An earthquake disaster management mechanism based on risk assessment information for the tourism industry-a case study f

1. An earthquake disaster management mechanism based on risk assessmentinformation for the tourism industry-a case study from the island of Taiwan

2. Tourism Management (Elsevier) • International publishing company • Medical and scientific literature • Impact factor: 2.597 • 5 year impact factor: 3.701  • 6 issues per year • primary research articles, discussion of current issues, case studies, reports, book reviews and forthcoming meetings • relevant to both academics and practitioners

3. Management of disaster risk • Four variables: • Hazard • Exposure • Location • Vulnerability • R = H x V x E • R: disaster risk • H: ratio of disaster occurrence • E: exposure of persons or property to the disaster • V: damage level.

4. Methods • detailed building structural design data are utilized to create • a complicated mechanics model: Non-linear structural dynamic analysis or static analysis can be performed with structural analysis software: - SAP (Structural Analysis Program) • - ETABS(Extended 3D Analysis of Building Systems) • more precise estimation of possible earthquake loss requires large blocks of computation time, and the spending of a lot of money  inapplicable for earthquake loss assessment for ordinary structures (more suitable for special and more important buildings

5. Similarity to Hainan • Potential exposure to disasters (earthquakes)

7. Rapid assessment module Detailed assessment module

8. Rapid assessment module • helps tourism operators quickly gain an understanding of the disaster-forming characteristics in their own particular environments, and thus help them put in place disaster response measures as soon as possible.

9. Detailed assessment module • used for assessing the probability that a catastrophic incident will occur in a region and potential losses incurred there-from.

10. The module is compromised of four component modules

11. The hazard module • maximum acceleration value for a hard site (by Loh, Baw, and Yeh (1992)) • maximum acceleration value for a soft site (by Loh, Baw, and Yeh (1992)) • M: magnitude on the Richter scale • R: the shortest distance (km) to the fault plane

12. Financial analysis module • used to compute the loss from the financial viewpoint of relevant parties • l: loss caused by the earthquake • D: deductible • C: insured amount

13. The disaster risk module • R = H x V x E • R: disaster risk • H: ratio of disaster occurrence • E: exposure of persons or property to the disaster • V: damage level

15. To effectively mitigate the high risk caused by natural disasters, we need: • Continuous implementation of damage prevention strategies • Utilization of insurance policies • Organizational coinsurance mechanisms

16. To prevent and mitigate the human casualties and financial loss, the author proposes both rapid and detailed assessments modules

17. What can we learn? • We must consider the risks of natural disasters, such as earthquakes, for preventing and/or mitigating the financial loss and human casualties • The rapid and detailed assessment modules can help us to study and know better Hainan’s earthquake risks and overcoming these

18. Thank you!