THEMIS Mission Confirmation Readiness Feb 4 2004

1. THEMIS Mission Confirmation Readiness • Feb 4 2004

2. AGENDA 8:30 Introduction F. Snow, GSFC 8:40 Science Overview V. Angelopolous,UCB 9:00 Mission Overview P. Harvey, UCB 10:00 SMO Assessment M. Goans, SRO 10:30 RAO Cost Estimate C. Fryer, SMO 11:00 Discussion GPMC

3. THEMIS Science Overview • Dr. Vassilis Angelopolous • Principal Investigator • Space Sciences Laboratory • University of California, Berkeley

4. TIME HISTORY OF EVENTS AND MACROSCALE INTERACTIONS DURING SUBSTORMS (THEMIS) • SCIENCE GOALS: • Primary: • “How do substorms operate?” • One of the oldest and most important questions in Geophysics • A turning point in our understanding of the dynamic magnetosphere • First bonus science: • “What accelerates storm-time ‘killer’ electrons?” • A significant contribution to space weather science • Second bonus science: • “What controls efficiency of solar wind – magnetosphere coupling?” • Provides global context of Solar Wind – Magnetosphere interaction RESOLVING THE PHYSICS OF ONSET AND EVOLUTION OF SUBSTORMS Principal Investigator Vassilis Angelopoulos, UCB EPO Lead Nahide Craig, UCB Program Manager Peter Harvey, UCB Industrial Partner SWALES Aerospace

5. Science Overview THEMIS determines where and how substorms are triggered. …important to NASA: Substorms are… • SEC Roadmap: “Understand energy, mass and flux transport in Geospace” • SEC Roadmap: “How does solar variability affect society?” • NRC, National Academy: A strategic question in space physics (1995). • Fundamental mode of magnetospheric circulation • Important for geo-storms have societal implications. • Rich in new types of basic space plasma physics. Aurora Current disruption Reconnection • Magnetospheric substorms are responsible for auroral eruptions. • Auroral eruptions are recurrent (~3-6hrs)

6. ? Reconnection AuroralEruption CurrentDisruption Events Occuring During a Substorm

7. : Ground Based Observatory Mission Elements Probe conjunctions along Sun-Earth line recur once per 4 days over North America. … while THEMIS’s space-based probes determine onset of Current Disruption and Reconnection each within <10s. Ground based observatories completely cover North American sector; can determine auroral breakup within 1-5s …

8. Science Objectives • THEMIS HAS FOCUSED MINIMUM (TO BASELINE) OBJECTIVES: • Time History of Events… • Auroral breakup (on the ground) • Current Disruption [CD] (2 probes at ~10RE) • Reconnection [Rx] (2 probes at ~20-30RE) • … and Macroscale Interactions during >5 (>10) Substorms (Primary): • Current Disruption and Reconnection coupling • Outward motion (1600km/s) of rarefaction wave • Inward motion of flows (1000km/s) and Poynting flux. • Ionospheric coupling • Cross-tail current reduction (P5u/P4) vs flows • Field aligned current generation by flow vorticity, pressure gradients (dP/dz, dP/dx). • Cross-scale coupling to local modes • Field line resonances (10RE, 5 min) • Ballooning modes, KH waves (1RE, 1min) • Weibel instability, cross-field current instability, kinetic Alfven waves (0.1RE, 6Hz) • Production of storm time MeV electrons (Secondary) • Control of solar wind-magnetosphere coupling by the bow-shock, magnetosheath and magnetopause (Tertiary)

9. Probe conjunctions well understood • BASELINE: >10 substorms achieved w/ 5 probes in 2 yrs & 50% margin. • MINIMUM: >5 substorms achieved in 1yr w/ 4 probes. • computations include lunar, solar, drag, J2 terms • dYP1/2/3/4/5<±2RE; dZP3,4,5/NS<±2RE; dZP1,2/NS<±5RE • Ascent design is optimal for science • maximizes conjunctions, minimizes shadows • … immune to launch insertion errors • small, piece-wise DVs increase placement fidelity • … and immune to probe insertion errors. • Can withstand insertion error of dV=80cm/s on any probe Actual conjunction times in 1st year

