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Losing Air Dominance

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Losing Air Dominance

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    2. What is Air Dominance? Air superiority over enemy to meet joint force goals Freedom to attack…any target, with mission success Freedom from attack…defeat of enemy fighters and SAMs Freedom to maneuver…for forces on land or sea

    3. Iraq and Afghanistan

    4. The Plan After 1991 Success of F-117 in 1991 Gulf war set Air Force position on stealth Fighter force structure cut by 44% as Cold War ended Replacement strategy: 1991: Advanced Tactical Fighter program down-select to maintain air dominance technologies 1994: Joint Strike Fighter research initiated as affordable stealth fighter/attack to replace F-16 and A-10 force structure “Never again buy a non-stealthy fighter” – Chief of Staff Gen. McPeak

    5. Major Fighter Aircraft Buys 1963-2008

    6. The Force Mix Active Component 1995

    7. 2003 Operation Iraqi Freedom: Aircraft Felt Their Age Decline from Operation Desert Storm averaged over 10% F-15C average age = 18 years Lower mission capable rates reflect old aircraft, not crew performance. As advanced fighters age, problems will increase.Lower mission capable rates reflect old aircraft, not crew performance. As advanced fighters age, problems will increase.

    8. F-22 is first supersonic stealth aircraft 2 engine, supercruise design with ample internal missiles Designed to assure air dominance through fleet life ~2040 Depends on number of aircraft procured F-22s

    9. From Three Fighters to One F-117: Stealth attack of heavily defended targets It makes sense to plan for the F/A-22 as the single “high-end” platform. But the real F/A-22 requirement depends on the various roles it will play in the USAF’s evolving concepts of operations -- “conops” -- which address the needs of the 21st Century. It makes sense to plan for the F/A-22 as the single “high-end” platform. But the real F/A-22 requirement depends on the various roles it will play in the USAF’s evolving concepts of operations -- “conops” -- which address the needs of the 21st Century.

    10. How to See Stealth This F-15E from Lakenheath on an OIF mission carried fuel, targeting pods, air-to-ground weapons and air-to-air missiles externally Internal weapons carriage is one easy-to-spot improvement. Without weapons and targeting pods, the F/A-22 signature is reduced even more. (Of course, the F/A-22 can carry weapons and fuel tanks externally in a ferry configuration.)Internal weapons carriage is one easy-to-spot improvement. Without weapons and targeting pods, the F/A-22 signature is reduced even more. (Of course, the F/A-22 can carry weapons and fuel tanks externally in a ferry configuration.)

    11. F-22 and F-35: Partnership F-22 technology development and risk reduction flow to F-35 Looked at more broadly, the F/A-22 and F-35 are transformation partners. The F/A-22 program pioneered many of the technologies for F-35; and the F-35 will flow technology, such as the radar, back to the F/A-22. Beyond the technology development, the F/A-22 will also pioneer the layered, network approach to warfighting. The F/A-22 will retain unique capabilities (and so will the F-35) but the F/A-22 will again take the lead in developing new concepts of operation and laying the foundation for ongoing transformation in air warfare tactics and operations. Looked at more broadly, the F/A-22 and F-35 are transformation partners. The F/A-22 program pioneered many of the technologies for F-35; and the F-35 will flow technology, such as the radar, back to the F/A-22. Beyond the technology development, the F/A-22 will also pioneer the layered, network approach to warfighting. The F/A-22 will retain unique capabilities (and so will the F-35) but the F/A-22 will again take the lead in developing new concepts of operation and laying the foundation for ongoing transformation in air warfare tactics and operations.

    12. True to Plan: Major Fighter Aircraft Buys 1988-2015

    13. Comptroller’s Plan December 2004: PBD 753 (FY06 PB)

    14. Crisis: Major Fighter Aircraft Buys 1988-2015

    15. The Legacy Force Mix Active Component

    17. Threat Environment Iraq 2003: 2884 launches in 25 days Peak: 190 launches on Day 15 Persistent mobile SAMs moved daily SA-2, SA-3, SA-6s, Rolands 66% were unlocated despite 12 years of operations and one year of accelerated SAM destruction Kosovo 1999: 894 SAM launches in 78 days Peak: 43 launches on Day 39

    18. Red Air 500 surface to air missiles, about 120 are SA-10 class and beyond500 surface to air missiles, about 120 are SA-10 class and beyond

    19. Getting Back on Track?

    20. F-22 Termination Options To maintain full service life requires purchase of over 300 F-22s. The Air Force realizes fiscal constraints make this impossible. There are 3 termination options. Do not execute Lot 10 and halt the program now at 183 aircraft. Because of the small fleet and shortened service life, this option carries too much joint warfighting risk. Execute Lot 10 and defer analysis of the right number of F-22s to the QDR. Buy 3 more lots to yield three more squadrons for a total of 10 squadrons of F-22s. ACC supports this position. To maintain full service life requires purchase of over 300 F-22s. The Air Force realizes fiscal constraints make this impossible. There are 3 termination options. Do not execute Lot 10 and halt the program now at 183 aircraft. Because of the small fleet and shortened service life, this option carries too much joint warfighting risk. Execute Lot 10 and defer analysis of the right number of F-22s to the QDR. Buy 3 more lots to yield three more squadrons for a total of 10 squadrons of F-22s. ACC supports this position.

    21. Way Ahead…

    23. F-22 Workforce Impact The end of F-22 production means the loss of 17,000 direct jobs from prime partners and suppliers. Currently there are 26,657 direct F-22 jobs spread across many states. Under the best case, 5300 jobs where the same suppliers are under contract for both programs will transfer from F-22 to F-35. About 4400 jobs will remain on F-22 until 2014 for final production, modification and close-out.The end of F-22 production means the loss of 17,000 direct jobs from prime partners and suppliers. Currently there are 26,657 direct F-22 jobs spread across many states. Under the best case, 5300 jobs where the same suppliers are under contract for both programs will transfer from F-22 to F-35. About 4400 jobs will remain on F-22 until 2014 for final production, modification and close-out.

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