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This text discusses the determinants of consumption demand and the current account, focusing on the correlation between consumption and disposable income, the role of the exchange rate and pass-through effects. It explores the factors influencing a firm's pricing decisions in response to currency fluctuations and analyzes the short-run J-curve effect and linkage between nominal and real exchange rates. Additionally, it addresses the impact of currency depreciation on export prices and its effect on aggregate demand.
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Determinants of consumption demand consumption is positively correlated with disposable income
Determinants of the current account 经常项目=实际汇率,可支配收入 All are measured in terms of domestic output
Pass-through Example 1: a large foreign firm supplying automobiles to the United States my be so worried about losing market share that it does not immediately raise its U.S. prices 10 % when the dollar depreciates by 10 %, despite the fact that its revenue from American sales, measured in its own currency, will decline.
Pass-through Example 2: the firm may hesitate to lower its U.S.prices by 10 % after a dollar appreciation of that size because it can thereby earn higher profits without investing resources immediately in expanding its shipments to the United State.
Short-run J-curve effect A nominal currency change will be dampened by a low responsiveness of import prices to the exchange rate.
Linkage The link between nominal and real exchange rate may be further weakened by domestic price response. Question: A country’s export prices rise when its currency depreciates? Change nominal exchange rate? Aggregate demand arises