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HYDROPOWER: A Comparative Energy Review

HYDROPOWER: A Comparative Energy Review. J. Mark Robinson JMR Energy Infra, LLC NWHA February 23, 2011. Wood to Coal to Oil to ?. 1945. 1890. JMR Energy Infra, LLC. Existing Net Summer Capacity by Energy Source. Source: EIA, 1/4/2011. Electric Generation Growth 2008 to 2035. GWs.

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HYDROPOWER: A Comparative Energy Review

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  1. HYDROPOWER:A Comparative Energy Review J. Mark Robinson JMR Energy Infra, LLC NWHA February 23, 2011

  2. Wood to Coal to Oil to ? 1945 1890 JMR Energy Infra, LLC JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  3. Existing Net Summer Capacity by Energy Source Source: EIA, 1/4/2011 JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  4. Electric Generation Growth2008 to 2035 GWs JMR Energy Infra, LLC Source: EIA 2010 Annual Energy Outlook

  5. No New Nuclear Generation Sites 1997 - 2008 1,000 Net MW JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  6. NuclearTime and Money • The NRC’s new licensing process takes about 10 years to complete. • The estimated capital cost to build a new nuclear plant ranges from $4,000/kW to $8,000/kW. • The United States currently has 56,000 metric tons of spent nuclear fuel from nuclear reactors. By the year 2035 it is expected to have 119,000 metric tons with no long term storage. JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  7. New Coal Fired Generation1997 – 2008 0 Net MW JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  8. CoalCarbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) • S is the problem. • CO2 is a colorless, odorless gas which is lethal to humans in a concentration of 10-11%. • To sequestrate CO2 • Many miles of pipe are needed. • Up to 23,000 miles of CO2 pipeline will be needed between 2010 and 2050 for CCS. (PNNL) • Permanent, non-cycling storage sites must be found. • Regulatory Environment Does Not Exist – eminent domain JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  9. New Non-Hydro Renewable Generation 1997 – 2008 23,000 Net MW JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  10. Wind and Solar Energy Land Use and Transmission • Land use: 500 MW facility • Wind: 30,000 acres • Solar: 3,500 acres • DOE 20 percent by 2030 – 300,000 MW • 13 to 18 million acres – Mass/Maryland/Conn • Renewable sources are not near the market • Current regulatory regimes for siting electric transmission are poor • S.1462 – Introduced July 16, 2009 JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  11. Transmission Projects 765 kV 345 kV DC Between 2000 and 2009 nine High Voltage (≥345kV)Interstate Transmission Lines were built682 miles JMR Energy Infra, LLC Sources: FERC

  12. New Natural Gas Fired Generation1997 – 2008 221,000 Net MW JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  13. Between 2000 and 2009 the Commission approved 15,000 miles of interstate pipeline 1. Islander East (285) 2. Iroquois (100,200) 3. Columbia (135) 4. Transcontinental (130,142) 5. Transcontinental (100) 6. Maritimes (418) 7. Tennessee (500) 8. Tennessee (136) 9. Texas Eastern (900) 10. Algonquin (325) 11. CIG (85,133,105) 12. TransColorado (250) 13. WIC (120,675,350,556) 14. Entrega (1,500) 15. Rockies Express West (1,800) NorthernStar (1,300) Northern Border (544,130) 6 Northern Natural (374) Dominion (700) 8 WBI (80) 10 Guardian (750, 537) 7 Northwest (191) 5 Tuscarora (96) 1 ANR (194,220) 14 4 2 Trailblazer (324) 15 9 TETCO (150) 13 3 Vector (245,105) Questar (102) 8 Columbia (172) 12 Cheyenne Plains (560) Kern River (135,886) Rockies Express East (1,800) 11 Midcontinent (1,500) East Tennessee (510) East Tennessee (170) Southern Trails (120) Transco (204,236,323) TETCO (197) Texas Gas (1,609) Transwestern (500) El Paso (502) CenterPoint (132) Southern/Magnolia (82) Elba Express (1,175) CenterPoint (132) Gulf South(1,700, 560) El Paso (230,320,150) Trunkline (510) North Baja (500, 2,700) SCG Pipeline (190) Gulf Crossing (1,732) Center Point (1,237, 280) Cypress (500) Southeast Supply(1,140,175) Southern (336,330) Natural (200) Port Arthur (3,000) Florida Gas (270) Golden Pass (2,500) Gulfstream (1,130, 155) JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  14. Pending Hydropower Projects Sept 2, 2010 168 MW 29 Projects Source: FERC JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  15. Electric Generation Capital Costs Dollars Source: EIA, 2010 JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  16. Six Principles of Energy Infrastructure Siting JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  17. Cost of FERC Hydro Application JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  18. Integrated Licensing Process JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  19. EvolvedIntegrated Licensing Process PAD JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  20. Developing a Hydropower Siting Culture • Economic Interdependence • Appreciation of the time scale for Major Energy Infrastructure • Intergenerational Responsibility JMR Energy Infra, LLC

  21. Hydropower’s Future • Competition without subsidies - costs • Legislative/Regulatory Environment • Development Culture JMR Energy Infra, LLC

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