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Uniting Business for Good

Uniting Business for Good Florida’s Changing Economic, Demographic & Political Landscape and Why Business Matters. Uniting Business For Good. Leadership (Elections). Actions (Lobbying & Grassroots). Solutions (Research).

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Uniting Business for Good

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  1. Uniting Business for Good Florida’s Changing Economic, Demographic & Political Landscape and Why Business Matters

  2. Uniting Business For Good Leadership (Elections) Actions (Lobbying & Grassroots) Solutions (Research)

  3. “Florida is changing. Our ECONOMICS, our demographics and our politics are all changing and these changes are both opportunities and challenges.” – Mark Wilson “Our mission is to lead Florida to a new and sustainable economy.”

  4. Florida At A Glance • Florida’s Economy $1 Trillion GDP (17th) • 21.5 Million Residents • 3rd / 26M By 2030 / More Than 900/Day • 126.1 Million Visitors In 2018 (+50M by 2030) • Florida Creates 1 Out Of Every 13 New U.S. Jobs • 289,700 Jobs Looking for People. 357,000 People Looking for Jobs. www.TheFloridaScorecard.org

  5. Job Creation April 2018 – April 2019 U.S. Growth Rate 1.8% Florida Growth Rate 2.4% Top Counties for Jobs 1. Miami-Dade 41,337 2. Orange 15,080 3. Palm Beach 8,918 4. Lee 7,308 5. Broward 6,381 • Brevard 5,881 • Seminole 4,889 • Osceola 3,687 • Polk 3,197 • Lake 3,079 Top Counties for Job Growth • Glades 3.1% • Miami-Dade 3.1% • Putnam 2.3% • Brevard 2.2% • Lee 2.2% • Osceola 2.2% • Martin 2.1% • Orange 2.1% • Lake 2.1% • Flagler 2.1% 13 Florida counties lost jobs over the past year Data Source: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity

  6. Florida Florida Industry Diversification by MSA #1 Most Diverse – Naples-Immokalee-Marco Island MSA #2 Most Diverse – Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville MSA #3 Most Diverse – Miami-Ft. Lauderdale-West Palm Beach MSA #4 Most Diverse – Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford MSA #5 Most Diverse – Cape Coral-Ft. Myers MSA #6 Most Diverse – Jacksonville MSA Data Source: Florida Gulf Coast University, Regional Economic Research Institute. Q3 2018 data.

  7. Job Creation 2007 to Q3 2018 U.S. Growth Rate: 10.1% Florida Growth Rate: 11.2% Citrus County Growth Rate: -3.0% The Other 49 States – 1,274 counties lost jobs during this period. That is 41.6% of counties outside of Florida. Florida – 18 counties lost jobs during this period. That is 26.8% of Florida’s counties. 6,713

  8. Innovation and Economic Development Manufacturing: Florida 2.8x U.S. Rate Florida - 2018 Florida - current

  9. “Florida is changing. Our economics our DEMOGRAPHICS and our politics are all changing and these changes are both opportunities and challenges.” – Mark Wilson “Our mission is to lead Florida to a new and sustainable economy.”

  10. Florida’s Next 4.5 Million People Top 10 Growth in People • Miami-Dade 639,060 • Orange 451,990 • Hillsborough 412,926 • Broward 329,843 • Palm Beach 279,976 • Duval 225,250 • Lee 212,763 • Osceola 178,394 • Polk 171,439 • Pasco 129,769 Top 10 Growth in Percent • Sumter 51.8% • Osceola 50.7% • St. Johns 43.9% • Walton 41.5% • Lake 34.3% • Nassau 34.0% • Santa Rosa 33.8% • Orange 33.5% • Flagler 32.2% • Liberty 31.6% The top 3 Counties get 33.4% of the Growth: Top 6: 52.0% Top 11: 70.3% Top 13: 75.5% Data Source: Bureau of Economic and Business Research (BEBR) Population Studies Group, University of Florida

