'Probability matching' presentation slideshows

Application of the CRA Method

Application of the CRA Method. William A. Gallus, Jr. Iowa State University Beth Ebert Center for Australian Weather and Climate Research Bureau of Meteorology. (4) 125 pts to the right and rotated. (5) 125 pts to the right and huge. (3) 125 pts to the right and big. Observed.

461 views • 45 slides

Markov Models

Markov Models. Agenda. Homework Markov models Overview Some analytic predictions Probability matching Stochastic vs. Deterministic Models Gray, 2002. Choice Example. A person is given a choice between ice cream and chocolate. The person can be Undecided. Choose ice cream.

489 views • 32 slides

Xingqin Fang and Bill Kuo NCAR/UCAR

Prediction of Extreme Rainfall of Typhoon Morakot (2009) with the WRF model: Part II: Ensemble Forecast with a New Probability Matching Scheme. Xingqin Fang and Bill Kuo NCAR/UCAR. Outline. Background The new probability-matching technique Performance of probabilistic rainfall forecast

592 views • 28 slides

Effects of prior information and opinions when considering evidence

Effects of prior information and opinions when considering evidence. Nigel Harvey Psychology. Using judgment to assess evidence.

317 views • 26 slides

Emergent Functions of Simple Systems

Emergent Functions of Simple Systems. J. L. McClelland Stanford University. Emergent probabilistic optimization in neural networks Relationship between competence/rational approaches and mechanistic (including connectionist) approaches

474 views • 25 slides

Cognitive Processes PSY 334

299 views • 19 slides