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David H. Stevens President & CEO August 22, 2013. A Picture Tells Our Story. Outlook for 2013 and 2014. S ource : MBA July 2013 Forecast. Estimated Originations 1990 to 2014: SF Market. S ource: MBA – Jul y 2013 Mortgage Finance Forecast. Recovery in Household Growth Has Just Begun . 5.
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David H. Stevens President & CEO August 22, 2013
Outlook for 2013 and 2014 Source: MBA July 2013 Forecast
Estimated Originations 1990 to 2014: SF Market Source: MBA – July 2013 Mortgage Finance Forecast
Minorities Will Drive Household Growth Households Household Growth, 2010-20 Sources: JCHS 2010 Household Growth Projections and US Census Bureau, 2011 ACS
Washington View: Role Oversized & Outdated 1ST Loss Position
2011 HMDA Data Shows Net Exit From Business Source: FFIEC
Market Growth: Not Universal Source: MBA MPMA
Broad Access to Credit • “The pendulum has swung too far the other way.” • ~Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke, November 2012 • “The average FICO score for denied applications in 2012 was 733 and the average LTV for denied applications was 81%.” • ~Ellie Mae, January 2013 • “Credit is achingly tight.” • ~CFPB Director Richard Cordray, January 2013 • “…Let’s make it easier for qualified buyers to buy homes they can. We should simplify overlapping regulations and cut red tape for responsible families who want to get a mortgage, but who keep getting rejected by banks.” • ~President Obama • Housing Policy Speech, August 2013
Options Being Discussed • Privatize and Recapitalize • Shareholder Path • Receivership and Liquidation • Hensarling • Shut Down and Replace • Corker-Warner • BPC • President Obama • MBA
Lead – Follow – Get Out Of The Way Let’s Choose To Lead
Control Our Destiny • “The most powerful opposition to the House's ‘freer-market’ approach, according to [congressional sources], comes from the Mortgage Bankers Association.”