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MPR 2009 February 11-02-2009

MPR 2009 February 11-02-2009. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data. Source: Sweden statistics and the Riksbank.

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MPR 2009 February 11-02-2009

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  1. MPR 2009 February11-02-2009

  2. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

  3. Figure 2. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Sweden statistics and the Riksbank

  4. Figure 3. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  5. Figure 4 Economic indicators in the Euro areaAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: European Commission and OECD

  6. Figure 5. Consumer confidence in the USAUniversity of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, index Sources: European Commission and OECD

  7. 6. Liquidation and redundancy notices in SwedenThousands Sources: ITPS and Statistics Sweden

  8. Figure 7. Companies' new borrowing from Swedish banksBillion SEK respective annual percentage change Source: Statistics Sweden

  9. Figure 8. Policy rates Per cent Source: Reuters EcoWin

  10. Figure 9. GDP abroadTCW-weighted, annual percentage change Source: Consensus Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  11. Figure 10. Consensus and the Riksbank’s forecasts for GDP growth in 2009Annual percentage change Source: Consensus

  12. Figure 11. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel, future price Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

  13. Figure 12. Commodity pricesUSD, index, year 2000=100 Source: The Economist

  14. Figure 13. GDP for the USA and the euro areaQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  15. Figure 14. Comparison of recovery following various recessions, GDP USALevel, Index=100 in the quarter preceding the beginning of the recession Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Bureau of Economic Research and the Riksbank

  16. Figure 15. Comparison of recovery following various recessions, GDP Euro areaLevel, Index=100 in the quarter preceding the beginning of the recession Source: Eurostat, OECD and the Riksbank

  17. Seasonally-adjusted data and net figures Sources: NTC Economics and the Federation of Korean Industries

  18. Figure 17. Exports and new export ordersAnnual percentage changes, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Three-month moving average.

  19. Figure 18. GDP Quarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  20. Figure 19. Consensus and the Riksbank’s forecasts for GDP growth in Sweden 2009 at different points in time Annual percentage change Sources: Consensus and the Riksbank

  21. Figure 20. Development of GDP in different regionsQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms Note. TCW entails weighted GDP for Sweden's main trading partners.

  22. Figure 21. Comparison of recovery following various recessions, GDP SwedenLevel, Index=100 in the quarter preceding the beginning of the recession Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  23. Figure 22. TCW exchange rate Index, 18.192=100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  24. Figure 23. ExportsQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  25. Figure 24. Household’s disposable incomes, consumption and saving ratio Annual percentage change, fixed prices and percentage of disposable income Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  26. Figure 25. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  27. Figure 26. Employment rateEmployment as a percentage of the population, 16-64 year, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  28. Figure 27. UnemployedPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  29. Figure 28. Actual and trend productivity growth in the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  30. Figure 29. Unit labour costs for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  31. Figure 30. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  32. Figure 31. CPI, CPIF and CPIXAnnual percentage change Source: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  33. Figure 32. Repo rate forecasts on different assumptionsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  34. Figure 33. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

  35. Figure 34. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  36. Figure 35. CPIFAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  37. Figure 36. Repo rate assumptionsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  38. Figure 37. GDPAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  39. Figure 38. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  40. Figure 39. Production gap (GDP)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  41. Figure 40. Labour market gap (hours worked)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  42. Figure 41. GDP abroadTCW-weighted, annual percentage change Sources: National sources and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  43. Figure 42. GDPAnnual percentage change, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  44. Figure 43. Production gap (GDP)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  45. Figure 44. Labour market gap (hours worked)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  46. Figure 45. CPIAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  47. Figure 46. Repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  48. Figure 47. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

  49. Figure 48. TCW-weighted exchange rateIndex, 1992-11-18=100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  50. Figure 49. TCW-weighted exchange rateIndex, 1992-11-18=100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

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