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ESDS International Annual Conference 2007 London, 3 December 2007

ESDS International Annual Conference 2007 London, 3 December 2007. The IEA and the Growing Need for more Energy Statistics. Jean-Yves Garnier Sharon Burghgraeve Energy Statistics Division International Energy Agency. A few Words on the IEA. Member countries. Autonomous Agency of the OECD

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ESDS International Annual Conference 2007 London, 3 December 2007

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  1. ESDS International Annual Conference 2007London, 3 December 2007 The IEA and the Growing Need for more Energy Statistics Jean-Yves Garnier Sharon Burghgraeve Energy Statistics Division International Energy Agency

  2. A few Words on the IEA Member countries • Autonomous Agency of the OECD • Established in 1974 after 1st Oil Crisis • 28 Members Countries (vs. 30 for OECD) • 3 Es: Energy security, Economy and Environment IEA OECD

  3. Data Data Data Data • End-Use • Socio-Economic • Production • Production • Consumption • Imports/Exports • Diversity • (gas, coal, electricity) • Transformation • Stocks • Efficiency • Security • Efficiency • Efficiency • Price • Oil prices at $37/bl • Emissions • Dependency How IEA Statistics developed over time Establishment of the IEA Prices escalating Kyoto Protocol Rio Summit 2nd Oil Crisis 1st Oil Crisis

  4. Five Annual Energy Questionnaires Other Annual:Energy Forecast and R&D Budget for IEA Quarterly Questionnaires:Prices and Taxes questionnaire Monthly Questionnaires: Monthly Oil and Gas Statistics,Joint Oil Data Initiative Electricity production and trade Exceptional Questionnaires:Mainly in case of oil crisis, or ad-hoc activities (e.g.: Non-Energy Use Network) How OECD data are collected

  5. Work from August to September Sent at end July Sent back to the IEA before end of September Checking the data is a long process National Administrations Prepared in June-July Queries

  6. What flows are collected? Production Import Export International Marine Bunkers Stock Changes Domestic Supply Transfers Statistical Differences Transformation Sector (18 sub-sectors) Energy Sector (16 sub-sectors) Distribution Losses Final Consumption Industry Sector (13 sub-sectors) Transport (7 sub-sectors) Other Sectors (4 sub-sectors) Non Energy Uses Electricity and Heat Outputs TOTAL: 95 FLOWS

  7. What products are collected? • Coal (17 products/categories) • Natural gas • Crude Oil and Petroleum products (25 products) • Nuclear Energy • Hydro Energy • Renewable Energy (19 products/categories) • Waste Energy (3 products/categories) • Electricity • Heat (7 categories) • TOTAL: over 75 products/categories

  8. OECD (30 countries) Non OECD Europe (11 countries) Former Soviet Union (15 countries) Asia (17 countries) Middle East (13 countries) Latin America (22 countries) Africa (26 countries) How non-OECD data are collected Data are collected, processed and published for over 130 countries

  9. UN EUROSTAT FAO OAPEC WORLD BANK OPEC AFREPREN How non-OECD data are collected(cont.)

  10. The annual IEA statistics cycle

  11. How can users access IEA data CDs • Free access to Administrations • Subscription for others • Pay-per-view also available Books Most visited page on the IEA website Internet

  12. Fast turnover in staff Problems encountered in energy statistics • Liberalisation of the market: From one company to hundreds • Confidentiality (linked to liberalisation) • More work passed to statistics offices: • More companies to survey (liberalisation) • Renewables (remote information) • Energy efficiency indicators (including socio-economic data) • Environment (estimation of GHG emissions, ….) • Etc. • Resources do not follow work load:Statistics still have a low profile, budget cuts • Fast turnover in staff: lack of experience, continuity

  13. The past situation in energy statistics offices Retirement age 50s 40s 30s 20s passing experience gaining experience

  14. The current situation environment modelling private sector Retirement age 50s 40s policy 30s 20s efficiency • Temptation to move away from statistics is high • Young statisticians only stay a few years • Not enough time to have a full grasp of energy statistics • No time to transmit their expertise

  15. How the IEA tackles these problems • Facilitating the work of newcomers in statistics: • Energy Statistics Manual • User-friendly electronic questionnaires • Training Raising the profile of energy statistics and the role of statisticians • Ministerial meetings • Governing Board Meetings • Harmonisation and Cooperation

  16. Facilitating the work of newcomersin statistics A user-friendly manual to give necessary information to newcomers to understand/complete annual questionnaires

  17. The Manual is available in six languages English French German Spanish Russian Chinese An Arabic version is under preparation

  18. Raising the profile of statistics and the role of statisticians Current situation No direct link between policy makers and statisticians

  19. In fact, the relationship between policy makers, analysts and statisticians should be more based on a 3-way street • Decision makers • Need the right data immediately • Allocation of resources • The ones who do the work • Should be fully involved in the whole process • Statisticians need to understand why they collect the data • Policy makers need to understand the problems faced by statisticians • Prime users of the data • Advisors to policy makers • Interface between policy makers and statisticians • Lobby • Comments on data

  20. Raising the profile On 19 November 2005, an example of how the profile of statistics can be raised is the launch of the JODI Database by King Abdullah

  21. UN 1995 1996 1997 1998 APEC 2653 2903 3087 3134 IEA 2741 2872 3062 3109 OLADE 2722 2969 3022 3070 OPEC 2618 2858 3022 3071 UN 2834 2977 3166 Crude Oil Production for Mexico (in kbd) 3210 Harmonisation and Cooperation Mexico is a member country of 4 major organisations Secretaria de Energía Mexico 5% gap

  22. Strengthening Harmonisation and Cooperation2nd InterEnerStat Workshop19-20 November 2007, IEA, Paris • 25 international/regional organisations • Both data providers and users • Harmonisation of definitions • Common training sessions • A joint website

  23. Objectives of the site • Provide a wealth of information on energy statistics • Definitions • Methodology • Units • Reference documents • Portal to databases • Highlight differences and similarities in definitions http://www.iea.org/interenerstat/

  24. An easy way to identify differences and similarities. A first step towards harmonisation.

  25. UN EUROSTAT OAPEC WORLD BANK OPEC The ultimate goal would be to have one questionnaire common to all countries and organisations FAO ? Dream or reality?

  26. A few Words to Conclude Understanding the energy situation and markets is a necessity: • Oil is the most traded commodity  clear impact on global economy • Surplus capacities are limited, dependency on fewer and fewer countries leads to major energy security issues • More than 80% of CO2 emissions come from fuel combustion Responding to the ever-growing need for more detailed, timely and reliable data has at least three dimensions: • Horizontal: more products (e.g. biofuels) • Vertical: more flows (e.g. end uses) • Global: non-OECD consumption overtook OECD consumption in 2004 The IEA has embarked on several initiatives to respond to these needs both with OECD member countries as well as with key countries (China, India, Russia) and organisations It is our hope and wish to further improve coverage, timeliness and quality of the data we provide to our users all around the world Thank you

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