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Deaths from smoking

This presentation provides estimates of the number of deaths caused by smoking in Central Asia, with particular emphasis on middle-aged deaths. Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net.

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Deaths from smoking

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  1. Deaths from smoking in Central Asia Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan

  2. Deaths from smokingin Central Asia • Particular emphasis is given to the number of deathsin middle age (defined as ages 35 to 69) • Available on www.deathsfromsmoking.net • This presentation provides estimates of the number of deaths caused by smoking in Central Asia

  3. Source of data: “Mortality from Smoking in Developed Countries, 1950–2000” • Uses WHO mortality data for lung cancer and for other diseases, and UN population data • Updated edition of a 1994 book, authored by an international team of scientists: – Richard Peto, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Oxford – Alan Lopez, Professor of Medical Statistics, University of Queensland – Jillian Boreham, Senior Research Fellow, University of Oxford – Michael Thun, Chief of Epidemiology, American Cancer Society www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  4. Central Asia Deaths from smoking, 1980 to 2000 • About 80% (891,000) of them were still in middleagewhen they died • This was about one in five of all the deaths inmiddle age during this period (891,000 out ofthe 4.5 million deaths at ages 35-69) • About 1.1 million people died from smoking during this 20-year period in Central Asia www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  5. Central Asia, year 2000 Annual deaths from smoking • About 39,000 die in middle age from smoking • Many of those killed in middle age would have lived on for 10, 20, 30 or more good years • About 19 years of life are lost, on average, by those killed in middle age by smoking • Smoking kills about 52,000 people a year in Central Asia www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  6. 52,000smoking 51,087*non-medical Murder/assault Falls Suicide Drowning Road accidents Poisoning Plane crashes Fires Train crashes Floods/storms Accidents at work Other natural disasters Accidents at home Other accidents *in year 2000 Central Asia, year 2000 Smoking causes about as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  7. 12,000cancer* 24,000vascular (heart disease, stroke and other diseases of the arteries and veins) 9,000respiratory 7,000other *includes 7,300 (77%) ofthe 9,541 lung cancer deaths Central Asia, year 2000 Smoking kills 52,000 people a year,from many different diseases www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  8. 12,000 (20%)from smoking 60,000total cancer deaths 11,000 (34%)from smoking 32,000male 1,000 (4%) from smoking 28,000female Central Asia, year 2000 About one in five of all cancer deathsis due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  9. Male deaths in middle age from smoking • This pattern is seen first in middle age, then in old age • The next three slides concentrate on male deathsin middle age • The main pattern of increase and, eventually, decrease in premature deaths from smoking is at a more advanced stage among men than among women www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  10. Central Asia, year 2000 About one in four of all deaths inmiddle-aged men is due to smoking* *35,000 (23%) of the155,00 deaths at ages 35-69 www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  11. • 53 die in middle age* • 12 of these 53 deaths are from smoking 53% 12 *risks at year 2000death rates for ages 35-69 Central Asia, year 2000 Of 100 men aged 35 years … www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  12. 1985199019952000 Smoking All causes 50% 15 15 50% 15 56% 12 53% *risks at period-specificdeath rates for ages 35-69 Central Asia, 1985-2000 Male death in middle age: changing hazards* www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  13. Central Asia, year 2000 Summary for the whole population In Central Asia: • Smoking kills about 52,000 men and women every year • About 39,000 die in middle age from smoking • Smoking causes about as many deaths as all non-medical causes put together • About one in five of all cancer deaths is due to smoking www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  14. Messages for the individual smoker • Those killed in middle age lose many years • Stopping smoking works • Even in early middle age, those who stop (before they have lung cancer or some other fatal disease) avoid most of their risk of being killed by tobacco • Stopping before middle age works even better • The risk is big: about half are killed www.deathsfromsmoking.net

  15. Deaths from smoking:an electronic resource • www.deathsfromsmoking.net • Published by • International Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006 • Funded by • Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of Oxford • International Union Against Cancer (UICC) • Fogarty International Center, US NIH • UK Medical Research Council • Cancer Research UK • Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian Boreham • Project management Sinéad Jones • Advice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish Cotter • Design bwa-design.co.uk

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