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Radio Paging Wireless Messaging Wireless Data. Creating Business From Technology. by Brad Dye. An Overview of the Paging Business. The Past A Brief History of Paging The Present State of the Paging Business New Products and Services Problems Consolidation Convergence The Future
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Radio PagingWireless MessagingWireless Data Creating Business From Technology by Brad Dye
An Overview of thePaging Business • The Past • A Brief History of Paging • The Present State of the Paging Business • New Products and Services • Problems • Consolidation • Convergence • The Future • Opportunities • Risks and Competition
By type of Pager Tone Only Tone & Voice Numeric Display Alphanumeric Display By Distribution Mostly Direct Sales By Market Business Doctor Plumber Electrician Personal Use Consumer Market A Brief History of Paging
The Present State of the Paging Business • Distribution • Retail • Resellers • Strategic Alliances • Convergence • “Paging” has become “Messaging” • The influence of the Internet • Consolidation • Acquisitions • Mergers • Problems • MobileMedia bankruptcy • Conxus bankruptcy • Risks • PCS - SMS • Full Duplex Wireless Data Services
New Products and Services The Evolution of Paging The Paging Value Chain SUBSCRIBER BENEFITS Asymmetrical Messaging 2.0 Full Two-way Full Interactive Advanced Paging Subscriber Initiated Canned Message Initiation 1.7 Subscriber Response Single Packet Response Improved Paging Reliable Delivery Acknowledgement 1.5 Automatic Roaming Registration Only Basic Paging 1.0 One-way Paging Broadcast
The Future of Paging • The Future • Opportunities • Risks • Competition • Related Business Opportunities • Information Content • Web Clipping • News • Stock Quotations • Message Dispatching Services • Universal Access to Messaging Services
The “Paging” businessis changing into theWireless Data Business The Internet is the greatest development for the dissemination of information to the masses since Johann Gutenberg invented the Printing Press
According to Life Magazine, the most significant event of the millennium is Johann Gutenberg’s printing of the Bible. On the eve of the twenty-first century, Life, in its “Top 100 Events of the Millennium,” recently featured those events that had the greatest impact on the course of history in the past 2,000 years. • Among Life’ Magazine’s “Top 100 Events” are: • Checking accounts (# 84) • The Icemaker (# 53) • The Telephone (# 20) • Henry Ford’s Model T (# 17) • America’s Declaration of Independence (# 8) • The discovery of the New World (# 2) • It was Gutenberg’s 1455 Bible, however, that Life considers the “most far-reaching” of all the technological achievements of the millennium. According to Life, it was that achievement, during a time when books were extremely expensive and in short supply, which “unleashed an information epidemic that rages to this day. In 1455, there were fewer than 30,000 books in the world. By 1500, there were over 9 million.”
The Growth of the Internet Source: NUA Internet Surveys
The World Wide Web92 Million Surfers Strong An eye-popping 92 million Americans and Canadians, or 40 percent of the population over the age of 16, report they use the Web, according to the 1999 CommerceNet Nielsen Media Research study. The report also shows growth in e-commerce: 55 million surfers shop online and more than half of them are buying. Source: “The Industry Standard”
Business WebExpenditures to Quintuple Corporate investment in Web-enabling technology will continue to grow both in the U.S. and abroad. A new analysis from International Data Corp. shows domestic spending of $174 billion in 1999 will be outpaced by that of foreign firms, which is expected to hit $305 billion. By 2003, companies will spend $2.2 trillion worldwide. Source: “The Industry Standard”
Half of U.S. HomesNow Have PCs Although analysts have declared the coming end to the PC era, new research from ZD InfoBeads shows another 6.4 million American households acquired PCs in the past year. That brings the PC-owning total to 52 million, or 50 percent of homes. Lower-income households accounted for the greatest percentage of new home PCs. Source: “The Industry Standard”
Current Estimate of theNumber of Users on the Internet World Total 179 million Africa 1.14 million Asia/Pacific 26.97 million Europe 42.69 million Middle East 0.88 million Canada & USA 102.03 million Latin America 5.29 million * * Nielsen Media Research Spring of 1999 estimated 92 million Source: NUA Internet Surveys
$ The Wheel of Opportunity The Wheel Of Fortune The First Wheel
