Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics and Dean University of the Philippines School of Statistics

1. Training Manual on the Assessment and Dissemination of MDG Indicators(GUIDE TO THE ASSESSMENT AND DISSEMINATION OF THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS)1 1 Paper presented at the 2007 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS STATISTICS (ICMDGS), EDSA Shangrila Hotel, Philippines,October 1-2, 2007 Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics and Dean University of the Philippines School of Statistics

2. Background Objectives of the Manual Target Participants Pre-requisites Teaching Methods Modules Outline of Presentation

3. In February 2006, the University of the Philippines Statistical Center Research Foundation Inc.(UPSCRFI),the research foundation of the School of Statistics of the UP School of Statistics, started the project of writing a training manual on the MDGs for the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) Background

4. This was under the NSCB UNDP-assisted project entitled “Statistical Capacity Building for Upgrading Statistical Capacities of the MDG Data Sources and Stakeholders to Generate, Validate and Update MDG Indicators at the National and Local Levels – Phase 1”, Background

5. The authors were Dr. Lisa Grace S. Bersales, Dr. Erniel B. Barrios, and Prof. Josefina V. Almeda of the UP School of Statistics The training manual is entitled A Guide to the Assessment and Dissemination of the Millennium Development Goals Indicators Its pilot draft was finished in October 2006 It is scheduled for pilot testing in the regions Background

6. To strengthen the capacity of data source agencies in the regular monitoring, maintenance, reporting and dissemination of the MDG Indicators; To provide illustrations on how stakeholders could use MDG indicators in the formulation of policies and determination of interventions in support of meeting the MDGs; and, To assist in the efforts of the Philippine Statistical System in improving statistics it produces for monitoring the achievement of the MDGs. Objectives of the Manual

7. Technical staff from data source agencies responsible for the data inputs to the MDG indicators (NSCB, NSO, BSP, BAS, CHED, DepEd, DSWD, DOH,etc) Planning officers of agencies responsible for developing programs to achieve the MDGs (NEDA, planning staff of line agencies and local government units) Target Participants

8. The modules are ordered such that the previous module is a prerequisite to the next. For Module 1, the prerequisite is knowledge of Excel and an editor such as WORD. Prerequisites for the Training

9. Lectures/Discussions Case studies Computer hands-on sessions Group workshops and presentations Teaching Methods

10. Modules of the Training Manual

11. MODULE 1 : Introduction to the Millennium Development Goals and their Indicators 1.1 Overview of The Millennium Development Goals 1.2 The MDG Indicators 1.3 Metadata on the MDG Indicators 1.4 Latest Millennium Development Goals Indicators of the Philippines Topics

12. Example of a Table Presenting the MDGs in Section 1.2 GOAL 1. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger

13. Example of Presenting Metadata in Section 1.3 Proportion of Population Below the National Poverty Line Definition. The Proportion of population below the national poverty line . Goal Addressed. Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger (GOAL 1). Target Addressed. Halve , between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than a dollar a day (TARGET 1). Baseline for the Philippines: 45.3% in 1991 Target for the Philippines: 22.7% in 2015 Rationale: “The indicator allows for comparing and aggregating progress across countries in reducing the number or people living under extreme poverty and for monitoring trends at the global level.” Data Collection and Source: NSCB Periodicity of Measurement: every three years( 1991, 1994, 1997,2000 and 2003 )

14. Example of Latest MDG indicator in Section 1.4 Goal 1: ERADICATE EXTREME POVERTY AND HUNGER PROPORTION OF POPULATION BELOW NATIONAL POVERTY LINE

15. MODULE 2 : Effective Ways Of Analyzing and Presenting the MDG Indicators 2.1 Presentation of Data 2.2 Measures of Central Tendency 2.3 Measures of Location 2.4 Measures of Dispersion 2.5 Measures of Skewness 2.6 Rates, Ratios, Proportions, & Percentages 2.7 DevInfo TOPICS

16. Module 3:Maintenance and Updating of MDG Metadata 3.1 Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators 3.2 Data Gaps in MDG Indicators 3.3 Data Quality of MDG Indicators 3.4 Documentation of Changes in Metadata TOPICS

17. Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators Purpose of M&E of MDG Indicators Framework of M&E MDG Indicators Case Study Data Gaps in MDG Indicators Why data gaps occur? Imputation Procedures Linear Interpolation Linear Prediction Calibration Time Series Extrapolation Monitoring and Evaluation of MDG Indicators

18. Changes in Definition and Concepts Consistency of Time Series Adjustment and Comparability of Indicator Case Study Changes in Reference Period Length of Reference Period Comparability of Data Across Time Indexing Deflating Data Case Study Documentation of Changes in Metadata

19. Changes in Data Collection Consequences of Changes in Sampling Designs Consequences of Changes in Sample Size Consequences of Changes in Frequency of Data Collection Case Study Institutional Arrangements on Updating Indicators Documentation of Changes in Metadata

20. Module 4:MDG Indicators for Policy Analysis and Interventions 4.1 Indicators and Measurement Issue 4.2 Analysis and Interpreting Results 4.3 Linking MDS and The National Development Plans TOPICS

21. What is an Indicator Qualities of Good Indicator Measurement and Assessment of Indicators Analyzing and Interpreting Results Some Theoretical Insights on Policy Analysis Steps in Policy Analysis Framework Development Strategies in Intervention Planning Financing the MDG Case Studies Indicators and Measurement Issues

22. What is Policy Analysis Steps in Policy Analysis Framework Development Strategies in Intervention Planning Financing the MDG Case Studies Analysis and Interpreting Results

23. MODULE 5:Dissemination and Advocacy 5.1 Forms of Dissemination of Updates on Performance towards the MDGs 5.2 Writing the Communication 5.3 The Progress Report 5.4 The Executive Summary 5.5 The Policy Brief 5.6 Powerpoint Presentations 5.7 The Roles of The Philippine Statistical System and its Partners in Updating, Monitoring, and in Advocacy of the MDGs Topics

24. Appendix 1 Design for a Training on Millennium Development Goals Indicators Appendix 2 NSCB Assessment of MDG Indicators Appendix 3 Examples of the different forms of dissemination for advocacy Appendix 4 Exercises for MODULE 2 Appendices

25. Thank you very much!