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Common Cents Investment Group. Monday January 13 th First meeting of the semester. Agenda. CCIG updates Macro update – Weiyi Xie Stock market today Risk management Investopedia results. Spring Semester Update. ALWAYS accepting new members $20 dues for new members
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Common Cents Investment Group Monday January 13th First meeting of the semester
Agenda • CCIG updates • Macro update – WeiyiXie • Stock market today • Risk management • Investopedia results
Spring Semester Update • ALWAYS accepting new members • $20 dues for new members • Pizza each meeting, t-shirt, simulator prize • Please fill out survey (copies in front) • What do you want to see more of? • Long term or short term investing?
RISE Student Investment Conference • Redefining Investment Strategy Education • University of Dayton • March 27th - 29th, 2014 (Thursday – Saturday) • Largest student investment conference in world • Costs • $165 per registration (register before Jan. 31st) • $94 per night per hotel room • $20 travel **See me after if your are interested**
Guest Speakers • Professor Matt Sheridan • Accounting firms • Christian Gabis • Luv Sharma • Others • Will try for guest speaker every 2-3 weeks
Macro Update WeiyiXie
Financial News for the past month • QE tapering: • From $85 billion to $75 billion in January 2014 • Expected to decrease $10 billion every month, until it goes to 0 • What does it mean to the US economy? US debt? US stock? US housing market? • What does it mean to world economy, especially to emerging markets (like Brazil, India, etc)? • Dr Janet Yellen was appointed as the new Chairperson of the Federal Reserve
Financial News for the past month • Non-Farmal Payroll (NFP) report for December 2013 • Expected: 197,000 new added jobs • Result: 74,000 new added jobs • Unemployment rate: 6.7% • Fed agreed to raise interest rate once unemployment rate reaches 6.5% • Weather? • Others?
Major indexes down today • Many companies lowered earnings estimates
Market Cycle • Market near all time high Dow S&P 500
Risk Management • Planning for a deviation from expected outcome • Will you beat the market? • Average market return is 10% • What’s your opportunity cost if you don’t? • How to plan for risk on a single trade? • Protect from significant losses using stop orders • Example to follow
Risk Management Example • Account size of $10,000 • 2% risk - tolerable value of loss • $200 - based on total account value • Long QQQ (Nasdaq ETF) • Purchase price $87 / share • Stop order set up at $84.00
Risk Management Example • Risk/Reward ratio • Set a price target of $96 Stop exit Entry Target
Risk Management Example • 3.5% loss on trade at stop • 2% loss on account at stop stop
Trading Journal • Keep track of trades over the years • Remember market trends • Lessons learned • Ways to do it • Excel spreadsheet • One page descriptions • Make up your own • Many brokerages have good portfolio analysis tools
Investopedia Simulator • Create reference players • “Market” • SPY, DIA, QQQ, SLY • “Experiment” • Throwing a dart approach • Pick 25 completely random stocks • Compare “Market” to “Experiment” at end of semester