Forecasting for Seasonal Locations

Forecasting for Seasonal Locations

Locations w/ Seasonal Variations • Summer Resorts (Beach, Lake, Mountain) • Winter Resorts (Ski Destinations) • Snowbird Areas (Florida, Arizona) • College Towns • Other (Special Events)

Keys to Good Seasonal Forecasting • Historical Store Data (if available) • Good casing data by month / season • Creating a base forecasting period (census) • Understanding the dynamics of population change by season • Understanding where the potential is derived • Time shares, rental homes, hotels, campgrounds, daytime population

Store Sales History January $138,255 July $984,007 February $136,532 August $886,226 March $163,831 Sept $420,225 April $206,038 October $236,773 May $396,244 November $169,324 June $821,486 December $226,024

Balanced for April

Census Base Population

Forecasting for Seasonal Locations

Forecasting for Seasonal Locations

Presentation Transcript

Methods for Forecasting Seasonal Items With Intermittent Demand

Seasonal Forecasting 101

Initialization Techniques in Seasonal Forecasting

Initialization Techniques in Seasonal Forecasting

Experimental seasonal hydrologic forecasting for the Western U.S.

Section 7.5: Forecasting Using Seasonal indices

QBO (Seasonal Forecasting)

Initialization Techniques in Seasonal Forecasting

SEASONAL FORECASTING- A RE/INSURANCE PERSPECTIVE

The Science of Seasonal Climate Forecasting

Seasonal Forecasting From DEMETER to ENSEMBLES

Met Office seasonal forecasting for winter 2010-11

Probabilistic seasonal water supply forecasting in

The fundamentals of Seasonal Forecasting

Initialization and Ensemble generation for Seasonal Forecasting

JMA Activity in Sub-seasonal Forecasting

Seasonal forecasting: status and plans

Available products for Seasonal forecasting

IRI Seasonal Forecasting Update

Forecasting Seasonal and

3 Great Locations for Seasonal Eyewear Sales Olympic Eyewear