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50 years of change and a model for the future Cathy Parker and Simon Quin

50 years of change and a model for the future Cathy Parker and Simon Quin @ placemanagement #HSUK2020. Good morning and welcome. Welcome particularly to representatives of our partner towns:

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50 years of change and a model for the future Cathy Parker and Simon Quin

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  1. 50 years of change and a model for the future Cathy Parker and Simon Quin @placemanagement #HSUK2020

  2. Good morning and welcome • Welcome particularly to representatives of our partner towns: • Alsager, Altrincham, Ballymena, Barnsley, Bristol (St George), Congleton, Holmfirth, Market Rasen, Morley and Wrexham

  3. Welcome also to our international webinar participants • Australia • Canada • Cyprus • Germany • Greece • Italy • Malaysia • Netherlands • Portugal • Poland • Sweden • United Kingdom • …and Isle of Man https://mmu.adobeconnect.com/uk2020mmu/

  4. Agenda 09.30 – 10.30 10.30 – 11.00 11.00 – 13.00 50 years of high street change & a model for the future Break Repositioning, reinventing, rebranding & restructuring your high street @placemanagement #HSUK2020

  5. Parliament June 2014

  6. The challenge….and some background @placemanagement #HSUK2020

  7. Change in retailer location 2000-11

  8. 100,000 !

  9. Loss won’t be uniform Centre for Retail Research 2013

  10. Department for Transport 2011

  11. Department for Transport 2011

  12. Change in Tesco store format 47% of stores over 25,000 sqft 66% of stores under 5000 sqft 1972 1995 Dawson J 2004

  13. Generating 70% of retail sales 100 retailers 1971 2004

  14. Durable goods Bulky goods Food

  15. Percentage of newly built retail space in town centres: 1971-2008 Actual Town Centre Town Centre plus 300 metres Planning Statistical Release 4, DCLG, 2009

  16. Online retailing

  17. Online share of home retailing 2014 Centre for Retail Research 2013

  18. Growth Forecasts Online retailing 16% pa £52 bn in 2015 M-retailing 62% this year £7.92 bn Centre for Retail Research 2013

  19. Town centre share of retail spend Parliament 2014

  20. The response @placemanagement #HSUK2020

  21. Vital & Viable Town Centres • Planning Policy Guidance/Statements • Business Improvement Districts • High Street Britain 2015 • The Portas Review • Understanding High Street Performance • Future High Streets Forum

  22. Nature of TCM schemes IPM 2009

  23. Focus of TCM schemes PWC 2008

  24. The 4 As

  25. The 4 As Spatial Macro Meso factors

  26. The research @placemanagement #HSUK2020

  27. @placemanagement #HSUK2020

  28. Review parameters • Type of study (empirical, exploratory, conceptual) • Methodological evidence • Data source (primary, secondary, tertiary) • Dependent variable (retail area performance measure) • Independent variables (factor affecting performance) • Significance (major findings and statistical significance if available) • Limitations (flaws, weaknesses etc.) • Author, date, publisher • Geographical location (UK, US, Europe, e.g.) • Size of retail/shopping centre (Different geographical scales of place, e.g. city centre, town centre, high street, neighbourhood centre, district centre, suburban centre)

  29. Time in minutes per review Retail Restructuring and Consumer Choice 1: Long-term local changes in consumer behaviour: Portsmouth, 1980-2002 38 mins US nationwide trends in metropolitan retail trade: A perspective of the mid 1980s

  30. Most of the studies were empirical Other Historical Explanatory Empirical Conceptual

  31. Most published in the last 10 years

  32. Mostly from UK and Europe

  33. Focus of data • City Centre • Town Centre • High Street • Neighbourhood Centre • District Centre • Suburban Centre • Out of town Centre

  34. 166 factors influence performance

  35. And if 166 factors were not enough….. • Partner towns identified 50 additional factors that influence the High Street • 33 additional studies reviewed • 201 factors finally identified, but: • how much influence does each one have? • what should towns be focussing on?

  36. The Delphi Technique The Delphi method is unique in its method of eliciting and refining group judgement as it is based on the notion that a group of experts is better than one expert when exact knowledge is not available. (Paliwoda, 1983).

  37. 22 Experts participated

  38. Consensus reached on • How much influence each factor has on the vitality and viability of the High Street • How much control a location has over the factor

  39. You can’t control everything

  40. The model @placemanagement #HSUK2020

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