10. EFIs EFIa SCM ESA BGS SST Operations UCB FGM Tspin=3s Instrument I&T UCB Ground Mission overview: Fault-tolerant design hasconstellation and instrument redundancy D2925-10 @ CCAS Encapsulation & launch Mission I&T Swales Probe instruments: ESA: Thermal plasmaSST: Super-thermal plasmaFGM: Low frequency B-fieldSCM: High frequency B-field EFI: Low and high frequency E-field

11. Selected instruments built en masse Identical instrumentation provides high science margins and fault tolerance • Instrument redundancy: • SST-ESA energy overlap • FGM-SCM frequency overlap • P1/P2 redundant instrumentation (only directional flux needed in one of two). • Each probe has: • FGM • ESA • 2SSTh (2heads) • SCM • 2EFIa (2axials) • 4EFIs (4spin plane)

12. Mission profile is robust

13. First bonus: What producesstorm-time “killer” MeV electrons? Affect satellites and humans in space ANIK telecommunicationsatellites lost for days to weeksduring space storm • Source: • Radially inward diffusion? • Wave acceleration at radiation belt? • THEMIS: • Tracks radial motion of electrons • Measures source and diffusion • Frequent crossings • Measures E, B waves locally

14. Second bonus: What controls efficiencyof solar wind – magnetosphere coupling? • Important for solar wind energy transfer in Geospace • Need to determine how: • Localized pristine solar wind features… • …interact with magnetosphere • THEMIS: • Alignments track evolution of solar wind • Inner probes determine entry type/size

15. Mission design meets requirements • Mission profile • Two year mission design easily met in this high Earth orbit • Launch: D2925 from CCAS (40min window any day) permits 40% lift margin • Simple probe carrier (3rd stage fixture) w/ release built by an experienced team • Science & routine ops and multi-object tracking has ample heritage at UCB • Simple RCS, heritage sfw & ground-cmd and GSFC/GNCD support benefits MOC • Probe design • Simple, passive thermal design w/ thermostatically controlled backup heaters • Survival at all attitudes under worst shadow conditions • Simple data flow / automated routine science ops minimize cost and risk • Store/Forward 375Mbit/orbit (256Mbyte capability permits multi-orbit storage) • Orbit control & knowledge exceed placement rqmts by factor of 10 • Early EMC/ESC mitigation as per heritage practices (e.g. FAST, POLAR)

16. Active trade studies constantly reduce risk An integrated team of scientists and engineers constantly optimize mission design and resources, reducing risk. • Phase A main trade studies: • Direct inject with passive PCA reduces schedule and ops risks • PCA dispense simplified: improves clearances, reduces risk • Increased fuel tank capacity • Added solar panels at bottom face • ACS solution simplified with micro-gyros replacing accelerometers • Connected RCS propulsion pods • Phase B main trade studies: • Exercised alternate path for SST instrument • Tuned Phase A orbit design to reduce differential precession; enhanced 2nd year science products • Changed BAU processor to reduce software complexity motivated by GSFC experience • Increased tank size to take full advantage of mass to orbit capability, yet at lower cost • Increased thruster size to reduce finite arc inefficiency and Msn Ops complexity • Repackaged SST and SCM electronics along with IDPU • Removed ESA attenuator (simplified instrument) with minimal effect on bonus science • Included redundant actuators and surge protection in instrument designs

17. Descope list and science-relatedrisk mitigation factors • Can do baseline science even after inadvertent complete instrument failures • Re-positioning allows recovery from failure of critical instruments on some probes • Graceful degradation results from partial or even full instrument failures • Instrument frequency and energy range overlaps • Complete backup option for EFI radials (need 2 in most probes but have 4) • Relaxed measurement requirements (1nT absolute is not permitted to drive team, but rather a nicety) • Substorms come in wide variety; can still see large ones with degraded instruments • Minimum mission can be accomplished with a reduced set of spacecraft requirements • EMC and ESC requirements important for baseline but less severe for minimum mission • Observation strategy can be tuned to power loss (turn-on/off) and thermal constraints (tip-over/back) • Fuel and mass margins for 1st year (minimum) are 30% larger than for a two year (baseline) mission

18. P1 P2 P3 P4 P5 Minimum mission provides definitive answer to the substorm question. • Simultaneous observations in the key regions • Ideal geometries for tens of substorms • Data rates / time resolution exceed requirements • Analysis tools available from Cluster, ISTP, FAST • Experienced co-Is are leaderson both sides of substorm controversy • Minimum mission accomplished within 8 months from nominal launch date