The Wheel Of Fortune $ PDA’s Palm Pilot etc. Telemetry Electronic Parole Commerce Interactive Web Auctions Wireless Chat Conference Business Group Calls Individual Messaging Advertising Graphics Text GPS Location Tracking 1-way notification 2-way interactive E-mail Web Clipping Special Interest News
Telemetry Services • Automobile Interfaces • Locate - Stolenbetter than LOJACK™ • Start / Stop Motor • Roll Up / Down Windows • Lock / Unlock Doors • Car Report - Problem to Dealer • Security • Home / Business • Personal Security • “I’ve fallen and can’t get up” • Campus systems • Wireless vs. WireRing of Protection • Copy Machines • Vending Machines • Sprinklers & Irrigation • Flood Control • Electrical Control • Load Shedding • Remote Switching • Courier Drop Boxes • Remote Monitoring • Equipment Breakdown • ManufacturingProduction Lines • Interrogation
Telemetry Products CreataLink™Control Module CreataLink™ 2XT 2-way DataTransceiver For 1-way Paging 8 I/O ports Serial Port for Electronic Signs
Personal Digital Assistants with wireless interface modules • The Palm Pilot (and many others) • One-way • Two-way • Automatic Schedule Routing • Telephone Numbers • Handwriting to Alphanumeric Paging • Advertising • Graphics • Coupon Clipping • Special Sales
Wireless Chat or Conference • Peer-To-Peer communications • Executive conferences • Emergency votes by Boards of Directors • Meeting coordination and scheduling • Better service than telephones can offer • Wireless Surveys
Individual Messaging • Traditional Alphanumeric Text Messaging will continue to be popular • The “good” has been the enemy of the “best” (numeric vs. alphanumeric) • New methods of text entry into paging systems will change this thanks to the Internet • Alphanumeric message dispatch centers • Someday - Speech Recognition to text
Advertisingwith Graphics & Text • The Motorola CP1250 Pager • Graphics Capability - Company Logos • Full Page • 1/2 Page • Optimized for Information Services • 8 lines of text (zoom to 4 lines) • 483,000 character memory • Many maildrop options
E-mail • One-way Paging • E-mail Notification - Summaries • Two-way Paging • Interactive E-mail - Send and Receive • Filtering • Content • Length • Subject • Sender
Special Interest News • Sports • Sport Specific • Team Specific • Specialized Industry News • Stock Quotations • News for any Special Interest • Stamp Collecting, Boy Scouts, Bass Fishing, etc. • Social, Religious, Fraternal Organizations
Web Clipping • Too much Data - not enough Information • Air Time Concerns (bandwidth) • The W@P protocol will give wireless devices efficient access to the internet • Condensed Web Clipping • New Internet Formats coming • 90% of Wireless Handset Manufacturers have adopted W@P
GPS Location & Tracking • Track Shipping • Hazardous Materials • Valuables • Organ Transplants • Lost Children • Executives • Emergency 911 position location • Asset Tracking • Alzheimer's Patients • Surveillance
Business Group Calls • Employee Benefits News • Senior Executive Bulletins • Corporate Security Response Teams • Evacuation • Fire / Flood • Medical Emergencies • Executive Protection • Meetings
Commerce & Web Auctions • Web Commerce is the largest and fastest-growing business in history • Web Auctions Expected to render Classified Advertising Obsolete by 2002 • On-line News will probably kill the newspaper by 2002 • Two-way Pagers offer the possibility of Interactive Bidding
Electronic Parole • The tracking of people on parole is attracting substantial interest in the law enforcement community
Miscellaneous Trivia • More data is sent over the paging infrastructure than by all other forms of mobile data communications combined. • Paging is one of the fastest-growing segments of the telecommunications industry. • One out of every seven people will carry a wireless device by the year 2000. This prediction is supported by the fact that today one in ten paging subscribers is under age 18. • By the year 2000, the number of subscribers is expected to grow to nearly 70 million. • Demand for alphanumeric messaging is growing at twice the rate of numeric paging. A similar trend is occurring in demand for increased coverage. Demand for wide area coverage is growing at twice the rate as local coverage. • One of the hottest emerging paging applications is the wireless delivery of electronic mail. Little wonder since nearly 75 percent of U.S. professionals now spend more than 20 percent of their time away from the office. • There are more than 600 paging companies operating in the United States; of that number, the top 30 companies constitute 95 percent of the business.