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Youth Unemployment. Alan Ferrier & Ryan Scott Employability, Skills & lifelong Learning Analysis 5 th April 2012. Scotland & UK (1992 – 2011). SCOTLAND 24.7%. UK 21.5%. International Comparisons. Spain (48.6%). Scotland (24.3%). UK (21.9%). Germany (7.1%). Youths in Scotland.
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Youth Unemployment Alan Ferrier & Ryan Scott Employability, Skills & lifelong Learning Analysis 5th April 2012
Scotland & UK (1992 – 2011) SCOTLAND 24.7% UK 21.5%
International Comparisons Spain (48.6%) Scotland (24.3%) UK (21.9%) Germany (7.1%)
Youths in Scotland 603,000 16-24 year olds in Scotland 314,000 in EMPLOYMENT (52%) 186,000 INACTIVE (31%) 102,000 UNEMPLOYED (17%)
Measurement of Headline Rates (16-24 year olds) • Unemployment Rate = 24.7% Proportion of active labour force who are seeking but cannot find work = employment level / economically active level (employed + unemployed) • Employment Rate = 52.1% Proportion of all 16-24s who are currently in work = employment level / total population • Inactivity Rate = 30.9% Proportion of all 16-24s who are currently inactive (not working, not looking) = inactivity level / total population
Full time students • ILO Definition - without a job, have been actively seek work in the past four weeks and are available to start work in the next two weeks, or - out of work, have found a job and are waiting to start it in the next two weeks • Includes students
Youths in Scotland 603,000 16-24 year olds in Scotland 314,000 in EMPLOYMENT (52%) 186,000 INACTIVE (31%) 102,000 UNEMPLOYED (17%) 36,000 enrolled in full-time education(35%) 67,000 not in full-time education(65%)
Youth unemployment in local areas • LFS sample size too small at LA level • An alternative – Claimant Count • Claimant Count and unemployment are not equivalent measures • many unemployed are ineligible or do not claim, etc. • different denominator for rates
Claimant count vs. unemployment for 16-24s in ScotlandData not seasonally adjusted
Youth claimant count hotspots methodology • National hotspots • high claimant count level • improvement would make impact at national level • Local hotspots • high claimant count rate • concern locally but improvement may not have impact on national level
Data and analysis (Youth Unemployment) • Data from the Labour Force Survey (ONS) • Available at Scotland level only • ONS regional labour market bulletin • headline indicators • SG secondary analysis • summary analysis of headline indicators • more detailed analysis published from April 2012
Data and analysis (Claimant Count) • Data from Jobcentre Plus administrative system (ONS) • Available at Scotland level and local level • Nomis • data by geography, gender, age, duration, occupation sought, stocks and flows • Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics • data by geography, gender and age (18-24) • data for 16-24 year olds to be added in near future
Any Questions? Feel free to contact us: labour-market.statistics@scotland.gsi.gov.uk