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Development of a Framework for Integrated Assessment of POPs Elimination Options

Development of a Framework for Integrated Assessment of POPs Elimination Options. Daniel Ducker. PhD Candidate - Unıversity of Auckland. Co-authored by Carol Boyle. Outline. Background Research problem and objective Incumbent TA methodology MCD M Problems Novel Framework?.

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Development of a Framework for Integrated Assessment of POPs Elimination Options

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  1. Development of a Framework for Integrated Assessment of POPs Elimination Options Daniel Ducker PhD Candidate - Unıversity of Auckland Co-authored by Carol Boyle

  2. Outline • Background • Research problem and objective • Incumbent TA methodology • MCDM • Problems • Novel Framework?

  3. Background: What are POPs? • Persistent organic pollutants… • Toxic • Bioaccumulative (often with biomagnification properties) • Semi-volatile • Stable • Dirty Dozen (under Stockholm Convention)

  4. Research Problem • Health hazard • Urgent cleanup of POPs is required • Lack of expert assistance • Many destruction alternatives • Highly emotive stakeholders • Spatial/Temporal aspects • High uncertainty is many areas of the decision

  5. Incumbent Technology Assessment Methods • UNEP’s Volume C - Utility based Multicriteria Decision Making (MCDM) • UNIDO’s Destruction Technology DSS - Outranking MCDM

  6. Incumbent Technology Assessment Multicriteria Matrix w1 w2 w3 w4 w5 w6 w7 w8 c3a1 c4a1 c5a1 c6a1 c7a1 c8a1 ? c1a1 c2a1 c3a2 c4a2 c5a2 c6a2 c7a2 c8a2 c1a2 c2a2 c3a3 c4a3 c5a3 c6a3 c7a3 c8a3 c1a3 c2a3 c3a4 c4a4 c5a4 c6a4 c7a4 c8a4 c1a4 c2a4 c3a5 c4a5 c5a5 c6a5 c7a5 c8a5 c1a5 c2a5 c3a6 c4a6 c5a6 c6a6 c7a6 c8a6 c1a6 c2a6

  7. Incumbent Technology Assessment - Problems • Assumed independence • Compensability • Difficulties eliciting preference • disputes over weights • meaning? • Black box - Learning aspect limited • Significant uncertainty • Difficult to encompass spatial and temporal aspects

  8. General Principles • Holistic – social, technical, economic and environmental aspects • Intra and Intergenerational thinking • Life cycle aspects & management • Facility to implement a precautionary approach • Integrated pollution prevention and control • Co-benefits of controlling other pollutants • Broad participation

  9. Traditional Problem Identification–“Divide and Conquer”

  10. New FrameworkRe-addressing Scope Hazardous Waste Intractable Waste Organochloride Waste Pesticide Waste Industrial POPs Waste POPs Pesticides Unintentional POPs production

  11. New Framework-Systems thinking and Integration of Tools • Cross cutting institutional arrangements (improve transdisciplinary) • Systems analysis • System dynamics– causal loop models • Causal layered analysis (creating transformation spaces) • GIS (incorporate spatial/temporal elements)

  12. Acknowledgements • Medi-Chem Waste Services • Technology New Zealand

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