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Government Social Research Unit. What Government Needs From Social Research: Systematic Reviews. Philip Davies PhD Government Social Research Unit HM Treasury London SW1A 2HQ. www.gsr.gov.uk. Outline. Evidence-Based Policy Making Sheer amount and flow of information/research
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Government Social Research Unit What Government Needs From Social Research: Systematic Reviews Philip Davies PhD Government Social Research Unit HM Treasury London SW1A 2HQ www.gsr.gov.uk
Outline • Evidence-Based Policy Making • Sheer amount and flow of information/research • Limitations of single studies • Need for the balance of evidence • Variable quality of research outputs • Need to separate the wheat from the chaff • Different Types of Review/Evidence Assessments
Evidence-Based Policy Making “Evidence-based government helps people make well-informed decisions about policies, programmes and projects by putting the best available evidence from research at the heart of policy development and implementation” (Davies, P.T., 1999)
Sheer Amount and Flow of Information/Research • Large number of journals and texts • Plus other sources/media for research outputs • Publish or perish ethos increases stock and flow • “The limitations of human information processing abilities exceeds the capabilities of the unaided human mind” (Eddy, Hasselbad and Shachter, 1992) • Researchers need help to find, sort and appraise research
Limitations of Single Studies • Single studies can misrepresent the balance of research evidence • Illuminate only one part of a policy issue • Sample-specific • Time-specific • Context-specific • Often of poor methodological quality • Consequently, biased
Systematic Reviews “attempt to discover the consistencies and account for the variability in similar-appearing studies” “seeking generalisations also involves seeking the limits and modifiers of generalisations” “identify the contextual-specificity of available research and evidence” (Cooper and Hedges, 1994:4).
Variable Quality and Relevance of Research Outputs • Not all research is of sufficient quality • Unclear objectives • Poor research design • Methodological weaknesses • Inadequate data reporting • Selective use of data • Unsupported conclusions • Not all research addresses policy questions • Uncertainty and inconclusiveness of scientific research • Need to separate the wheat from the chaff
Separating the Wheat from the Chaff • Critical appraisal criteria will different for each study type • Transparency of the grounds for inclusion/exclusion is essential
Different Types of Review • Narrative (Traditional Literature) Reviews • Vote Counting Reviews • Systematic Reviews (non-aggregative) • Statistical Meta-Analyses (aggregative) • Meta-Ethnography • Rapid Evidence Assessments
Rapid Evidence Assessments - What Are They? • Systematic reviews of existing evidence • Timed to meet the needs of policy makers/practitioners • Strategically using the ‘three arms’ of systematic searching • Electronic sources • Print sources • Grey Literature • Critical appraisal of studies identified • Summary of findings, with caveats and qualifications • Tentative findings Interim Evidence Assessments
Rapid Evidence Assessments - Advantages • Provides sounder evidence than selective literature reviews • Better than opinion-based policy • Provides a challenge function to received wisdoms • Challenges and strengthens a policy’s theory of change • Provides more precise estimates of likely outcomes/effects • Provides valid and reliable evidence on implementation • Transparent strengths and weaknesses of evidence-base
Rapid Evidence Assessments - Limitations • Usually not comprehensive use of existing literature • Introduces selection and publication biases • Can misrepresent the totality of evidence • Can lead to Type I and Type II errors • Need to be continued to produce full-blown systematic reviews • Hence Interim Evidence Assessments to be preferred
Policymakers’ Views of Academic Research For Policymakers Research Evidence Is Too: • Long • Verbose • Detailed • Dense • Impenetrable • Jargonesque • Methodological • Untimely • Non-relevant/irrelevant
Formatting and Presentational Issues for S-Rs Some Solutions • Identify the key message(s) from research • Identify limitations of evidence • Communicate clearly and concisely • Use appropriate format (eg 1:3:25) • Don’t patronise/over-simplify/dumb-down • Don’t ‘blind with science’ • Persistence and Opportunism
Sources of Systematic Review Evidence • Centre for Evidence-Informed Policy and Practice (EPPI) http://eppi.ioe.ac.uk/ • NHS Centre for Reviews and Dissemination (CRD) http://www.york.ac.uk/inst/crd • National Institute of Clinical Excellence (NICE) • www.nice.org.uk/ • Social Care Institute of Excellence (SCIE) www.scie.org.uk • Campbell Collaboration http://campbellcollaboration.org • Cochrane Collaboration www.cochrane.org • ESRC Centre for EBPP and the Evidence Network http://www.evidencenetwork.org
Contact philip.davies@hm-treasury.x.gsi.gov.uk Government Social Research Unit HM Treasury 1 Horse Guards Road London SW1A HQ England Tel: +44 (0)20 7270 5156 www.policyhub.gov.uk