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Macro Trends and What They Mean for 2050

Macro Trends and What They Mean for 2050. Jeff Jonas IBM Distinguished Engineer jeffjonas@us.ibm.com www.jeffjonas.typepad.com. Collections of technologies create big effects. 67. 75M ~17+%. Avg Age. 37. Number Dead. 300M ~4.5%. Today: Global Average. 1900: Western

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Macro Trends and What They Mean for 2050

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  1. Macro Trends and What They Mean for 2050 Jeff Jonas IBM Distinguished Engineer jeffjonas@us.ibm.com www.jeffjonas.typepad.com

  2. Collections of technologies create big effects.

  3. 67 75M ~17+% Avg Age 37 Number Dead 300M ~4.5% Today: Global Average 1900: Western Europe 1300’s: “Black Death” Today: If America sunk into ocean and everyone dies The World Becomes Less Dangerous

  4. 2050 Prediction Your doctor is 102 and this is not weird.

  5. Re-animation of 1918 Spanish Influenza (<50 people, <$100k) John D Rockerfeller Years to $1B • Today: • 160,000,000 deaths Mark Zuckerberg (FaceBook) 1870: Many years 2005: <3 years Much More … Much Faster & Much Easier 1st Nuke (130,000 people, $37B) Difficulty BAD! • 1953: • 140,000 deaths GOOD!

  6. 2050 Prediction Your 14-year-old neighbor makes $10B from their bedroom.

  7. Surveillance is irresistible. Sensors become ubiquitous. Piles of data become one.

  8. Information in Context

  9. Information in Context

  10. Collective Intelligence in the Clouds

  11. 2050 Prediction Collective intelligence will locate what you need to know … and tell you!

  12. Data about where you are right now Observations of migratory birds 2050: Insight From Above “Jump to the right 1 foot!”

  13. When collective intelligence serves … … you and your doctor … HATE! … the police looking at you … LOVE!

  14. Macro Trends and What They Mean for 2050 Jeff Jonas IBM Distinguished Engineer jeffjonas@us.ibm.com www.jeffjonas.typepad.com

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