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CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT UNIVERSITY OF THE FREE STATE

CHANGING DEMOGRAPHIC AND POPULATION TRENDS IN BOTSHABELO: policy implications LEJONE NTEMA AND LOCHNER MARAIS 10 OCTOBER 2013 PRESENTED AT THE STATSSA CONFERENCE ON EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY MAKING. CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT UNIVERSITY OF THE FREE STATE. BACKGROUND.

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CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT UNIVERSITY OF THE FREE STATE

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  1. CHANGING DEMOGRAPHIC AND POPULATION TRENDS IN BOTSHABELO: policy implicationsLEJONE NTEMA AND LOCHNER MARAIS10 OCTOBER 2013PRESENTED AT THE STATSSA CONFERENCE ON EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY MAKING CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT UNIVERSITY OF THE FREE STATE

  2. BACKGROUND • Botshabelo was created by apartheid policies • As a strategy to ensure displacement of black urbanisation to areas behind “homeland” boundaries • Settlements commonly known as hidden urbanities (functionally urban but located away from the functional urban areas) • Typical example of fragmented planning

  3. Population size in Botshabelo

  4. Average age for Botshabelo population

  5. Male / female ratio

  6. Age distribution of Botshabelo population

  7. Water access to households in botshabelo

  8. Sanitation services per households • 1996

  9. Number of rooms per house

  10. Type of housing units

  11. Internal migration in botshabelo • South to north (various reasons) • Schools closing down – especially the south part of Botshabelo

  12. Industry in Botshabelo • Manufacturing sector is dominant in Botshabelo’s industrial area • Currently contributing 35% to the economic development of the Botshaeblo’s industrial area • In terms of occupancy levels of industrial sites in this area-there was a decline in the past three years • The current occupancy level is 80%

  13. conclusion • Increased access to services • Increased housing investment • Declining population • Declining school population • School closures • The intention of various IDPs to grow the Botshabelo economy and to invest in Botshabelo • Declining occupancy levels in the industrial area • How does one reconcile the above?

  14. Continued.... • Despite improved infrastructure and significant housing investment there is a continued outflow of school going and working age people • What does this mean for future planning?

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