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The Two Parties Today Third parties tomorrow?

The Two Parties Today Third parties tomorrow?. PAO PIE PIG. Parties as organizations. Number of civil servants and federal civilian employees. PAO PIE PIG. Parties as organizations Parties in the electorate. Increasing number of “Independents”?. Stable number of partisans.

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The Two Parties Today Third parties tomorrow?

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  1. The Two Parties TodayThird parties tomorrow?

  2. PAO PIE PIG Parties as organizations

  3. Number of civil servants and federal civilian employees

  4. PAO PIE PIG Parties as organizations Parties in the electorate

  5. Increasing number of “Independents”?

  6. Stable number of partisans

  7. PAO PIE PIG Parties as organizations Parties in the electorate Parties in government

  8. President’s Average Legislative Success

  9. Can an “outsider” to the political system become President of the United States?

  10. 3rd Party Candidates with 5% of PV

  11. 19th Century Issue-based parties/ Grass roots parties Candidates join existing movement 20th Century Personality-based campaigns Parties built around personalities and personal crusades 19th vs. 20th Century 3rd Party Candidates

  12. Barriers to Third Party Success • Single member district, plurality system • Electoral College

  13. 8 minor party candidates have won Electoral Votes… • 1832: Anti Masonic party, 7EV • 1856: Know-Nothing Party, 8 EV • 1860: Constitutional Union Party, 39 EV • 1892: Populist Party, 22 EV • 1912: Progressive Party, 88 EV • 1924: Progressive Party, 13 EV • 1948: Dixiecrat Party, 39 EV (2% of PV!) • 1968: American Independent Party, 46 EV

  14. Barriers to Third Party Success • Single member district, plurality system • Electoral College • Ballot Access Restrictions • Campaign Finance Laws • Hard to raise money • Hard to get media attention • Hard to recruit strong candidates • Most voters are loyal to a party

  15. Significant Nader votes, 2000

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