1 / 104

MPR 2007:2 070620

MPR 2007:2 070620. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Figure 2. GDP with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank. Figure 3. CPI with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change.

keon
Download Presentation

MPR 2007:2 070620

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. MPR 2007:2070620

  2. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank

  3. Figure 2. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  4. Figure 3. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  5. Figure 4. UND1X with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  6. Figure 5. Number of employedThousands, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  7. Figure 6. Proportion of open unemployed and total unemployedPercentage of the labour force, seasonally adjusted data Sources: National Labour Market Board, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  8. Figure 7. Different agents' expectations of the rate of wage increase two years aheadPer cent Sources: National Mediation Office and Prospera Research AB

  9. Figure 8. Unit labour costs for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  10. Figure 9. GDP for the United States and the euro areaQuarterly change in per cent, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, and the Riksbank

  11. Figure 10. Swedish export market growthAnnual percentage change Sources: National sources and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  12. Figure 11. TCW exchange rateIndex, 18 November 1992 = 100 Source: The Riksbank

  13. Figure 12. Household consumption, disposable income and saving ratioAnnual percentage change and percentage of disposable income Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  14. Figure 13. General government balanceProportion of GDP Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  15. Figure 14. Government consumption expenditureAnnual percentage change, fixed prices Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Striped bars represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  16. Figure 15. GDPQuarterly change in per cent, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  17. Figure 16. CPI and UND1XAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  18. Figure 17. UND1X excluding energyAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  19. Figure 18. UND1X at different repo ratesAnnual percentage change, quarterly averages Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  20. Figure 19. Repo rate forecasts on different occasionsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  21. Figure 20. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

  22. Table 1. InflationAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  23. Table 2. Key figuresAnnual percentage change unless otherwise stated *Excluding PPM (Premium Pension Authority) savings Sources: IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  24. Table 3. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly average Source: The Riksbank

  25. Figure 21. Repo rate assumptionsPer cent, quarterly averages Sources: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  26. Figure 22. UND1XAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  27. Figure 23. GDPAnnual percentage change, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  28. Figure 24. Number of hours workedAnnual percentage change, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  29. Figure 25. Estimated labour market gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  30. Figure 26. Estimated output gaps (GDP)Percentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  31. Figure 27. Employment ratePer cent Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  32. Figure 28. Open unemploymentPercentage of the labour force, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  33. Figure 29. Nominal wages, overheating scenarioAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  34. Figure 30. UND1X, overheating scenarioAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  35. Figure 31. Repo rate, overheating scenarioPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  36. Figure 32. GDP in Sweden and in the scenarios with a weaker supply and weaker demand in the U.S.Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  37. Figure 33. UND1X in Sweden and in the scenarios with a weaker supply and weaker demand in the U.S.Annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  38. Figure 34. Repo rate in Sweden and in the scenarios with a weaker supply and weaker demand in the U.S.Per cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  39. Figure 35. GDPAnnual percentage change Sources: Eurostat, OECD and the US Department of Commerce

  40. Figure 36. Employment and private consumption in the United States Annual percentage change Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics and US Department of Commerce

  41. Figure 37. Purchasing managers index in the USIndex, unchanged activity = 50 Source: Institute for Supply Management

  42. Figure 38. Confidence indicators for the manufacturing industry in the euro area, France and Germany Balance Source: European Commission

  43. Figure 39. CPIAnnual percentage change Source: OECD

  44. Figure 40. Monetary policy expectations in the euro area and the United States Per cent Source: The Riksbank

  45. Figure 41. Implied forward ratesPer cent Sources: Prospera Research AB and the Riksbank

  46. Figure 42. Long-term interest ratesPer cent Source: The Riksbank Note. Government bonds with approximately 10 years left to maturity.

  47. Figure 43. TCW exchange rateIndex, 18 November 1992 = 100 Source: The Riksbank

  48. Figure 44. P/E ratios for the Stockholm Stock Exchange Sources: JCF and the Riksbank Note. P/E ratios are calculated on expected profits.

  49. Figure 45. The money supplyAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  50. Figure 46. House prices and total lending to Swedish householdsAnnual percentage change Note. Quarterly observations of house prices and monthly observations of lending to households. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

More Related