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DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS. Science and Technology Community. Two Main Components. Forecasting Attrition Planning Recruitment. Main Products. Forecasts of attrition and population by UCS Group and Dept. Plan for hiring by UCS Group and business line within Dept.

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DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS

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  1. DEMOGRAPHIC ANALYSIS Science and Technology Community

  2. Two Main Components • Forecasting Attrition • Planning Recruitment

  3. Main Products • Forecasts of attrition and population by UCS Group and Dept. • Plan for hiring by UCS Group and business line within Dept. • Plan to improve diversity and equity

  4. Forecasting Attrition • UCS Occupational Groups pooled across Depts • PERSIM simulations by Dept.. and Group • Estimates person years and salary $ by Dept. • Forecasts of decline of incumbent population without hiring

  5. Planning CFT Recruitment • Applies hiring potential from attrition • Driven by business planning • Structured by business line • Plans incremental hiring needs • Systematic and decentralized

  6. A Seven Step Process • Define business lines • Determine service delivery • Allocate departmental attrition • Determine extent of CFT staff needs • Determine skill groups • Consider staffing from within • Address diversity and equity

  7. A Decentralized Process • Planning by DGs managing business lines • Regional dimension

  8. Interdepartmental Coordination • Share experience of delivery means • Determine need for incentives • Determine needs for mentoring periods • Consider yearly demand for skills by PS • Provide overview for PS

  9. Timetable • Attrition forecasts completed December 97 • Recruitment plan first half 98

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