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Energy Forum

Energy Forum. Sponsored by Republican Central Committee of Talbot County Mid-Shore League of Republican Women Republican Women of Talbot County Republican Council. Keeping the Lights On: A Challenge for the Eastern Shore March 23, 2010. Dan Ervin, Ph. D. Director, ShoreENERGY ™

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Energy Forum

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  1. Energy Forum Sponsored by Republican Central Committee of Talbot County Mid-Shore League of Republican Women Republican Women of Talbot County Republican Council

  2. Keeping the Lights On: A Challenge for the Eastern ShoreMarch 23, 2010 Dan Ervin, Ph. D. Director, ShoreENERGY™ Wilson H. Elkins Professor Sponsored By: The Republican Council of Talbot County The Republican Central Committee The Mid-Shore League of Republican Women The Republican Women of Talbot County 10/1/2014 2

  3. Energy Economy Environment Energy National Security 10/1/2014 3

  4. Energy and the Economy The economy and energy are closely related. Expect higher energy prices in the future Why? Carbon Legislation Updating infrastructure 10/1/2014 4

  5. Domestic Energy Flow, 2008(Quadrillion Btu) 10/1/2014 5

  6. U. S. Primary Energy Production, 2008(Quadrillion Btu) 10/1/2014 6

  7. U. S. Primary Energy Consumption, 2008(Quadrillion Btu) 10/1/2014 7

  8. Share of Energy Consumed by Major Sectors of the Economy 10/1/2014 8

  9. Current State of Electricity on the Eastern Shore of Maryland “The Delmarva Peninsula has long been a load pocket with significantly higher power prices and lower reliability than adjoining areas. Although the Delmarva area is not densely populated, it is now experiencing rapid population and load growth. Recent small-scale transmission upgrades have been helpful but will not be sufficient to meet the peninsula’s future needs.” DOE 2006 10/1/2014 9

  10. Important Electricity Facilities on the Eastern Shore of Maryland 10/1/2014 10

  11. Important Electricity Facilities on Delmarva 10/1/2014 11

  12. Transmission National and Regional Issues • Is transmission investment needed? Yes • Congestion • Reliability • Generation Shortage • When? • Where? 10/1/2014 12

  13. Renewable Energy and Transmission • Environmental • System Reliability, Capacity, Flexibility • North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) • Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) • Vattenfall Experience • Texas Experience 10/1/2014 13

  14. Energy and CO2 per Dollar GDP, per Capita Energy index, 2005=1 History Projections Energy per capita Energy per dollar GDP CO2 per dollar GDP Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2010 10/1/2014 14

  15. Top Seven Uses of Electricity in the Home Space Heating Water Heating Refrigerators Freezers Ranges/Ovens Spacing Cooling Lighting • Mid-1970s • 7,900 kWh • Mid-2000s • 7,100 kWh 10/1/2014 15

  16. Transportation Fuels • Crude Oil • Gasoline • Diesel • Bio-Fuels 10/1/2014 16

  17. Dan Ervin, Ph. D. Director ShoreENERGY Associate Professor of Finance Wilson H. Elkins Professor DMErvin@salisbury.edu 10/1/2014 17

  18. Energy Forum George Hamilton

  19. Energy Forum

  20. Energy Forum 5 year capacity additions CO2 24% CO2 51% 2% CO2 CO2 16% CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 2%

  21. An Update on the Transmission and Energy Needs of the Maryland Eastern Shorefor the Talbot County Energy Forum March 23, 2010 William C. Mitchell, P.E. Manager Transmission Services

  22. Topics for today • Update on Load Growth on The Delmarva Peninsula • Fuel Sources used to supply the load • Transmission system upgrades planned • Delmarva Peninsula • PJM Region

  23. Load Growth on the Delmarva Peninsula • Peak Load • All Time Peak Load (Delmarva Peninsula): 2006: 4,288 MW • Peak for Summer 2009: 3,843 MW • Forecast Peak Summer 2010: 4,023 MW • Factors Influencing Peak Load • Weather • Economy • Industrial Load

  24. Fuel Sources Energy Source (Fuel Mix) Purchased by PHI to Serve Load July 1, 2008 – June 30, 2009 Fuel Mix of Peninsula Generation Generation on the Delmarva Peninsula

  25. Transmission on the Delmarva Peninsula • Future Transmission Upgrades (2010 – 2014) • Two new 230 kV lines • One new 138 kV line • Rebuild of a 69 kV line • Five new or upgraded step down transformers

  26. PJM Backbone Transmission Projects Overview PA PUC approves construction of PA portion on January 14 NJ BPU approved construction of the NJ portion February 11, the entire line to be in service June 2012 Allegheny and AEP file to withdraw VA application for line on December 29. Plan to re-file in June after PJM annual study completed “PATH” Line “TRAIL” Line MAPP Line Line under construction; due to be completed by June 2011 PHI files to suspend proceeding on January 8 until after PJM annual study completed 3

  27. MAPP • MAPP will address reliability violations as identified by PJM • MAPP will provide a path for more energy to flow into the Delmarva Peninsula • MAPP will allow the integration of off-shore wind into the PJM grid MAPP w

  28. US Electric Rates by State Electric rates exhibit bicoastal polarity with less expensive rates closer to coal and less environmentally regulated areas. 2008 Average Electric Rates($/kWh) Averages – Commercial = 10.24¢/kWh, Industrial = 6.96¢/kWh Sources: Energy Information Administration. Page 31

  29. US Electric Rates by State Electric rates exhibit bicoastal polarity with less expensive rates closer to coal and less environmentally regulated areas. 2008 US C&I Average: 8.6 cents per kWh Cents per kWh Less than 6 6 < price < 8 8 < price < 10 10 < price <12 Greater than 12 Source: Energy Information Administration Page 32

  30. Questions If you have a question, please write it on the cards provided and raise your hand so it can be picked up by one of our volunteers. Similar questions will be consolidated. You may designate your question for a specific panelist if you choose.

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