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Size of Industry

Size of Industry. Size of Industry. Size of Industry. Size of Industry. Size of Industry. Size of Industry. Cow numbers increased but are trending down again Calf crop grew after May 2003 but is adjusting downward Beef production has decreased from 2004/2005 levels.

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Size of Industry

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  1. Size of Industry

  2. Size of Industry

  3. Size of Industry

  4. Size of Industry

  5. Size of Industry

  6. Size of Industry • Cow numbers increased but are trending down again • Calf crop grew after May 2003 but is adjusting downward • Beef production has decreased from 2004/2005 levels

  7. Beef and Cattle Exports

  8. Beef and Cattle Exports

  9. CBEF Beef Exports and Projections (Million $)

  10. Beef Exports

  11. Beef and Cattle Exports

  12. Beef and Cattle Exports • Beef exports to Macau and Hong Kong have replaced Japan in importance • Beef exports to Mexico and U.S. remain strong • Cattle exports to U.S. remain strong • Loss of key markets such as South Korea means a loss of high value beef exports • The OIE has designated Canada as “controlled risk” for BSE – meaning that all beef products from Canada are safe for trade

  13. Beef Imports (tonnes)

  14. Access to Key MarketsU.S. • U.S. re-opened to UTM beef and cattle on July 14, 2005 • U.S. re-opened to cattle born after March 1, 1999 on November 19, 2007 • U.S. re-opened to OTM beef on November 19, 2007 • R-CALF continues to challenge in U.S. courts • Next hearing is on February 19, 2008

  15. Access to Key MarketsMexico • Mexico is open to UTM beef • Negotiations continue to open Mexico to live cattle and OTM beef • Mexico has followed U.S. lead in past and should open to live cattle and OTM beef in 2008

  16. Access to Key MarketsJapan • Japan is open top boneless beef from animals under twenty months of age • This product has proven difficult to supply • Japanese market demands high value cuts and is highly profitable • Australia has captured a very large share of the Japanese market • Negotiations continue to expand access but progress is slow

  17. Access to Key MarketsSouth Korea • South Korea continues to ban all beef from Canada • South Korea was an important and profitable market before BSE • Negotiations with Korea are very difficult • U.S. has access for boneless UTM but it isn’t “real” • Some indications U.S. will get all UTM in 2008 – Canada as well? • Australia has captured a large share of the South Korean market

  18. Access to Key MarketsTaiwan • Taiwan is open to boneless UTM from Canada • Canada requested full access for all beef in September 2007 • Taiwan has requested additional information and time to complete a risk assessment • Taiwan expects the process to go more quickly than it did for boneless UTM

  19. Access to Key MarketsChina • China is closed to all cattle and beef products from Canada • Canada continues to press for full access but China rejects this • Negotiations are very slow and difficult • China has a fast-growing middle class and has great potential as an export market

  20. Access to Key MarketsRussia • Canada has access for live cattle and shipments have been made • Canada has access for boneless UTM but Russia has approved only half of the plants Canada submitted • Russia has not issued permits to allow meat shipments from Canada • U.S. has access for all UTM

  21. Access to Key MarketsMacau and Hong Kong • Canada has access for all UTM and OTM beef in Macau • Canada has access for boneless UTM in Hong Kong • Macau and Hong Kong are markets of growing importance and in 2006 were Canada’s 3rd and 4th most valuable export markets

  22. Access to Key MarketsOther markets • Canada has access for all beef in Cuba, Barbados and Bermuda • Canada has boneless UTM access in many countries in the Caribbean and Central and South America • Canada has access to the EU for all beef but is limited to a quota for hormone-free beef • However, this is a lucrative market that some producers may wish to pursue

  23. Access to Key Markets • Regaining access to key Asian markets continues to be challenging • Many countries are refusing to follow OIE guidelines in granting access • Alberta government continues to press the Federal government to aggressively negotiate for restored access

  24. Access to Key Markets • Alberta government is working with industry (CCA, ABP, CBEF) to restore market access • Minister Groeneveld advocated for further market openings on his mission to Asia in October 2007 • Minister Groeneveld advocated for increased access to Mexico during his meeting with Mexico’s Ambassador to the U.S. in January 2008 • Alberta government is closely monitoring R-CALF’s continuing legal challenges • Work with Federal government and industry on legal submissions

  25. WTO Negotiations • Negotiations for a new WTO agreement are ongoing • Agriculture is focused on 3 areas: • Agreement to eliminate export subsidies (by 2013?); world prices should increase • Domestic support (agreement on substantial reductions) • Market access (negotiations continue)

  26. WTO Negotiations • An ambitious agreement has substantial potential for beef exports • A recent study by the George Morris Centre concluded that if tariff reductions “on the table” were applied to beef, exports would grow by 174,000 tonnes and $994 million • Alberta’s share would be $646 million

  27. WTO Negotiations • Alberta continues to press the Federal government to negotiate for an ambitious deal at the WTO • A growing middle class in developing countries, such as China, will lead to increased global demand for beef • It is imperative that Alberta’s beef industry gains increased access to these growing markets

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