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THE 2012 WESTERN PACIFIC TYPHOON SEASON As of September 20, 2012. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA. THE FORECAST FOR THE 2012 PACIFIC TYPHOON SEASON.
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THE 2012 WESTERN PACIFIC TYPHOON SEASONAs of September 20, 2012 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, University of North Carolina, USA
THE FORECAST FOR THE 2012 PACIFIC TYPHOON SEASON • An above average season was forecast in expectation of El Nino’s impacts in the Pacific. • Significant impacts were expected, as usual, in the Philippines, China, and Japan.
PRE-SELECTED NAMES FOR 2012 • PAKHAR – March 27 • MARWAR – May 31-June 6 • TALIM – June 8 • DOKSURI – June 25-30 • VICENTE – July 24-25 • SAOLA – July 28 • DAMREY – August 1
PRE-SELECTED NAMES FOR 2012 • HAIKUI – August 6 • KIROGI – August 9 • TAI-TAK – August 16 • TEMBIN – August 18 • BOLAVEN – September 4 • SAMBA – September 12 • JELAWAT – September 20
CONSECUTIVE INPACTS IN CHINA: JULY-SEPTEMBER • Consecutive tropical storms/typhoons (Vicente, Talim, Saola, Damrey, Haikui, Kai-Tak, Talem, and Bolaven ) left at least 51 died, displaced over 4.1 million people, and caused direct economic losses exceeding 65.57 billion yuan (10.36 billion USD).
As of August 22, 15 typhoons had formed in the northwest Pacific Ocean and south China Sea, six of which made landfall in China, more than twice as many as in 2011.
GUCHOL: A CAT I STORM • Guchol caused heightened concerns for safety at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, damaged earlier in the March 2011 earthquake and tsunami.
GUCHOL: A RAINMAKER • High waves, heavy rain (9 cm/hr) and strong winds impacted the south coast of Honshu as far east as Nagoya and the Izu peninsula, southwest of Tokyo. • Evacuation advisory issued for 10,000 residents.
DOKSURI IMPACTED THE PHILIPPINES, TAIWAN, AND CHINA • Over $54 million in wind and water damage.
VICENTE: A CAT 4 STORM • After landfall in Guangdong, China on July 24th, Vincente became a rainmaker across China
TYPHOON VINCENTE CAUSES RECORD FLOODING IN BEIJING, CHINA AREAJULY 24-25, 2012
VICENTE: A CAT 4 STORM WITH A REGIONAL IMPACT • After landfall on July 24th in Guangdong, China, Vicente became a big rainmaker, causing regional flooding in diverse places like Beijing (the capitol) and Hong Kong.
Vicente’s flooding was devastating in spite of flood control measures added since the 1940’s: dams,280 000 km of embankments, 86 000 reservoirs, and 97 flood retention areas
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS • Worst deluge in 61 years • One day of rainfall in the Beijing area (18 inches) was equal to 6 months of normal rainfall • 100 dead; 38 in Beijing area
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS • $1.6 billion in urban damage • 57,000 forced from homes • Over 12,000 hectares of agricultural food crops impacted,
Typhoon Kai-Tak left three people dead, one person missing and forced over 111,500 people to evacuate their homes in southwest China's Guangxi Zhuang autonomous region.
Tembin’s path was unusual as the result of Bolaven’s concurrent presence, but its heavy rains and high winds caused considerable damage in Taiwan.
TYPHOON BOLAVEN: SOUTH KOREA • The most violent storm to hit South Korea in a decade hit on Monday and by late Tuesday had left at least 10 people dead and knocked out power to about 1.2 million households
TYPHOON BOLAVEN: NORTH KOREA • Typhoon Bolaven killed at least 48 people in North Korea, destroyed 6,700 homes, damaged 124,000 acres of crops, knocked down 16,730 trees, and damaged 880 industrial and public buildings.
TYPHOON BOLAVEN: CHINA • Typhoon Bolaven triggered heavy flooding in China's northeastern region, driving thousands from their homes.
SANBA: A SUPER TYPHOON, ENTOUTE TO LANDFALL ON KOREAN PINUNSULA
JAPAN: IMPACTS OF SANBA • Heavy rain and high velocity winds impacted southwestern Japan. • The rain caused flooding and landslides. • 67,000 homes in Japan lost power.
SANBA MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTH KOREA: SEPT 16 • Sanba made landfall in the southern port of Yeosu shortly before midday (0300 GMT), Sunday, packing winds of around 137 kilometres (85 miles) per hour.