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Technology and Cost. The Neoclassical View of the Firm. Concentrate upon a neoclassical view of the firm the firm transforms inputs into outputs. Outputs. Inputs. The Firm. There is an alternative approach (Coase) What happens inside firms?
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The Neoclassical View of the Firm • Concentrate upon a neoclassical view of the firm • the firm transforms inputs into outputs Outputs Inputs The Firm • There is an alternative approach (Coase) • What happens inside firms? • How are firms structured? What determines size? • How are individuals organized/motivated?
The Single-Product Firm • Profit-maximizing firm must solve a related problem • minimize the cost of producing a given level of output • combines two features of the firm • production function: how inputs are transformed into output Assume that there are n inputs at levels x1 for the first, x2 for the second,…, xn for the nth. The production function, assuming a single output, is written: q = f(x1, x2, x3,…,xn) • cost function: relationship between output choice and production costs. Derived by finding input combination that minimizes cost n wixi Minimize subject to f(x1, x2,…,xn) = q1 i=1 xi
Cost Relationships • If we solve this problem for different levels of output q1, we will obtain the minimum cost of each possible production level per unit of time. • This relationship between costs and output is what is described by the cost function for the firm. • Firm’s total cost function: c(q)+F • Three key cost concepts: fixed cost; average or unit cost; and marginal cost. These costs are not fixed over a long period of time. • Fixed cost: F; a cost that is incurred in each period but unrelated to output level. Examples: plant size and advertising cost.
Cost Relationships • Average cost: AC(q) = [C(q) + F]/q = C(q)/q + F/q = AVC(q) +AFC(q) • Marginal cost: MC(q) = dC(q)/d(q) • Also consider sunk cost • incurred only once ( typically for entry) and independent of output • cannot be recovered on exit • Example: cost of getting a license to operate, market and product research.
Cost curves: an illustration Typical average and marginal cost curves $/unit Relationship between AC and MC MC If MC < AC then AC is falling AC If MC > AC then AC is rising MC = AC at the minimum of the AC curve Quantity
Cost and Output Decisions • Firms maximizes profit where MR = MC provided • output should be greater than zero • implies that price is greater than average variable cost • shut-down decision • Enter if price is greater than average total cost • must expect to cover sunk costs of entry
Economies of scale • Definition: average costs fall with an increase in output • Represented by the scale economy index AC(q) S = MC(q) • S > 1: economies of scale • S < 1: diseconomies of scale • S is the inverse of the elasticity of cost with respect to output dC(q) dq dC(q) C(q) MC(q) 1 hC = = = = C(q) q dq q AC(q) S
Economies of scale 2 • Sources of economies of scale • Presence of large fixed costs • A larger firm size permits a greater division of labor of labor. This in turn permits specialization and more efficient production. • Simple math of the activity: capacity of a containeer is related to volume (the radius cubed), while its cost is related to surface area (the radius squared). • Natural gas pipeline study by Chenery (1947): Unit cost will by 3 percent for every 10 percent increase in output.
Economies of scale 3 • We define minimum efficient scale as the lowest level of output at which economies of scale are exhausted or, in other words, at which S=1 • Economies of scale are global in a market where the maximum extent of market is less the minimum efficient scale. • If scale economies are global then the market is a natural monopoly. • Larger-scale economies will tend to result in concentrated markets.
