global perspective on social-economic transformation

1. globalperspectiveonsocial-economictransformation bygaborkarsai

2. two parallel worlds polarisation(twosides of globalisation) • climatechange, economiccrisis, increasinggapbetweenrich and poor, loss of meaning vs • socialnetworking, travel, culturalexperience, meeting people, rise of themiddleclass uncertaintyaboutthefuture

4. megatrends • globalisation & deregulation • urbanisation & migration • climatechange & sustainability • population & lifespangrowth • localisation & re-regulation

5. otherideastowatch • avatarassistants • biomimicry • cleancoal • comforteating • contextual deficit • diminishinguse of email • decline of voicecommunication • electrification of transport • facialrecognitionon mobile phones • genehacking • holographictelepresence • increasingcomplexity • local living • mobile money • peakwater • peer-to-peerlanding/giving • quantumcomputing • reversemigration • self-tracking • smartinfrastructure • sloweducation • shift fromproductstoexperiences • ultra-efficientsolar • valueredefinition • voluntarysimplicity

6. europeanstrategy and policyanalysissystem (espas) greateruncertainties but broader opportunities in thenexttwodecades • an age of convergence vsconflicting nationalisms • an age of scarcity vshuman development • an age of multilateralism vs fragmentation

7. the empowerment of individuals • a global human community but a growing expectations gap • converging values and demands but risks of extremism • demands for politicalparticipation but dangers of populism

8. greater human development but inequality, climate change and scarcity • greater stress on sustainable development against a backdropof greater resource scarcity and persistent poverty, compounded by the consequences ofclimate change • a rising middle class but persistent poverty and inequality • climatechange and scarcities: challenges to human development • human security: protectingcitizens

9. apolycentric world but a growing governance gap • emergence of a more polycentric world characterised by a shift of power away from states • apower shift to asiabut greater uncertainty • diffusionof power but dangers of fragmentation • global initiatives but a governance gap • growing governance gaps as the mechanisms for inter-staterelations fail to respond adequately to global public demands

10. transformation • scenarios (rudylohmeyer): • globalcollapse • management takeover (china, corporations) • transformation (social, economic, cultural, mental etc.) intoglobalparticipatorygovernance + crunch-crunch • change, transformationvsrevolution • r-evolution

11. whydonotweacttoavoidcollapse? danielgilbert (psychologist at harvard): howwerespondtothreats (terrorismvsclimatechange; childmolestersvsobesity) • intentional • immoral • imminent • instantaneous

12. conditions of transformation • identity and energy • gapbetweenimaginary and real • fearsvshopes (fearvs love)

13. conditions of transformation identity and energy • question of identity: who are we? • humansaregods (godsarehumans) • humansaremachines (machinesarehumans) • humansareanimals (animalsarehumans) • humansaresystems (systemsarehumans) • humansarecooperators (ants, termites, bees) • humansaree.t.’s (e.t.’sarehumans)

14. clash of identities • man • husband • father • car-driver • hungarian • director • vegetarian • TV-watcher • thinker • tourist • iPaduser • etc. • human • whereliestheboundary of ouridentity? • shall I be more or less? • more meanstendency of exclusivism • less meansgivingspacetotheother

15. conditions of transformation tensionbetweenimaginary and real • lack of alignmentbetween • thoughtsand actions • beliefsand behaviours • theories and practices • becomepractitioners • howtogetignited?

16. newparadigm metaphysically • weare in thistogether: usvsme; collectivevsindividual • individualismvscommunismvs ? • „individual in community” • interrelationsnotatomicsubstances • eachentity is uniquebutinterrelated

17. newparadigm historically & evolutionarily • where lies the power of sovereignty? • from tribe to clan • fromclantopeople • from people to nation • from nation to international community • from international community to one humanity • usvsthem

18. newparadigm politically • end of blocks • danielbell: liberal in politics (liberty), socialistineconomy (equality), conservativeinculture (fraternity) • barrettvalues centre: „beliefsdivide, valuesunite” • newinstitutionsareneeded • newleadershipparadigm

19. beliefsdivide, valuesunite • caring • family • humor/ fun • honesty • friendship • responsibility • compassion • respect • accountability • positive attitude • family • caring • honesty • responsibility • humor/ fun • accountability • respect • positive attitude • integrity • friendship

20. what is thedifference? security, prosperity, peace vs peace, prosperity, security

21. newparadigm economically • sustainability • goodeconomyorneweconomy • changethefundamentals: human behaviour • takersvsleavers • „economics of enough” • „economics of abundance” • „small is beautiful” • beyondthethreesectors: public (government), private (business), social (ngo’s)

22. examples • ashokainnovatorsfor the public (drayton) • b corps (houlahan, gilbert) • bpeace (businesses forpeace) • businessas an agent of worldbenefit (bawb) • consciouscapitalism (sisodia, mackey) • plan b (branson)

23. newparadigm mentally & spiritually • institutionsarecreatedby and composed of people • newinstitutionsmean „newpeople” • inside-outapproach • alignedvalues and behaviours, authenticity • participation • action- and solution-orientedapproach

24. a newworld is emerging • canhumans be likebees, antsand termites? • „thinkglobally, actlocally” („glocal”) • marcgafni, author: thinklocally, actlocally • doyour part, the rest will be takencare of • butdoyour part • „when i change, thewholeworldchanges” • expansion of love and compassion