19. THEMIS Mission Overview • Peter R. Harvey • Project Manager • Space Sciences Laboratory • University of California, Berkeley

20. Science Overview • Science Overview • Purpose To understand the onset and macroscale (1-10 Re) evolution of magnetospheric substorms. • Capabilities Will provide the first measurements of substorm starting location Will provide the first measurements of substorm evolution • Collaborating Institutions

21. Mission Overview • Mission Overview • Launch Vehicle: Delta II, Eastern Range Injection: 1.1 x 12 Re, 9 degrees inclination Date: August 2006 ( unrestricted ) • Space Segment Spacecraft: 5 Spinning probes with fuel for orbit/attitude adjust Orbit Period(s): 1, 2 and 4 days Orientation: Ecliptic normal • Ground Segment Observatories: 20 Stations for All Sky Imaging and Mag Field • Operations Phases: L&EO (2 mo), Campaigns (Dec-Mar), De-Orbit Lifetime: 2 years

22. Organization Roles

23. TOP LEVEL ORG CHART?

24. Management, Science and Systems Engineering Program Management Peter Harvey Systems Engineering Ellen Taylor Science V. Angelopoulos Management Support K. Harps Finances M. Larson Purchasing M. Giordano Documentation D. Meilhan Scheduling A. Shutkin Administration Electrical Ellen Taylor Science Support Bonnell, John Carlson, Chuck Delory, Gregory Frey, Harald Hull, Art Larson, Davin Lin, Robert Mende, Steven Moreau, Thomas Mozer, Forrest Parks, George Peticolas, Laura Phan, Tai Temerin, Michael Mechanical /Thermal Paul Turin Chris Smith Facility Support J. Cooks Contracts J. Keenan Purchasing G. Davis Accounting J. Williams Travel J. Jones Personnel EMC/ESC/MAG Robert Snare (UCLA) Quality & Safety Ron Jackson UCB Sponsored Projects D. Weldon Contracting Parts Jorg Fischer THEMIS WBS 1.0 Organization Management, Systems Engineering, Science

25. Instruments Instrument Data Processor Unit (IDPU) Electric Field Instrument (EFI) ElectroStatic Analyser (ESA) Solid State Telescope (SST) Fluxgate Mag (FGM) Search Coil Mag (SCM) Robert Abiad Peter Berg Heath Bersch Dorothy Gordon Frank Harvey Selda Heavner Jim Lewis Jeanine Potts Chris Scholz Kathy Walden Forrest Mozer John Bonnell Greg Delory Art Hull Bill Donakowski Greg Dalton Robert Duck Mark Pankow Dan Schickele Stu Harris Hilary Richard Charles Carlson M. Marckwardt Bill Elliott Ron Herman Robert Lin Davin Larson Ron Canario Robert Lee T. Moreau TUBS/IWF Uli Auster K.H. Glassmeier W. Magnes CETP Alain Roux Bertran de la Porte Olivier Le Contel Christophe Coillot Abdel Bouabdellah Instrument I&T Rick Sterling Mag Booms LASP Robert Ergun Aref Nammari Ken Stevens Jim Westfall Hari Dharan Y. Kim Tien Tan Bill Tyler THEMIS WBS 2.1 Organization Instrument Development

26. Ground Segment Mission Ops Science Ops (Mission Planning) Ground Based Observatories Manfred Bester Mark Lewis Tim Quinn Sabine Frey Tai Phan John Bonnell Laura Peticolas All Sky Imagers Ground Magnetometers Fielding & Operation (UC&UA) Stephen Mende Stu Harris Steve Geller Harald Frey UCLA Chris Russell Joe Means Dave Pierce UC Eric Donovan GSFC/GCND David Sibeck Mark Beckman Bob DeFazio David Folta Rick Harman UA J. Samson THEMIS WBS 3 Organization Ground Systems Development

27. 60 days Funded Schedule Reserve Included

28. Launch Configuration Standard Delta 10 ft. Fairing Static Envelope • Dedicated launch accommodated within standard Delta 7925-10 vehicle configuration and services • 10’ Composite Fairing required to accommodate five Probes on the Probe Carrier in the “Wedding Cake” configuration • PC stays attached to Delta 3rd stage after probe dispense • Each probe dispense from the PCA is coordinated with but independent of the other probes • No single probe anomaly precludes dispense ofremaining probes Probe Carrier Assembly (PCA = 5 Probes + Probe Carrier) on L/V 3712 PAF Star 48 3rd Stage Probe Carrier Assembly (PCA) on Delta 3rd Stage THEMIS Launch Configuration

