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BES III: Theories & Integration. Understanding Social-Ecological Heterogeneity in the Changing City-Suburban-Exurban Complex. What is theory?. Conceptual construct; Goals: Understand topic Explain observations Frame approach Synthesize cases Unify difference Generate expectations
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BES III: Theories & Integration Understanding Social-Ecological Heterogeneity in the Changing City-Suburban-Exurban Complex
What is theory? • Conceptual construct; • Goals: • Understand topic • Explain observations • Frame approach • Synthesize cases • Unify difference • Generate expectations • Hypotheses • Predictions • Forecasts.
What is theory? • Conceptual construct. • Goals: • Understand topic • Explain observations • Frame approach • Synthesize cases • Unify difference • Generate expectations • Hypotheses • Predictions • Forecasts
What is theory? • Conceptual construct. • Goals: • Understand topic • Explain observations • Frame approach • Synthesize cases • Unify difference • Generate expectations • Hypotheses • Predictions • Forecasts
Then If
Social-Ecological Heterogeneity
What are the drivers and outcomes of social-ecological heterogeneity? Social-Ecological Heterogeneity
Social Differentiation Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Material Flows
Social Differentiation Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Material Flows
What key concepts & models operationalize the drivers/outcomes? • Not an exclusive roster; • Operate in Baltimore region; • Relevant to sustainability; • Applicable to other cities.
Locational Choice Social Difference Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Material Flows Stream Dis/Continuum
= Mechanisms & Hypotheses Locational Choice Social Difference Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Material Flows Stream Dis/Continuum
Locational Choice Other Theories Social Difference Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Material Flows Other Theories Stream Dis/Continuum Other Theories
Ancient Origin Locational Choice Etc. Power Law Other Theories Urban Foot- print Social Difference Political Ecology Social-Ecol. Heterogeneity Biotic Poten. Metacommunity Dynamics Material Flows Other Theories Stream Dis/Continuum Other Theories
How do existing BES long-term data apply to the three conceptual areas? • Relate to LTER Core Areas: • Primary production • Flow of inorganic matter • Flow of organic matter • Population studies • Disturbance • Satisfy Additional Core Areas for Urban • Human land-cover change and ecosystem effects thereof; • Monitor effects of human-environmental interactions, and develop appropriate social-ecological data and analysis; • Integrate research with local K-12 educational systems.
Long-Term Data Locational Choice Social Difference Long-Term Data Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Long-Term Data Material Flows Stream Dis/Continuum
What do we learn about S-E Het that is unique, based on our Long-Term perspective? Long-Term Data Locational Choice Social Difference Long-Term Data Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Long-Term Data Material Flows Stream Dis/Continuum
How does each of the drivers relate to the other two? • How does locational choice affect: • Biotic metacommunity structure and change? • The stream dis/continuum structure and processes? • How does the stream dis/continuum affect: • Biotic metacommunity structure and change? • Locational choices of households and firms? • How does the biotic metacommuinty affect: • The stream dis/continuum structure and processes? • Locational choices of households and firms? • N.B. Direct effects on each other; indirect through spatial heterogeneity.
Locational Choice Social Difference Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Material Flows Stream Dis/Continuum
How do the interactions & feedbacks work? • Mechanisms; • Hypotheses.
Locational Choice Hypotheses Mechanisms Hypotheses Social Differentiation Mechanisms Social-EcologicalHeterogeneity Biotic Potential Metacommunity Dynamics Material Flows Stream Dis/Continuum Mechanisms Hypotheses
BES III: Theories & Integration Understanding Social-Ecological Heterogeneity in the Changing City-Suburban-Exurban Complex