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UZAIR KAMAL Mohsin Murad MAJID KHAN

CBA Of Kalabagh Dam Project. UZAIR KAMAL Mohsin Murad MAJID KHAN. Kalabagh Dam. InTRODUCTION. Major Power Project Of The Country 92 miles downstream the confluence of Kabul and Indus Rivers

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UZAIR KAMAL Mohsin Murad MAJID KHAN

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  1. CBA Of Kalabagh Dam Project UZAIR KAMAL Mohsin Murad MAJID KHAN

  2. Kalabagh Dam InTRODUCTION • Major Power Project Of The Country • 92 miles downstream the confluence of Kabul and Indus Rivers • 260 ft high structure and would create a reservoir 6.1 million acres feet (MAF) of usable storage • About 11,200 GWh, generated by hydro power plant of 2400 MW capacity • Estimated Cost Is Around US $5.153 billion

  3. Kalabagh Dam Cba Of Dam Projects A cost-benefit analysis (CBA) is an economic evaluation technique. It can be used to appraise whether a dam project is worth undertaking • Define a referent group. • Select a portfolio of alternative projects. • Identify potential (physical) impacts of the project. • Predict quantitative impacts over the life of the project. • Monetize all impacts. • Discount for time to find present values. • Sum: Add up benefits and costs. • Perform sensitivity analysis. • Recommend the alternative with the largest net social welfare • value.

  4. Kalabagh Dam Referent Group • Group of individuals whose welfare will be accounted for when assessing the cost and benefit of a project. • Not always the people affected by the project. • But in Pakistan these projects are undertaken from a national perspective considering the people of all the provinces. • Hence the referent group will be the entire population.

  5. Potential Impacts of a Dam Project Impacts Negative Impacts Positive Impacts • Physical costs • Resettlement cost • Risk of dam failure • Land acquisition • Externalities • Hydroelectric power • Irrigation water • Reduction of flood losses and seawater intrusion damage • Municipal and industrial • water supply • Net benefits to/from fishery & recreational facilities • River navigation Kalabagh Dam Potential Impacts Physical impacts are composed of construction, operation and maintenance, mitigation and decommissioning costs.

  6. Kalabagh Dam Quantitative Impacts • Once all impacts have been identified, analysts have to quantify them into physical terms. • Useful economic life of over 50 years, without requiring any major replacement of machines and E&M equipment

  7. Kalabagh Dam Monetizing Impacts

  8. Kalabagh Dam Cont..

  9. Kalabagh Dam Present Value

  10. Kalabagh Dam Costs & Benefits • The total project cost at June 1998 price level, including contingencies, price escalation and interest during construction, is estimated as US$ 5,700 million. • The project will pay back its investment cost in a period of less than 10 years, as projected project annual benefits are US $ 628.18 Million

  11. Kalabagh Dam Alternatives • The alternatives to Kalabagh Dam are: • Raising water level in Mangla dam to offset the effect of silting. • A de-silted Tarbela would yield the same irrigation benefits as Kalabagh, but at one-seventh the cost in net present value terms • A thermal power plant of equivalent capacity to Kalabagh were constructed, the cost would still be lower by one-third

  12. THANK YOU

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