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Understanding Community-Level Adaptive Capacities: Current Challenges and Future Directions

Explore the scale of vulnerability and adaptive capacity in adaptation research at the community level, focusing on systems research, structural parameters, mobilization mechanisms, and key institutions. Identify specific risks, priority investments, and trajectories to enhance adaptive capacities. Analyze the implications of policy responses and the value of historical knowledge in shaping future directions for adaptive capacity research.

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Understanding Community-Level Adaptive Capacities: Current Challenges and Future Directions

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  1. Thinking about vulnerability and adaptive capacity

  2. Scale of analysis (and action) Adaptation research has scaled up to the community level Systems research Structural parameters/slow variables What does community level illuminate? Articulation and linkages Obscures heterogeneity

  3. Current challenges to AC as an analytical concept Is more than assets How do people mobilize AC? Institutions are key Measure vs. characterize ACs do not exist in isolation Synergies and trade-offs Generic and specific ACs Identify specific risks What are the priority investments? AC can be enhanced and eroded

  4. Adger et. al 2011 AC implications of policy responses Ecological and social AC Constrain local responses Mask feedbacks Problem framing

  5. Methods - Trajectories -

  6. Value of past as analogue Tensions between history and unknown future Cultural logic of adaptation

  7. Trajectories Directionality Historical depth Inflection points

  8. NE Brazil Characterizing risk Measuring trends Explaining trends

  9. Value of understanding trajectories Identify what works/inflection points Measure adaptive capacities Determine clustering of ACs

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