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Order out of chaos? Trends and forecasts in the scholarly acquisitions landscape

Order out of chaos? Trends and forecasts in the scholarly acquisitions landscape. Janet Peters Director of Libraries and University Librarian, Cardiff University. How predictable is the weather?. How predictable are students and researchers?.

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Order out of chaos? Trends and forecasts in the scholarly acquisitions landscape

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  1. Order out of chaos? Trends and forecasts in the scholarly acquisitions landscape Janet Peters Director of Libraries and University Librarian, Cardiff University

  2. How predictable is the weather?

  3. How predictable are students and researchers? • Will numbers of applicants to universities continue to fall? • Will there be more demand for distance learning and part time courses – delivered globally? • Will research funding be focussed in a smaller number of centres? • How well will UK HE compete with global (and/or private) educational providers?

  4. Market place for quality • Student funding • Shift from government/tax payer to student • No more money overall • Student choice • Key Information Sets • National Student Survey • Research Excellence Framework • Significant levels of funding attached

  5. Library purchasing trends • More than two thirds of information provision expenditure is now on electronic resources compared to less than half 5 years ago. • Average number of books added per FTE user was 1.1 in 2010-11. Represents 2.0% of total stock, compared to 2.8% in 2000-01. • Library expenditure as a proportion of total institutional expenditure remained stable in 2010-11, at 2.5% - and compares to 3.0% in 2000-1 (Statistics from: LISU (2012) SCONUL Trends 2000-01 to 2010-11)

  6. Purchasing trends in Cardiff University

  7. So how do libraries keep everyone happy? • Just in time, not just in case • Purchasing based on evidence • Decision to retain (subs or book) has to be justified • Statistics essential (how much is x used, by whom) • Anytime, anywhere access, for any number of readers • E-books/scanned articles and chapters for reading lists • Patron Driven Acquisition?

  8. Innovation • New services • Federated searching (LibrarySearch @Cardiff) • ‘Ask a Librarian’ online enquiries • Mobile apps • Demonstrate value for money • Outsource where justifiable (shelf ready?) • Focus on where we add value • Reskill staff – Open Access publishing; repository and data management; rare books cataloguing; social networking

  9. Rebuild, refresh and promote

  10. Value for money • Resistance to price increases • RLUK campaign • Jisc Collections • Consortial purchasing (SHEDL, WHEEL) – direct purchase from publishers • Shared services • Consortial storage of journals - UKRR • Licensing information – KnowledgeBase+ • Cataloguing? Shelf ready; specialist hubs; master record • Library Management Systems?

  11. Changes in publishing:Open Access • Finch • Green self-archiving route • Gold Article Payment Charges (APCs) • Transitional funding • Market place for APCs? • Author behaviour • National negotiations • Cross sectoral licensing (eg HE/NHS)

  12. What next? • Disaggregated and Linked data • Future of journal as an entity? • Future of bundles? • Future of metadata – Open too? • Research data – who provides access?

  13. Roles for subscription agents??Help to bring order out of chaos? • Broker APCs as an intermediary – see OAIG report? • Join Open Access Key (OAK)? • Develop standards for data transfer between universities/funders/publishers on APCs? • Create new business models • Provide access to articles for library purchase (find the value add compared to Google Scholar or BL?) • Curate and provide access to data?

  14. Glimmer of hope?

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