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Foreign Aid + Regimes = ?

Foreign Aid + Regimes = ?. Helen Brosnan ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICS INAF 100-14. PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION. What is the role of foreign Aid in Regime Transition? . How does aid effect democratization?

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Foreign Aid + Regimes = ?

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  1. Foreign Aid+Regimes = ? Helen Brosnan ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND INTERNATIONAL POLITICS INAF 100-14 PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  2. What is the role of foreign Aid in Regime Transition? • How does aid effect democratization? • What are the characteristics of the donor nation? • What are the characteristics of the recipient nation? PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  3. Hypothesis • More aid means an increase in the likelihood of democratic regime transition • Often with an incentive • Size of distributional coalition matters Aid Democracy PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  4. Hypothesis: The Counterargument • Counterargument: Foreign aid never actually reaches intended recipients • i.e.: poor people, democratic organizations/institutions • Argument: Country is receiving aid for a reason • Domestic government cannot support these people/institutions! PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  5. Hypothesis: The Counterargument • Counterargument: Foreign aid can enshrine existing dictatorships • Argument: The source of funding matters • If a country is simply donating to another country for political reasons– not effective • Democratic democracy • Corrupt corruption PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  6. Is this really true? • Joseph Wright, American Journal of Political Science • “The promise of higher aid if the country democratizes only provides an incentive for democratization for political leaders who expect to remain in office after democratization occurs.” PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  7. Explanation • Poor countries want aid • Increases Utility • Under Democracy AND Dictatorship • Donors can reduce aid in the regime change if current dictator chooses not to democratize • Provide incentive • i.e.: Burma and U.S. relations PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  8. Cheibub PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

  9. What is the role of foreign Aid in Regime Transition? • Characteristics of donor/recipient • Democratic nations democracy • Large coalitions • Aid can increase or decrease • Provide incentive PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS LITERATURE DATASETS CONCLUSION

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