Sunk Costs and Market Structure • The greater are sunk costs the more concentrated is market structure • An example: Lerner Index is inversely related to the number of firms Suppose that elasticity of demand h = 1 Then total expenditure E = PQ If firms are identical then Q = Nqi Suppose that LI = (P – c)/P = A/N Suppose firms operate in only one period: then (P – c)qi = F As a result: 1/(1+) AE Ne= F
Multi-Product Firms • Many firms make multiple products • Ford, General Motors, Microsoft, etc. • What do we mean by costs and output in these cases? • How do we define average costs for these firms? • total cost for a two-product firm is C(q1, q2) • marginal cost for product 1 is MC1 = C(q1,q2)/q1 • but average cost cannot be defined fully generally • need a more restricted definition: Ray Average Cost
Ray average cost • Assume that a firm makes two products, 1 and 2 with the quantities q1 and q2 produced in a constant ratio of 2:1. • Then total output q can be defined implicitly from the equations q1 = 2q/3 and q2 = q/3 • More generally: assume that the two products are produced in the ratio 1/2 (with 1 + 2 = 1). • Then total output is defined implicitly from the equations Q1 = 1Q and Q2 = 2Q • Ray average cost is then defined as: C(1q, 2q) RAC(q) = q
An example of ray average costs • Assume that the cost function is: • Marginal costs for each product are: C(Q1, Q2) = 10 + 25Q1 + 30Q2 - 3Q1Q2/2 C(Q1,Q2) 3Q2 MC1 = = 25 - 2 Q1 3Q1 C(Q1,Q2) MC2 = = 30 - 2 Q2
Ray Average Cost 2 • Ray average costs: assume 1 = 2 = 0.5 C(Q1, Q2) = 10 + 25Q1 + 30Q2 - 3Q1Q2/2 Q1 = 0.5Q; Q2 = 0.5Q C(0.5Q, 0.5Q) RAC(Q) = Q 10 + 25Q/2+ 30Q/2 - 3Q2/8 10 55 3Q - = = + Q 2 8 Q
Ray Average Cost 3 Now assume 1 = 0.75; 2 = 0.25 C(0.75Q, 0.25Q) RAC(Q) = Q 10 + 75Q/4+ 30Q/4 - 9Q2/32 = Q 10 105 9Q = - + 4 32 Q
Economies of scale and multiple products • Definition of economies of scale with a single product C(Q) AC(Q) S = = QMC(Q) MC(Q) • Definition of economies of scale with multiple products C(Q1,Q2,…,Qn) S = MC1Q1 + MC2Q2 + … + MCnQn • This is by analogy to the single product case • relies on the implicit assumption that output proportions are fixed • so we are looking at ray average costs in using this definition
Ray Average Cost Example Once again C(Q1, Q2) = 10 + 25Q1 + 30Q2 - 3Q1Q2/2 MC1 = 25 - 3Q2/2 ; MC2 = 30 - 3Q1/2 Substitute into the definition of S: C(Q1,Q2,…,Qn) S = MC1Q1 + MC2Q2 + … + MCnQn 10 + 25Q1 + 30Q2 - 3Q1Q2/2 = 25Q1 - 3Q1Q2/2 + 30Q2 - 3Q1Q2/2 It should be obvious in this case that S > 1 This cost function exhibits global economies of scale
Economies of Scope • Formaldefinition C(q1, 0) + C(0 ,q2) - C(q1, q2) SC = C(q1, q2) • The critical value in this case is SC = 0 • SC < 0 : no economies of scope; SC > 0 : economies of scope. • Take the example: 10 + 25q1 + 10 + 30q2- (10 + 25q1 + 30q2 – 3q1q2/2) SC = > 0 10 + 25q1 + 30q2 – 3q1q2/2
Economies of Scope 2 • Sources of economies of scope • shared inputs • same equipment for various products • Railroad example: shared input is track; two services: passenger or freight rail service. • shared advertising creating a brand name • marketing and R&D expenditures that are generic • cost complementarities • producing one good reduces the cost of producing another • oil and natural gas • computer software and computer support • retailing and product promotion
Economies of Scope 3 • It seems more likely that scope economies will be found when the goods being produced use similar production techniques. Why? Probability of finding shared inputs and complementarities are higher in these cases. • Examples: a ready-to-eat cereal manufacturer producing many varieties of essentially the same wheat-based cereal product, Campbell’s producing a wide variety of soups.
Flexible Manufacturing • Such scope economies have become stronger in recent decades following the introduction of new manufacturing techniques, referred to as flexible manufacturing systems. • They can be defines as “Production units capable of producing a range of discrete products with a minimum of manual intervention” ( U.S. Office of technology Assessment, 1984, p. 60). • The idea here is that production processes should be capable of switching from easily from one variety of a product to another without a significant cost penalty. Chapter 4: Technology and Cost
Flexible Manufacturing 2 • Example: a popular clothing manufacturer, Benetton • Using computer-programmable equipment, Benetton is able to switch from one color-specific order to another with minimal adjustment costs. • Benetton’s extensive use of computer-assisted design/computer assisted manufacturing (CAD/CAM) technology allows it to produce a wide array of differentiated (by color) products. • In recent years, Benjamin Moore paints, Toyota cars and other firms have used this CAD/CAM technology to offer differentiated products within the same product line. Chapter 4: Technology and Cost
Flexible Manufacturing 3 • Take a simple model based on a spatial analogue. • There is some characteristic that distinguishes different varieties of a product • sweetness or sugar content • color • texture • This can be measured and represented as a line • Individual products can be located on this line in terms of the quantity of the characteristic that they possess • One product is chosen by the firm as its base product • All other products are variants on the base product
Flexible Manufacturing 4 • An illustration: soft drinks that vary in sugar content (Super) (Diet) (LX) 0 1 0.5 Low High Each product is located on the line in terms of the amount of the characteristic it has This is the characteristics line
Flexible Manufacturing 5 (Diet) (Super) • Assume that the process is centered on LX as base product. (LX) 1 0 0.5 High Low A switching cost s is incurred in changing the process to either of the other products. There are additional marginal costs of making Diet or Super - from adding or removing sugar. These are r per unit of “distance” between LX and the other product. There are shared costs F: design, packaging, equipment.
