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What You Should Know About Transportation. Northern Virginia Transportation Alliance. Region Has Grown Outward. Location Central Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs TOTAL. Outward Population Shift 1960-2000. 1960 1,017,000 (45%) 983,000 (45%) 195,000 (9%) 2,295,000. 2000 891,000 (19%)
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What You Should Know About Transportation Northern Virginia Transportation Alliance
Region Has Grown Outward Location Central Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs TOTAL Outward Population Shift 1960-2000 1960 1,017,000 (45%) 983,000 (45%) 195,000 (9%) 2,295,000 2000 891,000 (19%) 2,628,000 (59%) 979,000 (22%) 4,552,000 Source: National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board
Region Has Grown Outward Location Central Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs TOTAL Outward Job Shift 1970-2000 1970 805,000 (53%) 604,000 (40%) 105,000 (7%) 1,515,000 2000 1,016,000 (36%) 1,428,000 (50%) 402,000 (14%) 2,846,000 Source: National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board
Outward Shift to Continue Location Central Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs TOTAL Population 2005 912,000 (19%) 2,869,000 (58%) 1,188,000 (24%) 4,918,000 2030 1,152,000 (17%) 3,522,000 (53%) 1,937,000 (29%) 6,610,000 Source: National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board
Outward Shift to Continue Location Central Inner Suburbs Outer Suburbs TOTAL Jobs 2005 1,046,000 (34%) 1,498,000 (49%) 507,000 (17%) 3,051,000 2030 1,284,000 (30%) 2,118,000 (50%) 834,000 (20%) 4,237,000 Source: National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board
Today’s Congestion Results from Failure to Implement, Not Failure to Plan
I-95 in the District • Monticello Freeway • Potomac Freeway • Second Beltway • Third Beltway • Pimmit Parkway • I-66 Inside Beltway X • Northern Virginia • Expressway (Fairfax • County Parkway) • Potomac River Bridges Year 2000 Road and Bridge Deletions(Click on Map to See Deletions) X X X X X X
Year 2000 Transit Plan(Click on Map) BuiltMetrorail VRE, MARC Commuter Rail (Red Dots) Unbuilt Rail
Public Transit Success Story • Nation’s second highest percentage of public transit trips • 15-18% of work trips (NoVa % lower) • 6% of daily trips (NoVa % lower) • Public transit unlikely to serve 10% of all daily trips
Public Transit Success Story (Cont’d) • 60% of projected transportation funds targeted for public transit. • Single occupant vehicle usage/mode split increases continue. • Operating deficits/rehab costs escalating
Transportation Network Provides Land Use Framework “The urban region can be looked at as a group of land use cells defined by the transportation network.” The Regional Development Guide 1966-2000 The National Capital Regional Planning Council June 30, 1966
Land Use No Substitute for Transportation Infrastructure • “An HRPDC Smart Growth Study released in 2003 concluded that, while aggressive ‘Smart Growth’ strategies would reduce (2026) congestion and emissions (levels), no planned improvements could be removed for the 2026 Long Range Transportation Plan.” Hampton Roads Planning District Commission December 2005 • A National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board Mobility and Accessibility Study confirms HRDPC results.
Northern Crossing Route 28 I-66 Inside Beltway Western Transportation Corridor EasternBypass Loudoun County / Tri-County Parkway Fourth I-95 Lane I-66 / Route 29 Gainesville Interchange Fairfax County Parkway Upgrade Maryland ICC and Beltway Dulles Corridor Transit I-66 Transit Major Missing Links Keyto Better Transportation and Land Use Region’s Most Important Transportation Needs(Click on map to see projects)
Missing Links Benefits • Better travel times • Shorter rush hours • Improves existing system • Safer, more livable neighborhoods • Better air/environmental quality • Better regional security/emergency response • More intelligent land use, better suburban transit • Better connected regional activity centers • Better alternative to costly patches • Most affordable solution
Air Quality: Improving Vehicle Emission Trends: 1990 - 2030 Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC) Nitrogen Oxides (NOx) Source: National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board
Statewide and Regional Funding Shortage Needs Overall Needs • 2004 VTRANS 2025 Study estimates annual transportation funding shortfall at $2.5 – $5 billion per year. • The Northern Virginia Transportation Authority estimates the Northern Virginia transportation funding shortfall at $700 million per year. • Statewide law requires that maintenance needs have first call on transportation funds. When the maintenance fund is inadequate, dollars are transferred from the construction fund to fill the gap. • $500 million in state construction funds are shifted annually to maintenance. • Maintenance shortfall grows by at least $50 million per year. • Failure to fund maintenance will cost Northern Virginia $527 million in construction dollars that will be shifted to pay for maintenance.
Statewide and Regional Funds Short of Needs Current Status: Funding Crisis Worsens • On February 29, 2008 the Virginia Supreme Court ruled the Northern Virginia Transportation Authority lacked the power to impose the $300-$400 million in regional taxes and fees authorized in 2007 by HB3202. • The 2008 Virginia General Assembly repealed abusive driver fees without replacing the $60 million these fees were projected to provide for statewide maintenance. A special June 23-July 10 session of the General Assembly adjourned without reaching agreement on how to replace lost revenues. • 2009 and 2010 General Assembly sessions failed to provide new transportation funds. • Revenue projections for the six-year transportation construction program are down $4.6 billion over the past two years.
Northern Virginia Regional Funding Options FY 2010 Gas Tax ( 1% at pump) $39.0 million/year Grantor’s Tax ($0.40/$100) $151.0 million/year Hotel/Motel (2%) $24.0 million/year Hotel/Motel ($5/night) $43.2 million/year Income Tax (1%) $377.0 million/year Retail Sales/Use Tax (1%) $351.0 million/year Safety Inspection Fee ($10 annual) $16.0 million/year Vehicle Reg. Fee ($10 annual) $17.0 million/year Vehicle Reg. Fee (1% initial) $64.0 million/year
Statewide Funding Options FY 2010 Gas Tax ( 1 cent/gallon at pump) $53.0 million/year Gas Tax (1% wholesale) $133.8 million/year Grantor’s Tax ($0.25/$100) $142.0 million/year Income Tax (1%) $2.3 billion/year Income Tax (0.25%) $591 million/year Retail Sales/Use Tax (0.5%) $520 million/year Vehicle Reg. Fee ($10 annual) $70.0 Vehicle Sales Tax (1%) $192.5 million/year
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