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Strategic Business/Financial Communications Review. Kevin M. Brett J410 May 23, 2013. America’s New Investor Class. 54 percent of Americans own stocks, mutual funds and bonds; 73 percent college graduates; 83 percent post grads Internet Trading Tools; IRAs, 401Ks;
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Strategic Business/Financial Communications Review Kevin M. Brett J410 May 23, 2013
America’s New Investor Class • 54 percent of Americans own stocks, mutual funds and bonds; 73 percent college graduates; 83 percent post grads • Internet Trading Tools; IRAs, 401Ks; • Longer life spans; higher health care costs; college tuition
24-Hour Financial News? • Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Investor’s Business Daily • Fortune, Forbes, Business Week, Barron's • CNBC, Fox Business, Bloomberg TV • The “Money Honey” and “Mad Money” • AP, Dow Jones, Reuters, Bloomberg, TheStreet.com • Bloggers, Social Media and Chat rooms • PR Newswire, Business Wire, Internet Wire
24-Hour Global Markets • NYSE-NASDAQ; US • FTSE (“Footsie”) UK • DAX (Germany) • CAC-40 (France) • Nikkei (Japan) • Hang Seng (Hong Kong)
Introducing the NYSE • NYSE – Founded 1817 • “The Big Board” • $14.2 trillion market cap • 2,304 listings • Venerable Companies • Ringing the Bell • Pounding the Gavel
Introducing the NASDAQ • Founded in 1971 • “Electronic Exchange” • $4.45 trillion market cap • 2,784 listings
SEC Disclosure Rules • Annual Report to Shareholders (10K) • Quarterly Earnings Reports (10Q) • Major Unplanned Announcements (8K) • Upside / Downside Guidance Variations • Mergers and Acquisitions • Restructurings • Annual Meeting of Shareholders • Prospectus for Planned IPO (S1) • Selling Additional Shares (S4)
Asking the Obvious Question “…Sometimes the most obvious question really is the question. In Enron’s case: How do you make money?” – Bethany McLean, Fortune Magazine
Bull Market / Bear Market • Bull Market: Stocks Advancing (2010-2013) • Bear Market: Stocks Retreating (2007-2009) • Stocks are a Leading – Rather than a Trailing – Indicator • Market Hates FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, Doubt)
How Do We Determine “Market Cap” or “Market Value?” • Why Do We Care?
Quick Market Definitions • GAAP: Generally Accepted Accounting Principles • EPS: Earnings Per Share • IPO: Initial Public Offering • Market Capitalization: Share price x Number of Shares Outstanding = Value • SEC: Securities Exchange Commission
What Does Wall Street Really Care About? • Top Line • Bottom Line • Gross Margin • Year-over-Year • Cash • EPS • Dividends
Apple Q2 2013 Results • Revenues: $43.6 billion • Cost of Sales: $27.25 billion • Gross Margin: $16.34 billion • R&D: $1.11 billion • SG&A: $2.67 billion • Operating Income: $12.35 billion • Taxes: $3.35 billion • Net Income: $9.54 billion • EPS: $10.09 per share (946,035 Shares) • Cash Dividend: $2.65 per share
How Do We Compute EPS? • Why is this metric important?
Amazon Q4 2012 Balance Sheet • Cash/Short-Term: $8.08 billion • Accounts Receivable: $3.81 billion • Inventories: $6.03 billion • Current Assets: $21.29 billion • PPE: $7.06 billion • Total: $32.55 billion • Accounts Payable: $13.31 billion • Current Liabilities: $19.00 billion • Long-Term Debt: $3.08 billion • Total Liabilities: $24.06 billion • Equity (Stock): $8.19 billion • Total Liabilities/Equity: $32.55 billion • 500 million shares
What is P/E Ratio What is the “Multiple” • Company Stock Price Divided by Earnings Per Share • How Many Times Earnings is the Stock Price? – The “Multiple” • $60 price/$2.50 EPS = 24 Multiple
What is P/E Ratio? • Ratio Used by Investors to Examine Performance of a Company Stock • AAPL Share Price: $441.80 • AAPL EPS: $41.89* • AAPL P/E: 10.5x* • *TTL (Trailing Twelve Months)
Institutional vs. Retail Investors • Buy Side: Major mutual funds (Fidelity, Janus, Putnam etc.); public employee retirement systems; “Institutional Investors” • Sell Side: Investment firms (JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley) • Retail Investors: Charles Schwab, TD Waterhouse, E-Trade
Doing Well vs. Doing Good Fiduciary Responsibility Corporate Social Responsibility Multiple Stakeholders Giving Back Heightened Trust Benefit of the Doubt Creative Capitalism Counter to NGOs No “Greenwashing” No “Pinkwashing” • ERISA Mandate • Investors Expect Returns • Employees Expect Returns • Need to Stay in Business • Board Oversight • Potential Securities Litigation
Sarbanes-Oxley Act 2002 ● Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) ● Auditor Independence ● CEO and CFO Certification of Results ● Criminal Offenses for Fraud/Records Tampering
SEC Fair Disclosure • Regulation FD provides that when a company discloses “material” nonpublic information to certain individuals or entities — such as stock analysts or shareholders — the company must make public disclosure of that information. In this way, the new rule aims to promote the full-and-fair disclosure. • (Media Exempted)
GAAP vs. Pro Forma • GAAP Greater or Equal Prominence to Pro Forma – SEC Reg. G • GAAP: Generally Accepted Accounting Principles • Pro Forma, Non-GAAP or Earnings Before Special Items • Pro Forma: “For The Sake of Form” • Pro Forma: Results from Continuing Operations
GAAP: Q1 Income StatementMallard.com (DUCK: NASDAQ) • Revenues: $2 million • COGS: $1 million • Gross Margin: $1 million • SG&A: $250,000 • R&D: $250,000 • Amortization: $1 million • Operating Margin: ($500,000) • Taxes: $200,000 • Net Loss: ($700,000)
Pro Forma: Q1 Income StatementMallard.com (DUCK: NASDAQ) • Revenues: $2 million • COGS: $1 million • Gross Margin: $1 million • SG&A: $250,000 • R&D: $250,000 • Operating Margin: $500,000 • Taxes: $200,000 • Net Income (Loss): $300,000
Common Questions on Deals • Size of Deal? • Financing? $20.1 billion? • How many are going to be laid off? • Is the deal accretive or dilutive to EPS? • Is there any product or customer overlap? • How will you integrate the two companies? • Anti-Trust Issues? • Will you report the deal on a Pro Forma basis?
Financing the Deal?Paying a “Premium?” • Cash from Balance Sheet • Stock (1 for 1 or Ratio) • S4 (Issue More Stock) • LBO (Leveraged Buyout): Combo of Cash/Stock and Debt