: Monthly Labor Review, June 2009

28. How Wages Are Changing Source: Monthly Labor Review, June 2009

29. New Projections from Georgetown University

30. Demand for Postsecondary is Rising +290K +110K +38K Source: Help Wanted, June 2010

31. High-Paying Jobs Need More Education Source: Help Wanted, June 2010

32. Licenses & Certificates Earnings vary substantially within degree levels. There is substantial earnings overlap across degree levels. Source: Valuing Certificates, 2009

33. What does this mean for CTE? • Job openings will return across the occupational spectrum, eventually. Help Wanted predicts return to job growth in 2011-2012. • BUT recessions squeeze out inefficiency and pump up demand for skills. Educational and certification requirements will continue to rise (Wages probably won’t.). • Qualifications matter. Postsecondary education and industry certifications are essential for most good jobs. • The cost of education is rising. Students should aim for degrees and certifications they can complete; a 2 year college graduate with certifications is more employable than a 4-year college dropout. • Workplace Readiness Skills and work experience matter. Students will need to prove they can fit in to the workplace.

34. CTE Follow-up Survey—How We We Doing? • Each school division must do a follow-up survey of CTE completers each spring. • Schools collect data on completers’: • Transition to postsecondary, employment, or the military • Satisfaction with CTE programs

35. How is CTE Doing 2009 follow-up of 2008 graduates • 94% transition to employment, the military or postsecondary education • 77% received postsecondary education in the year after graduation • 6% were unemployed. 2010 follow-up of 2009 graduates • Results are not ready for release yet. • Preliminary results are very similar to last year’s. CTE students continue to do well in work and at school.

36. Online Results Results should be available online in late October. You will be able to receive raw data files if you need them.

37. Mark Your Calendar for Next Year • The survey begins in March. • The deadline for responses isJuly 1. • We will send all the instructions, information, and tools that you need to conduct the survey. • We anticipate significant improvements. We would like to hear more from you about what you need.

38. Make a Note Contact Us for Help Any Time • CTEcompleters@virginia.edu • 434-982-5582

39. Contact Information Achsah Carrier Demographics & Workforce GroupWeldon Cooper Center for Public ServiceUniversity of Virginia 434-825-3298 achsah.carrier@virginia.edu www.coopercenter.org/demographics