29. Probe Bus Design • Power positive in all attitudes with instruments off (launch, safe hold modes) • Passive thermal design using MLI and thermostatically controlled heaters tolerant of longest shadows (3 hours) • Spin stabilized probes orbit within 13° of ecliptic plane have inherently stable thermal environment • S-Band communication system always in view of earth every orbit at nominal attitude. In view for greatest part of orbit in any attitude • Passive spin stability achieved in all nominal and off-nominal conditions • Monoprop blow down RCS (propulsion) system is self balancing on orbit

30. Instrument Payload

31. First Lateral Mode: 18.29 Hz First Axial Mode: 48.27 Hz Probe Carrier Fundamental Natural Frequencies: Displacements Not to Scale Probe Carrier Design (1) Upper Probe Standard Separation Fitting Center Spool (4) Lower Probe Standard Separation Fittings • Simple probe carrier utilizes • Machined aluminum structure • Standard heritage payload attach fittings for Probes utilize pyro- actuated clampband • Straight-forward umbilical interconnect harness • Multi layer insulation blanketing as required • Detailed design supported by comprehensive analysis • NASTRAN model used to recover material stresses and fundamental frequencies • Base drive analysis used to verify strength and recover component loads • Preliminary Coupled Loads Analysis completed for our Delta II ELV • Probe layout on carrier maximizes static and dynamic clearances • Design is the best balance between deployment clearances and probe structural mass Main Deck PAF Adapter Ring/Tube & Attach to Launch Vehicle Probe Carrier (PC) (8) External Struts

32. Probe Separation • Design study and analysis results • Deploy sequence of P1 then P2-P5 simultaneously • 15 rpm nominal PCA spin rate • Probe separation velocity of .35 m/s • Results of evaluating off-nominal conditions • No collisions or close approaches due to combinations of ‘stuck’ Probes, timing errors and tip-off • Reasonable nutation and pointing angles that Probe ACS can easily accommodate • Separation initiation is two fault tolerant • Visualization • Used actual output files from ADAMS to make the animation • Flexibility for tuning deployment later in the design process includes; carrier spin rate, deployment spring stiffness, deployment order, and timing Split screen ADAMS Dispense Model Dynamic Simulation Image

33. Ground System Block Diagram

34. System Margins Notes: 1. Probe Carrier Assembly Dry Mass NTE = LV Capability (800 kg) - 5 x Fuel (38.7 kg) = 606.5 kg 2. Current Best Estimate 750Mbits/orbit + 1 day contingency = 1500Mbits = 187.5MB

35. Power Generation • Power Margin and Current Best Estimate History since PDR • Issues identified after PDR dropped potential power generation capability of baseline design significantly • Solutions have been identified and are being implemented

36. Power Generation • Issues Identified since PDR • Effect of shadowing from EFI Snout and Mag Booms greater than expected • Losses due to Electrostatic Cleanliness (ESC) Implementation (ITO coating and interconnects) greater than anticipated • Cell cosine loss assumptions were more optimistic at PDR than actual data • PDR calculation assumed power would be produced at higher incidence angle than current specification • Solutions being implemented • Added cells around EFI snout to mitigate shadowing • Increased total photon collecting area

37. Schedule • Schedule Management Bottom Up Development • Followed Concept • Developer-Generated Schedule Maintenance • Developers Report to Their Schedule Weekly • 3 Full-Time Schedulers at Mission, Project and Probe Levels • Provides Status to Project Management & Mission Manager • Critical Path Analyses are Provided in the Next Section

38. Schedule • Key Features Instrument Development • EM Instrument I/F Testing with EM Probe I/F • Integrate Instrument Complement at UCB Prior to S/C Integration • Instrument Complement F1 Tested First Followed by Pairs • All Instrument Complements are Complete before S/C I&T Begins • Instrument I&T Team Will Be Focusing Upon S/C I&T • Added Some Facilities for Qualifying Instruments in Parallel Spacecraft Development • Integration and Test of Probe1 Completed Prior to Probes 2-5 • Sufficient Manpower and Equipment for Parallel I&T Ground Development • Development and Deployment of 5 GBOs 2 in 1Q05 • Development and Deployment of all 20 GBO’s in 1Q06

