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Lake Balaton　Integrated　Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and　Adaptation Strategies

Balaton Adaptation Project. Lake Balaton　Integrated　Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and　Adaptation Strategies a UNDP/GEF medium-sized project Executing Agency: Lake Balaton Development Council (Balaton Fejleszt ési Tanács , Si ófok). Balaton Adaptation Project.

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Lake Balaton　Integrated　Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and　Adaptation Strategies

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  1. Balaton Adaptation Project Lake Balaton　Integrated　Vulnerability Assessment, Early Warning and　Adaptation Strategies a UNDP/GEF medium-sized project Executing Agency: Lake Balaton Development Council (Balaton Fejlesztési Tanács, Siófok)

  2. Balaton Adaptation Project Implementing Agency: Lake Balaton Development Coordination Agency (Balatoni Integrációs és Fejlesztési Ügynökség Kht.) Project partners: United Nations Environmental Program Global Resource Information Database – Geneva, Switzerland(UNEP-GRID) International Institute for Sustainable Development - Winnipeg, Canada

  3. Indicators for Lake Balaton Gábor Molnár*, Károly Kutics*, László Pintér** and Anthony Lehman*** *Lake Balaton Development Coordination Agency **International Institute for Sustainable Development ***UNEP-GRID Geneva

  4. Contents Introduction to the Lake Balaton region Project preliminaries Objectives, outcomes Indicators Adaptation Policy frameworks

  5. Introduction of Lake Balaton Region and Lake Balaton Development Coordination Agency

  6. Location and features of Lake Balaton • naturally shallow lake • average depth: 3.3 m • size of the lake: 594 km2 • catchment area: 5775 km2 • Lake Balaton Recreational Area • 164 municipalities • 255,000 permanent population • 171,500 houses and flats • Tourism is the flagship of economy • Related income: 1.5 billion euro/year • 1/3 of the national tourism income • (~ 3% of GDP)

  7. Lake BalatonDevelopment Coordination Agency • Established on January 01, 2000 • 100% owned by the Lake Balaton Development Council (LBDC) • Non-profit, public interest company – NPO and/or public body • 3 officies (Siófok HQ, Keszthely, Balatonfüred) • 27 permanent staff • 3 divisions: • planning and programming • socio-economic research, • grant-scheme management • Funding: • 15% founder, • 65% program and project management (25% of founder, 40% of other: EU, EEA, UNDP) • 20% consultancy

  8. LBDCA - Activites Strategic Vision:To make Lake Balaton and the surrounding region a uniquely attractive area of Europe that provides outstanding conditions for living, working and leisure by emphasising its unique natural beauty and cultural heritage. • management of grant-aid schemes (several hundred applicantions annually) • programming (Concept, Strategic Develepment Program, OP-s, project proposals) • research and development (social sciences, environment, GIS) • information dissemination, public involvment, PR (media, events, publications, internet) • multilevel co-ordination (national, regional, municipal) • regional projects (initiation, promotion, implementation) • international cooperation (Living Lakes) and projects (EU, GEF/UNDP, JICA, …)

  9. Preliminaries – water level problems Normal level: 80 – 110 cm gauge October 2003 level: 23 cm gauge 2003. október Balatonfenyves

  10. Preliminaries – water balance Annual natural water balance of Lake Balaton (Varga, Gy., 2007) Natural water balance = Direct precipitation + Inflow - Evaporation Negative balance for the first time on record in 2000 Negative balance for 4 years in a row!

  11. Balaton Adaptation Project General objectives Assess vulnerability Increase knowledge Build adaptive capacity Guide adaptation Disseminate results

  12. Expected outcomes 1. strengthen ecological and socio-economic resilience by increased understanding of lake andwatershed processes viewed through the lens of vulnerability and adaptation; 2. strengthen capacity for formulating and implementing adaptive strategies compatible withsustainable development; 3. strengthen the policy framework conducive to adaptive management with particular interest toinstitutional mechanisms and economic incentives and disincentives; 4. facilitate adaptation to the impacts of climate change through direct action in the form of pilotinitiatives funded through LBDC’s existing small grants facility and innovative financingmechanisms; and 5. enhance public and policymaker awareness of integrated vulnerability and adaptation approacheslocally, nationally and internationally, including contribution to the GEF’s project on theAdaptation Learning Mechanisms.

  13. Target issues • Water quality improvement • Water quantity control • Land use change • Biodiversity conservation • Demographics assessment

  14. Nutrients Suspended material Run-off Kis-Balaton loading and removal efficiency Habitat loss Extreme weather events Climate change+ Governance Compliance Awareness of public policy Institutional capacity Water quantity*+ Water quality*+ Biodiversity* National governance National politics National commitments to international conventions EU directives Land-use*+ Demographics*+ Social capital Tourism Agriculture Transportation Consumption (energy, resources) Seasonality Employment Crime Education Economic diversification Economic growth Structure of agricultural production Devaluation of property Adaptation framework * Target issues + Possible models

  15. Indicator development process • Stakeholder meetings • Identified priority issues • Research earlier work • LIFE, • KÉP, Enviro indicators • EEA, CSD-ISD, UNEP, WHO • Compile indicators, reduce list • Short-list interim reports • Expert working group meetings • Final core set (ca. 40 indicators) • Data analysis (trends, correlations)

  16. Indicator development process Indicator selection criteria applied: • Validity: is the indicator scientifically valid and accurately describes the underlying issue / phenomenon? • Measurability: is the indicator actually measurable? • Data availability: are data likely to be available? We did not automatically eliminate indicators with no available data, but preferred to focus on those that already had data. • Intelligibility: is the indicator understandable by our intended audiences?

  17. Indicators A total of 40 indicators were selected Environment Economy Society

  18. Ecological indicators

  19. Economic indicators

  20. Social indicators

  21. Indicators - Trends

  22. Indicators - Correlations

  23. Adaptation Measures • Adaptation measures identified through • expert knowledge • modeling and scenarios • stakeholder consultation and workshops Adaptation pilot projects Adaptation policy recommendations to be integrated into calls for proposals in the Lake Balaton region

  24. Policy frameworks Integration of Lake Balaton-specific adaptation measures into key national and regional development plans National Climate Change Strategy National Development Plan 2007-2013 Lake Balaton Long-term Development Conceptual Plan Regional grant schemes

  25. Capacity building Methods applied Participation of national and local experts in project implementation Through the stakeholder participatory process Know-how transfer Local, national and international workshops Awareness rising Decision maker support

  26. Pilot projects Building in concepts of adaptation into projects funded by national and EU mechanisms Specific projects funded through regional grants Monitored throughout and after the end of the BAP and lessons built into future adaptation policies

  27. Replicability • Tools and knowledge developed in the BAP project that can be used for replication • Methodology • Models and technical tools • Indicators and indicator analysis • Pilot projects • Policy influencing strategy • Adaptation policies and measures

  28. Replicability National replicability in other regions Tisza, Tisza-tó, Danube A parallel ”elite survey” is in progress in the Tisza and Balaton regions to determine the awareness, understanding and capacity of regional leaders towards climate change and adaptation. BAP can help buy-in of politicians into climate adaptation International replicability Methodology can be applied internationally such as in in EU interreg projects, EU – Non-EU cooperation schemes and through bilateral partnerships of lake area organizations Lake Balaton has partnership agreements with the Loire region, France Lake Poyang, China Lake Chapala, Mexico Lake Biwa, Japan

  29. Thank you for your attention! Lake Balaton Development Coordination Agency H-8600 Siófok, Batthyány u. 1. Tel./Fax: +36 84 317 002 website: www.balatonregion.hu

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