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MarketWorx : Technical Analysis & Trading

Shaun van den Berg. MarketWorx : Technical Analysis & Trading. 11 October 2011. Agenda. Investor. Make Money. WEN Charting. Day Trading. Technical Analysis. Swing Trading. Trader. Position Trading. Equities. SSF. CFD. Share Market Analysis. Share Market Analysis. Technical

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MarketWorx : Technical Analysis & Trading

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  1. Shaun van den Berg MarketWorx: Technical Analysis & Trading 11 October 2011

  2. Agenda Investor Make Money WEN Charting Day Trading Technical Analysis Swing Trading Trader Position Trading Equities SSF CFD

  3. Share Market Analysis Share Market Analysis Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Volume Macro Fundamentals Micro Fundamentals Price

  4. Technical Analysis Technical Analysis Fundamentals Volume Price Supply & Demand Trends Patterns

  5. Market Psychology 1st Stage Things would not always be rosy 3rd Stage Things will get better forever 2nd Stage Things are deteriorating 2nd Stage Improvement Is actually underway 3rd Stage Things can only get worse 1st Stage Things are getting better

  6. Price Charts Closing Line Charts Bar Charts Bar Volume Charts Point & Figure Charts Candlestick Charts Breakout Trading Cycle & Trend Analysis Support & Resistance Trend Lines Continuation Patterns Reversal Chart Patterns Swing Trading Strategy Moving Averages 10-day SMA & 30-day EMA 200-day SMA Technical Oscillators OBOS & Momentum RSI & Stochastic MACD Volume Analysis On Balance Volume Volume Price Trend Relative Strength Analysis Relative to Sector Relative to JSE Overall Technical Analysis

  7. Price Charts: Closing Line Chart

  8. Price Charts: Bar Chart High Close Open Low

  9. Price Charts: Bar Volume Chart

  10. Price Chart: Point & Figure Chart

  11. Point & Figure Charts – Double Top Formation

  12. Point & Figure Charts – Double Bottom Formation

  13. P & F Charts - Variations of the Double Top & Bottom Formation

  14. Point & Figure Charts – Bullish Signal Formation

  15. Point & Figure Charts – Triple Bottom Formations

  16. Point & Figure Charts– Formations in Combinations

  17. Point & Figure Charts – Variations on the Triple Top

  18. P & F Charts - Variations on the Triple Bottom Formation

  19. Point & Figure Charts – Bearish Signal Formation

  20. Point & Figure Charts – Symmetrical Triangles

  21. Point & Figure Charts – Triple Top Formations

  22. Point & Figure Charts – The Broadening Formation

  23. Point & Figure Charts – Bullish & Bearish Catapult Formations

  24. P&F Charts– Bullish & Bearish Signal Reversed Formations

  25. Point & Figure Charts– Bullish & Bearish Support Lines

  26. Point & Figure Charts– Bullish & Bearish Resistance Lines

  27. Horizontal Count (Upside) The upside target in the chart below = (14 x 5 x 3) + 0 = 210c

  28. Horizontal Count (Downside) The downside target in the chart below = 100 - (6 x 5 x 3) = 10c

  29. Price Chart: Candlesticks

  30. Gather Information: Technical Analysis Checklist Trending(Up/ Down) Cycles Support & Resistance Moving Averages Trend Lines Overbought/Oversold OB/OS & Momentum RSI & Stochastic / MACD OBV & VPT Outperformance/Underperformance Relative StrengthAnalysis

  31. Trends & Cycles Bear Bull Corrections Rallies Sideways

  32. Trends & Cycles Bearish Trend Bullish Trend Bullish Trend

  33. Market Cycles - Bull Higher Highs, Higher Lows

  34. Market Cycles - Corrections

  35. Market Cycles - Bear Lower Highs, Lower Lows

  36. Market Cycles - Rallies

  37. Support & Resistance Reversals

  38. Support & Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Support Resistance Resistance Support Support Support Resistance Resistance Support Support Support Support & Resistance levels highlight possible “turning points”

  39. Support & Resistance • The more times a share price has touched these areas, the more valid these levels are &themore important they become. • The longer these support & resistance levels have been in play, the better the outcome when the share price finally breaks out.

  40. Support & Resistance - Bull Resistance Support Support Support Resistance Resistance/Support

  41. Support & Resistance - Bear Resistance/Support Support Support Support Resistance Resistance/ Support Support Resistance

  42. Trend Lines As long as the price stays above/ below the Support or Resistance lines, the trend is either bullish or bearish Resistance Trend Line Support Trend Line Resistance Trend Line Support Trend Line

  43. Trend Lines - Bull Resistance Resistance Support Resistance Trend Line Support Trend Line Support Trend Line

  44. Trend Lines - Bear Support Trend Line SupportTrend Line ResistanceTrendLine Support Trend Line SupportTrend Line ResistanceTrendLine ResistanceTrendLine ResistanceTrendLine

  45. Failed Breakouts

  46. Entry Points • Once prices are set toclose above a resistancelevel, a trader will establish a bullish position. • When prices are set to close below a supportlevel, a trader will take on a bearish position.

  47. Exit Points • How long am I planning on being in this trade? (Depends on what type of trader you are: Position, Swing or Day Trader) • How much risk am I willing to take? • Setting near-term profit targets that execute at opportune times to maximize profits. • Here are some common execution points: • Retracement levels. • Trend line breaks (Support & Resistance). • Any other technical points. • Developing solid stop-loss points that immediately get rid of holdings that do not perform. • Creating exit strategies based on technical factors affecting the short-term.

  48. Exit Points • Where do I want to get out? • Many people become irrationally attached to their holdings & hold these equities when the underlying fundamentals of the trade have changed • Traders sometimes worry & sell their holdings even when there has been no change in underlying fundamentals. • Both of these situations can lead to losses &missed profit opportunities. • Set a point at which you will sell takes the emotion out of trading. • The exit point itself should be set at a critical price level, i.e. technical points e.g. Retracement levels

  49. Rectangle Formation 24 to 30 = 6

  50. Triangles

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