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Final Ozone Modeling Emissions Inventory

Final Ozone Modeling Emissions Inventory. Adel Alsharafi and Wendy Vit, MDNR Jeff Sprague, IEPA September 25, 2006. Changes to 2002 Base Year Inventory (Base 4). Incorporated Midwest RPO Base K inventory for MRPO states -- all sectors except onroad mobile

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Final Ozone Modeling Emissions Inventory

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  1. Final Ozone Modeling Emissions Inventory Adel Alsharafi and Wendy Vit, MDNR Jeff Sprague, IEPA September 25, 2006

  2. Changes to 2002 Base Year Inventory (Base 4) • Incorporated Midwest RPO Base K inventory for MRPO states -- all sectors except onroad mobile • Adjusted Missouri area source inventory • Added portable fuel container (gas cans) emissions statewide • Corrected aircraft refueling emissions at Lambert

  3. 2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Electric Generating Units (EGUs) • Integrated Planning Model (IPM) emissions projections that implement state/local regulations, NOx SIP Call, CAIR trading program, and stakeholder unit-level revisions

  4. 2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Non-EGU Point Sources • Growth and control factors provided by Alpine Geophysics and MRPO • Emissions adjustments from stakeholder comments (Anheuser Busch, Daimler Chrysler, JW Aluminum) • Controls • Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) • NOx SIP Call - cement kilns and RICE • Illinois NOx rule (St. Louis NAA counties)

  5. 2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Non-EGU Point Sources, Cont. • Facility shutdowns • Note: Ford Hazelwood retained in 2009 inventory with 2002 emissions held constant • Newly permitted facilities • Holcim cement kiln - Ste. Genevieve, MO • Prairie State Generating Station - Washington Co., IL • ConocoPhilips proposed plant expansion - Madison Co., IL

  6. 2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Area Sources • Growth and control factors provided by Alpine Geophysics and MRPO • Controls • Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) • Illinois portable fuel container rule • Stage II vehicle refueling - onboard vapor recovery • New Source Performance Standards - residential wood combustion

  7. 2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Offroad Mobile Sources • NONROAD2004 model output • Growth and control factors provided by Alpine Geophysics and MRPO for commercial marine vessels, aircraft, locomotives • Controls • Federal rules included in NONROAD2004 (Tier 4 offroad diesel rule) • Federal locomotive standards • Federal commercial marine vessel standards • Federal spark ignition evaporative standards

  8. 2009 On-the-Books Inventory: Onroad Mobile Sources • VMT growth factors provided by Alpine Geophysics (avg. 1.7% per year within St. Louis NAA counties) • 2009 emission factors from MOBILE6 • Controls • Federal regulations included in MOBILE6 (Tier 2 rule and heavy-duty diesel engine standards) • Reformulated gasoline in St. Louis NAA counties (both MO and IL) • Basic I/M performance standard in MO NAA counties • I/M program in IL NAA counties

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