  11. Age Group 85+ Growth to 2030 by Age Group 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 35-39 30-34 25-29 20-24 15-19 0-14 80% 20% 40% 0% 60%

  12. Where Does Florida’s Growth Come From? Change in Population by Source, 2010-2017 (millions)

  13. Florida’s 3rd Grade Reading Scores 91,066 3rd graders not reading at grade level 6,713 Top Counties Bottom Counties 1. St. Johns 78 1. Desoto 34 2. Nassau 75 2. Gadsden 37 3. Baker 73 3. Madison 40 4. Santa Rosa 71 4. Putnam 41 • Sarasota 70 5. Marion 44 • Monroe 70 6. Jefferson 45 • Gilchrist 70 7. Hendry 47

  14. Under-18 Poverty in Florida There are 901,772 kids living in Poverty in Florida Florida’s under-18 Poverty rate: 22.3% Top Number: Kids living in Poverty Bottom Number: Under-18 Poverty Rate Data Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

  15. Citrus County Under-18 Poverty by Zip Code There are 6,286 kids in Citrus County living in poverty Numbers Top: Zip Code Middle: number of kids living in poverty Bottom: Under-18 Poverty Rate Data Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

  16. People in Poverty in Florida 3,070,972 people living in poverty, by zip code “If you eliminated poverty in just 20 of Florida’s 983 populated zip codes, you would eliminate 10 percent of poverty in Florida” Top Zip Codes Percent of Poverty 20 10% 48 20% 84 30% 127 40% 179 50%

  17. “Florida is changing. Our economics, our demographics and our POLITICS are all changing and these changes are both opportunities and challenges.” – Mark Wilson

  18. What Do You Think Motivates Business In Florida? February 2019 What’s Better? Socialism or Capitalism? Voters Under 40 Businesses Care About Employees Businesses Care Mostly About Profits

  19. Florida’s Game Changers/Headwinds Term-limits creating Kings and Queens in Leadership – short term vs. long term. Florida has become a testing ground for national issues and Constitutional Amendments as turnout drivers Out-of-state billionaires with their own anti-business agendas, essentially creating their own political machinery to advance their agendas. State Republican and Democratic parties in states of disarray. National Politics – Are President Trump and/or Congress a tailwind or headwind? Proliferation of “paid” and “fake” news creating uncertainty.

  20. Florida’s Governor & Cabinet Governor Commissioner of Agriculture Attorney General Chief Financial Officer Ron DeSantis (R) Nikki Fried (D) Ashley Moody (R) Jimmy Patronis (R) • Moody won by 487,620 votes • Moody won 59 Counties • Shaw won 9 Counties • DeSantis won by 32,463 votes • DeSantis won 54 Counties • Gillum won 13 Counties • Patronis won by 279,681 votes • Patronis won 57 Counties • Ring won 10 Counties • Fried won by 6,753 votes • Caldwell won 54 Counties • Fried won 13 Counties

  21. Florida Legislature • Balance of Power • Senate – 23 R, 17 D • 65% new since 2016 • House – 73 R, 47 D • 70% new since 2016 • 110 of 160 of the Legislature have less than 2 years experience Senate President Bill Galvano House Speaker José Oliva

  22. Total Voter Registration By County (41R, 26D) Republican= 4,718,813 Democrat= 4,965,139 NPA/Other= 3,713,011 13,397,063

  23. APRIL NEW VOTERS By County Republican Democrat NPA/Other

  24. Florida the most important battleground state • Elections are so expensive because 3 separate elections (Early, By Mail & Election Day) $22 per vote more than $150 million spent on Gov race

  25. Florida Chamber’s Latest Statewide Poll with Regional Insights

  26. Changing Voter Attitudes

  27. Top Voter Concerns Top Voter Concerns by Media Market

  28. Carolyn Gosselin Senior Vice President cgosselin@flchamber.com 850.521.1287

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