Flexible Manufacturing 5 • If scope economies exist, firms have a strong incentive to exploit them. Doing so will lower the firm’s costs, possibly permit the firm to exploit multiproduct scale economies, and allow it to obtain a closer match between the products that are offered and those desired by specific customers. • The presence of scope economies in the production of differentiated products tends to increase market concentration in such industries. Chapter 4: Technology and Cost
Determinants of Market Structure • Economies of scale and scope affect market structure but cannot be looked at in isolation. • They must be considered relative to market size. • Should see concentration decline as market size increases • Entry to the medical profession is going to be more extensive in Chicago than in Oxford, Miss • Find more extensive range of financial service companies in Wall Street, New York than in Frankfurt 2-37
Network Externalities • Market structure is also affected by the presence of network externalities • willingness to pay by a consumer increases as the number of current consumers increase • telephones, fax, Internet, Windows software • utility from consumption increases when there are more current consumers • These markets are likely to contain a small number of firms • even if there are limited economies of scale and scope
The Role of Policy • Government can directly affect market structure • by limiting entry • taxi medallions in Boston and New York • airline regulation • through the patent system • by protecting competitors e.g. through the Robinson-Patman Act
Empirical Application: Cost Minimization and Cost Function Estimates Consider simple cost minimization problem: • Minimize: C = wL + rK ; • Subject to: Q = KL From Production Constraint: L= Q1/K/ Substitution yields: C= wQ1/K-/ + rK Minimizingfor given Q with respect to K and then substituting into the cost equation yields: /(+) /(+) /(+) /(+) 1/(+) C = + w Q r
Empirical Application: Cost Minimization and Cost Function Estimates 2 In logs, we have: 1 ln C = Constant + ln r + ln w + ln Q + + + In general, we have: ln C = Constant + 1ln r + 2ln w + 3ln Q A more flexible specification is the translog form ln C = Constant + 1ln r + 2ln w+ 0.5[11(ln r)2 + 12(ln w)(ln r) + 21(ln w)(ln r) + 22(ln w)2] + 3ln Q + 31(ln Q)(ln r) + 32(ln Q)(ln w)+ 0.533(ln Q)2
Empirical Application: Cost Minimization and Cost Function Estimates 3 • The translog function is more flexible because it does not restrict the underlying production technology to be Cobb-Douglas. Its general form is consistent with many other plausible technologies • The scale economy index is now S= 1/ ln C ln Q = 1/(3 + 33lnQ + 31ln r + 32ln w) So long as 31, 32, and 33 do not all equal zero, S will depend on the level of output Q This is one of the many restrictions on the data that can be tested empirically with the translog functional form
Empirical Application: Cost Minimization and Cost Function Estimates 4 • A pioneering use of the translog approach was the study by Christensen and Greene (1976) on scale economies in electric power generation • – They assume three inputs: Labor (paid w); capital (paid r); and Fuel (paid F). So, they have five explanatory or right-hand-side variables • a pure output term • an interaction term of output and r • an interaction term of output and w • an interaction term of output and F • a pure output squared term • Results shown on next slide
Empirical Application: Cost Minimization and Cost Function Estimates 5 • Variable Coefficient t-statistic (ln Q) 0.587 20.87 (ln Q)(ln r) –0.003 –1.23 (ln Q)(ln w) –0.018 –8.25 (ln Q)(ln F) 0.021 6.64 (ln Q)2 0.049 12.94 • All the variables are statistically significant indicating among other things that the scale economies depend on the output level and disappear after some threshold is reached • Christensen and Greene (1976) find that very few firms operate below this threshold