39. Schedule • Relevant Prior Schedule Performance FAST Instruments (EFI, ESA, MAG, IDPU) • Hopped in Front of SWAS • Delivered Complement on Time POLAR / CLUSTER I & II (EFI) • Polar EFI Delivered 8 months ahead of time • Cluster EFW I & II Delivered > 45 Flight Units to WEC in time. HESSI (Management, IDPU) • Phase B to JPL Environmental Tests (Est. 23 mo, Act. 23.2 mo) • Re-Confirmation to VAFB Delivery (Est. 6 mo, Act 6.3 mo) EO-1 (S/C Management) • S/C Bus (w Hyperion) delivered 6/99 on time • Swap with IMAGE, Red Team directives, ALERT, etc Delayed 11m

40. Schedule • Metrics Milestone Comparisons to HESSI Sufficient Definition • 23 Schedules involving 3977 tasks Slack • Instruments have 4-8 months slack to Earliest I&T with Probes • Instruments have 6-9 months slack to Expected I&T with Probes • Integrated Probes/Probe Carrier have 2 months to LV Integration

41. Resources

42. Resources • SSL Projects STEREO Personnel Not Available; MMS Now Starting Up SNAP and MMS Projects Will Help Offload Personnel

43. Resources • Facilities • Chamber Availability at UCB/SSL • Numerous Tanks of Varying Sizes & Types • One New Chamber Needed for THEMIS • One Calibration Chamber Needs Parts • TV Plan Design • 2 Component-Level TV Cycles • 6 Instrument Level TV Cycles • Chamber Usage During Relevant Performance Periods

44. Cost • Cost Management Bottom Up Development • Followed Schedule Development • Developers Submitted Detailed Requirements • Generated Level 3 Budgets by Month • Iterated with Developers to Understand Costs • Removed Overlapping Efforts between WBS • Generated a Final Master Cost • Generated Comparison Data from Prior Projects • Reviewed and Approved by THEMIS Board of Directors, SPO, UCOP Budget Maintenance • UCB Financial Data & Subcontractor Reports Matched to Budget • Project Management Comparison of Cost v Schedule • Non-Compliances Get Management Attention • Workarounds include Work Reduction, Addition Support, ReOrganization

45. Cost • Key Features Instrument Development • Integrate & Test at UCB Using Mostly Existing Facilities • Simplified Instrument Interfacing • Automated Instrument Testing at S/C Lowers Extended Travel Efforts Spacecraft Development • Simplified Probe Carrier Design • Relaxed Probe Attitude Requirements and Simplified Design • Complexity Left on the Ground • Use of Existing Environmental Facilities at GSFC Ground Development • Leverage HESSI & FAST Operations • Incorporate GSFC/GNCD Software and Expertise

46. Cost • Cost Changes from Proposal Growth in Management, Systems Engineering • Compared to HESSI Actual Costs Scaled to Development Task • Now Matches within 0.2% Growth in Probe/Probe Carrier/LV • Most Probe/PC Activity Directly Accountable to Risk Retirements • Modest Growth (5.6%) in Defining Specific Suppliers, Spares, etc.

47. Cost • Cost Reasonableness THEMIS Phase B/C/D Costs Compare Well to HESSI Actual Costs • THEMIS Instruments Require Less Development than HESSI THEMIS Phase E Mission Operations Suitably Larger • Handling 5 Probes Instead of 1; Cost Estimated at 3x

48. Cost • Instrument Mass .v. Cost Modeling • Categorized Each Component by its Complexity • Computed Mass of Flight & Spare Units • Grass Roots Budget is 6% Over Model So Budget is Sufficient • High TRLs from 6.75 to 7.5

49. Cost • Available Descope Options Modest Requirements Allow Flexibility in Instrumentation Power, Mass, Cost Savings are Available

50. Cost • Incentive Plan (UCB-Swales Contract tbd) • 2% for Probes/Probe Carrier Delivery on Time • 2% for Probes On-Orbit Performance • Delta-V, Communication, Power, Thermal Requirements met • Each is $750K • Paid Only if Reserve is Available • Balance of Schedule and Performance Exactly as Used on HESSI • Rationale • On Schedule Delivery Incentive Compares to ~ 20 day Program Delay • On-Orbit Performance Helps Keep Focus on Quality and Support in L&EO • Used Successfully on HESSI • Industry Standard Practice