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DISASTER RESILIENCE: THE ONGOING CHALLENGE OF COMMUNITIES DURING THE 21 ST CENTURY. Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction . THE CHALLENGE OF THE 21 ST CENTURY. Ensuring the resiliency of COMMUNITIES to today’s increasingly complex disasters. .
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DISASTER RESILIENCE: THE ONGOING CHALLENGE OF COMMUNITIES DURING THE 21ST CENTURY Dr. Walter Hays, Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction
THE CHALLENGE OF THE 21ST CENTURY • Ensuring the resiliency of COMMUNITIES to today’s increasingly complex disasters.
Recent history has shown that a community’s survival depends more than ever upon its capability to bounce back after a complex event causes a disaster
A SNAPHOT OF OUR WORLD • 6.6 billion people, and growing while… • Living and competing in an interconnected global economy, • Producing $60 trillion of products each year, and • Facing many kinds of complex disasters that can adversely impact their 3 S’s, 5E’s, and 1H.
THEIR 3 S’s • SAFETY (from an increasing number of complex events that are causing disasters) • SECURITY • SUSTAINABILITY
THE FIVE E’s • ECONOMY • ENERGY • ENVIRONMENT • ECOLOGY • EDUCATION
THEIR H • HEALTH
A DISASTER is --- --- the set of failures that overwhelm the capability of a community torespond without external help when three continuums: 1) people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) complex events (e.g., floods, earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in space and time.
THE THREE CONTINUUMS OF EVERY DISASTER PEOPLE COMMUNITY COMPLEX EVENTS
Single- or multiple-event natural hazards that, (for various reasons), cause extreme levels of morbidity, mortality, homelessness, joblessness, economic losses, and environmental impacts. COMPLEX EVENTS THAT CAN CAUSE A DISASTER
The official death toll stood at 69,197as of Wednesday , July 9th, according to China’s State Council Information Office . The number of injured and missing stood at 374,176 and 18,379 respectively DEATHS, INJURED, AND MISSING IN SICHUAN QUAKE
COMPLEX EVENTS THAT CAN CAUSE A DISASTER • Loss of function of a critical part of the critical infrastructure in a city (especially true for a megacity)
COMPLEX EVENTS THAT CAN CAUSE A DISASTER • Large-scale migration of people who have suddenly become refugees
COMPLEX EVENTS THAT CAN CAUSE A DISASTER • Conflict and terrorism
COMPLEX EVENTS THAT CAN CAUSE A DISASTER • Unanticipated threats related to “what if” scenarios or projections of global warming and global climate change.
Environmental degradation and pollution of air, water, and soil, instantaneously and over time. COMPLEX EVENTS THAT CAN CAUSE A DISASTER
JAPAN’S FUKUSHIMA NUCLEAR FACILITY: MARCH 11, 2011 Radiation leaks and threats of partial melt down developed in four of the six reactors as a result of the quake/tsunami.
CHARACTERISTICS OF A SOLUTION SET • To anticipate and plan for the full spectrum of what can happen • To build capacity at the community level for preparedness, protection, response, and recovery • To build equity in all sectors of the community • To inform, educate, and train
BUILDING CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE • Clarify the nature and extent of the problem on local, regional, and global scales if a complex event occurs. • Identify the gaps in capacity in the four critical elements of the solution. • Concentrate resources on filling the gaps in the four critical elements of the solution and start creating turning points.
HAZARD MAPS • INVENTORY • VULNERABILITY • LOCATION • BEST POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR: • PREPAREDNESS • PROTECTION • RESPONSE & RECOVERY DISASTER RESILIENCE RISK ASSESSMENT ACCEPTABLE RISK RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK ANTICIPATORY DECISIONS YOUR COMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS
CRITICAL E;EMENTS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE • PREPAREDNESS (READY FOR ANY COMPLEX EVENT) • PROTECTION (BUILD ESSENTIAL AND CRITICAL FACILITIES TO WITHSTAND)
STEP ONE: FINDING AND ENGAGING PARTNERS Finding and engaging community stakeholders who are willing to commit to the goal of becoming a disaster-resilient community.
EXAMPLES: politicians, business leaders, scientists, engineers, health-care specialists, social scientists, teachers, the print and electronic media, etc.
The best chance of reaching the goal is when the community at risk is well informed about the likelihood of complex events (e.g., floods) that can cause a disaster and is developing the capacity to prepare, protect, respond, and recover in case one impacts their community. STEP TWO: Educating and eQUIPING for action
CRITICAL ELEMENT ONE • 1) PREPAREDNESS— Anticipatory, cost-effective actions that increase the community’s readiness for the complex events most likely to occur in terms of the com-munity’s location and history.
CRITICAL ELEMENT TWO • 2) PROTECTION— Anticipatory actions that protect the community’s people, buildings, and the critical and essential facilities from failing if and when a disaster occurs.
COMMON AGENDA FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE • RESPONSE (SAVING LIVES, AND ENSURING CONTINUITY) • RECOVERY (BOUNCING BACK QUICKLY AND RESUMING LIFE AVAIN)
JAPAN: MARCH 12, 2011 MASS CARE: WAITING TO RECEIVE FOOD / WATER
CRITICAL ELEMENT THREE • 3) RESPONSE— Actions that focus community resources on saving lives, preserving community assets, and ensuring continuity before, during, and after a complex event causes a disaster.
CRITICAL ELEMENT FOUR • 4) RECOVERY— Actions that quickly enable the community to bounce back after a complex event causes a disaster, and resuming life again.
SICHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE CLEANUP AND RECONSTRUCTION UNDERWAY: JULY 9, 2008
As a part of the recovery process, soldiers are helping by disinfecting and cleaning up Beichuan, one of the areas that was razed to the ground after suffering heavy damage and casualties on May 12th. BEICHUAN COUNTY, CHINA