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Current Exposure-Sensitivities

Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment multiple stresses stakeholders differential vulnerability relevant exposures coping range. Current Exposure-Sensitivities. Current Adaptations / Strategies. Natural Science . Social Science . Challenges “scaling up”

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Current Exposure-Sensitivities

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  1. Community-Based Vulnerability Assessment • multiple stresses • stakeholders • differential vulnerability • relevant exposures • coping range Current Exposure-Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Natural Science Social Science • Challenges • “scaling up” • assumption that past constraints/conditions limit/enable future action • outcome: areas of particular concern, laundry list of possible adaptations • adaptation does not occur at community scale alone • adaptation as opportunity Future Exposure-Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity

  2. Scale Current Exposure-Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Governance Assessment (multi-level networks, adaptiveness, transformations) Natural Science Sociall Science Future Exposure-Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity

  3. Axes: key uncertainties within which decisions are made • Globalization and environmental change?

  4. Scale Current Exposure-Sensitivities Current Adaptations / Strategies Governance Assessment (multi-level networks, adaptiveness, transformations) Natural Science Sociall Science Future Exposure-Sensitivities Future Adaptive Capacity Adaptation Visioning and Evaluation against Maladaptation

  5. Tools: • scenario / “storyline” generation based on (revised) CBVA • Methodological tools: ABM, PPGIS, design charettes • Maladaptation: Barnett and O’Neill (2009): increase GHG emissions, disproportionately burden most vulnerable, high opportunity costs relative to other options, reduce incentives to adapt, foster path dependency

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