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NASA Modeling and Data Assimilation for Earth-Sun Science

This document outlines the short-term goals and longer-term considerations for NASA's regional modeling and data assimilation plans, including the integration of Earth system modeling and observations. It also highlights the components, crosscutting themes, and focus areas of the NASA Modeling Environment, as well as collaborative programs and external influences on the SPoRT project.

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NASA Modeling and Data Assimilation for Earth-Sun Science

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  1. 2006 Regional Modeling and Data Assimilation Plans Science Advisory Committee 22 November 2005 Huntsville, AL

  2. 2006 Regional Modeling & DA Short-term Goals • MODIS SST Assimilation • Complete May 2004 Assessment (Project Columbia)—publish results • Identify Case studies in operational system for assessment • MAP 05 (Project Hurricane)—MODIS SST sensitivity studies? • AIRS Profiles in ADAS • Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results • Collaborate with Brewster (OU) on Gulf return flow • Provide OU with intellectual property

  3. Longer-term Considerations for SPoRT Modeling Activities…

  4. Coupled Earth SYSTEM Modeling and Data Assimilation System for Earth-Sun Science The NASA Modeling, Assimilation, and Prediction (MAP) Environment: Integrating Earth System Modeling and Observations 2006 NASA Modeling Environment 2005 Project Hurricane GEOS-5 fvGCM (GEOS4) Project Columbia JCSDA/GSI

  5. Program or Branch #1 Program or Branch #2 Program or Branch #3 Program or Branch #N Modeling 1 Modeling 2 Modeling 3 Modeling N The NASA Modeling Environment Components Added as Program Evolves MAP Modeling Environment Crosscutting Themes Focus Areas Model, Analysis, Prediction Program / Multi-investigator proposals ESMF Core Integration Team … External NRA Proposals GISS Model E CMAI GMI ECCO II

  6. External Influences on SPoRT…… • Data Assimilation Framework • Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation • Supported by NOAA, NASA, DoD • FSL, NCEP, GMAO (JCSDA) • McCarty NASA Fellowship • WRF Dynamic Core & Physics • NCEP NMM • Optimal physics configuration • Support NASA Mission • MAP • NEWS • Human Space Flight

  7. 2006 Regional Modeling & DA Longer-term • AIRS Radiances in GSI • In collaboration with GMAO/JCSDA • McCarty NASA Fellowship • Lightning Data Assimilation • NASA NRC Post-Doc proposal pending (Themis Chronis/UCONN) • CloudSat/Calipso Microphysics (Model validation/assessment) • Coupled WRF/LIS Implementation • Collaboration with GSFC (Peters-Lidard, Tao) • ESMF Transition Testbed (MAP Initiative?)

  8. High-resolution (enabled by LIS): -See small, medium, large cities -Demonstrate impact of EOS-era observations (e.g., MODIS) 1km NASA Land Information System Traditional resolution (before LIS): -See only large size urban areas -Over predict magnitude of heat island (nonlinear averaging) 25km

  9. LIS Structure

  10. Atmos. Models Ocean Models 12-Hours Ahead Atmospheric Model Forecasts LIS LIS Impact Example: Coupling the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model Observed Rainfall Without LIS With LIS Coupled Earth System Modeling • Interoperability with standards: • The Earth System Modeling • Framework (ESMF) • Assistance for Land Modeling • Activities (ALMA) • NCEP/EMC—K. Mitchell Collaboration

  11. GMI chemistry GMAO LSM GMU ocean GMAO ocean biology LANL sea ice model Modelers Integrate Components From Different Sources ESMF Accelerates Development Cycle NASA AGCM For Climate and Weather GFDL dynamics GMAO physics Add In The Assimilation Components And Satellite Data  Earth Science Applications + Future Mission Design

  12. Coupled LIS-WRF System • NASA Energy and Water Study • Land-atmosphere interactions • Cloud and precipitation processes • NASA Modeling and Analysis Program • Complete Jan 2004 case study—publish results • Feeds into Nowcasting task • SPoRT collaboration with GSFC Terrestrial Hydrology and Atm Dynamics Programs • A vision for spring 2007….

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