Credit Scoring and Scorecard Lending

1. Slide Show #12 Credit Scoring and Scorecard Lending AGEC 489/690 Spring 2009

2. Credit ScoringFundamentals A credit score is a numerical expression based on a statistical analysis of a borrower’s credit history to represent his/her creditworthiness, which is the likelihood that the borrower will pay his/her debts in a timely manner. A credit score is primarily based on credit report information obtained from credit bureaus and credit reference agencies.

3. Credit ScoringFundamentals Lenders use credit scores to evaluate the potential risk posed by lending money and to mitigate losses due to bad debt. Lenders also use credit scores to determine who qualifies for a loan, at what interest, and what credit limits. Credit scoring is not limited to lending. Other organizations, such as mobile phone companies, insurance companies, and potential employers are examples of other users of credit scoring.

4. Fundamentals Credit Scoring A credit score is primarily based on credit report information typically from the three credit bureaus: Experian, TransUnion and Equifax. There are differing approaches to calculating credit scores. The FICO is a credit score developed by Fair Issac & Company. It is used by many mortgage lenders that use a risk-based system to determine the possibility that the borrower may default on financial obligations to the lender.

5. Fundamentals of a Credit Report • Personal identifying information – your name, address, social security number, birth date, current and previous employers. • Credit history – this includes your bill-paying history with banks, retail stores and others who have granted you credit. Information includes each account you have (when opened, type of account, how much credit it includes and amount used, your monthly payment. It will indicate when loan was paid off and if there were missed or late payments. • 3. Public records – information that might indicate your creditworthiness, such as tax liens, court judgments and bankruptcies.

6. The FICO credit score is used by all three credit bureaus. It is used by over 90% of commercial banks when analyzing mortgage loan applications.

8. Credit Score Lending Practice 350 500 580 620 660 700 760 850 Loan automatically rejected below 500 Loan automatically accepted above 500 More information required. Risk Premium applied to interest rate.

9. 4.467 % risk premium

10. 4.467 % risk premium $930 difference in monthly loan payment!!!!

17. Scorecard Lending

18. Credit Standards • Most lenders use credit scores as a part of its standards when evaluating loan applications. • They will also establish standards related to liquidity, solvency and debt repayment capacity (minimum current ratio of 1.50, maximum debt ratio of 0.50, minimum term debt and capital lease coverage ratio of 1.0). • Lenders also focus on the “Six C’s” of assessing a borrower’s creditworthiness.

19. Six C’s to Assessing Creditworthiness

20. Hypothetical Scorecard Weight Met Standard • Credit score from credit bureau 15% ________ • Current ratio 15% ________ • Debt ratio 20% ________ • Debt coverage ratio 30% ________ • Other factors 10% ________ • a. Continuing customer • b. Primary commodity • c. External control factors • TOTAL SCORE ________ The lender then decides the minimum score for automatic approval, automatic rejection, and range over which additional conditions must be met (risk premium, additional collateral, compensating balances, etc.

21. Hypothetical Scorecard Weight Met Standard • Credit score from credit bureau 15% __12____ • Current ratio 15% __13____ • Debt ratio 20% __17____ • Debt coverage ratio 30% __25____ • Other factors 10% ___9____ • a. Continuing customer • b. Primary commodity • c. External control factors • TOTAL SCORE __76____ The lender then decides the minimum score for automatic approval, automatic rejection, and range over which additional conditions must be met (risk premium, additional collateral, compensating balances, etc.

22. Credit Score Lending Sheet 0 50 51 55 60 65 70 75 76 100 Loan automatically rejected below 500 Loan automatically accepted above 76 More information required. Risk premium applied to interest rate.

23. Hypothetical Loan Rates