Analysis of climate change mitigation tools in Ukraine

1. Analysis of climate change mitigation tools in Ukraine Dr. Konidari P. KEPA - NKUA, Greece Prof. Inshekov E.N. Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National Technical University of Ukraine Ms. Pechak O. O. Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National Technical University of Ukraine National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

2. Structure of presentation • Introduction • Ukrainian climate policy framework • Main Ukrainian climate change mitigation policy instruments • Description of AMS method • Application • Conclusions National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

3. Introduction • Problem • Highly energy intensive country • Strong dependency on energy imports • Enormous decrease of production lead to no sharp need for GHG reductions • Climate change mitigation measures • promotion of energy saving technologies • development of RES • facilitating the implementation of JI projects National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

4. Ukrainian climate policy framework • Stable national GHG emissions compared to those of base year 1990 • Extremely high level of energy intensity • Energy sector - main contributor of total GHG emissions • 74.3% of total emissions in 1990 • Partially provided with domestic traditional primary energy resources and relies on energy imports • Important energy transit country National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

5. Main climate change mitigation policy instruments (1/3) Promotion of energy saving technologies • Law “on energy conservation”, • “Comprehensive State Energy Conservation Program” • “The Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the period until 2030” National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

6. Main climate change mitigation policy instruments (2/3) Development of RES • National Energy Program (NEP) for the period until 2010 • Law “On power energy” • Law “On alternative types of liquid and gas fuels” • Law “On alternative energy sources” • Law “On combined heat and power production (co-generation) and utilization of dump energy potential” • “The Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the period until 2030” National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

7. Main climate change mitigation policy instruments (3/3) Implementation of JI projects • Ten main instruments • Procedure (LoA, LoE) • Registry • Focal National Point National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

8. Method AMS • Multi-criteria analysis method • Combination of three standard methods • Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) • Multi-Atribute Utility Theory (MAUT) • Simple Multi-Attribute Ranking Technique (SMART) National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

9. Criteria-tree • Hierarchy • Set of three criteria and eleven sub-criteria • Environmental performance • Political acceptability • Feasibility of implementation National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

10. Weight coefficients • Usage of AHP calculated values • Based on preferences from policy makers, researchers, target groups • Recalculation of values is supported • Consistency test • Two indices • Saaty • Pelaez-Lamata National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

11. Assignment of grades (1/3) • Linear function y = ax+b, MAUT approach • a, b solution of system • requirements y =100 when xmax and y = 0 when xmin • y =100 when best performance • y = 0 when lowest performance • Normalized grades, SMART approach • Absence of data to form function • Decision maker uses scale from 0 to 10 National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

12. Assignment of grades (2/3) • DM’s grades mi converted to grades of MAUT scale • Un-normalized grade • 2.51 is used instead of 2 (SMART method) because 2.51 solution of equation • Normalized grade National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

13. Assignment of grades (3/3) • Grade of criterion • Sum of products between weight coefficients of sub-criteria and respective grade (MAUT or SMART procedure) • Total grade • Same procedure National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

14. Application • Three types of instruments • Energy efficiency, • RES, • JI projects National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

15. Data and assessments National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

16. Results • Total grades • JI projects – 49.518 • Energy efficiency – 29.874 • RES-Laws - 21.584 • Better grades • Political acceptability • Feasibility of implementation National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

17. Conclusions • Policy recommendations oriented to cost efficiency, competitiveness, flexibility, implementation network capacity and financial feasibility • Introduction of well examined incentives able to invigorate investments and support substitution of old energy intensive equipment. • Unavailable credible data • Lack of capable implementation network that could assist in the effective application of the policy instruments National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre

18. Thank you Contact details Dr. Popi KONIDARI Energy Policy and Development Centre (KEPA) Panepistimiopolis, KEPA Building 157 84, Athens, Greece Tel.: +30 210 72 75 830 E-mail: pkonidar@kepa.uoa.gr Ass. Prof. Evgeniy INSHEKOV, Ms. Olena PECHAK Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National technical university of Ukraine „KPI” 115 Borshagivska str, 03056, Kiev, Ukraine Tel.: +38 044 241 70 37 Fax: +38 044 0241 70 38 E-mails: eni@tcem.ntu-kpi.kiev.ua l_pechak@yahoo.com National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre